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Most recent articles are listed first within a
Section (TMT reviews are included back to January, 2006 and
are available in archives for earlier years). The Sections below in order are:
Click on the
blue title above for any Section
to go to that Section. Clicking on the
blue title for an Item within a
Section will
take you to a new web page with the original article (if
this is still available at the original website). To search, do Ctrl+F
(hit the "F" key while holding down the "Control" or "Ctrl"
key) and type in the search word or phrase (e.g., "heart").
NOTE
September 1, 2007: Because of the great success of our
pain questionnaires (http://masterdocs.com/pain.htm
- over 3,500 responders to date) and the activity of our
collaborations with several academic units, we are
temporarily suspending regular postings on this medical news
web page,
Why we publish our
Medical News: We give you the
latest medical news without the hype. Our focus is "patient empowerment" -- free medical questionnaires for
common symptoms and medical conditions, and unbiased,
up-to-date medical news that can be understood by the public
as well as physicians. We flag three of the
commonest errors in interpreting clinical studies - not
prespecifying a primary study endpoint, overinterpreting
observational studies, and overinterpreting subgroup
analyses. We normally email the first author of an article
reviewed for comment and appropriate revision of our review.
Remember to check out
our free
Chronic Pain
Questionnaires and other
Medical Questionnaires.
Latest Entries (Sections in
parentheses):
July 26, 2007:
Adverse cardiovascular effects with rofecoxib (Vioxx) versus
placebo in patients with colorectal cancer (Heart Disease &
Stroke).
July 16, 2007: Older
oral hypoglycemic (metformin) gives equivalent blood sugar
control in Type II diabetes, lowers LDL cholesterol, and
does not increase weight (Other Chronic Disease).
July 12, 2007: As
implemented, Electronic Health Records were not associated
with better quality ambulatory care (Computers in Medicine).
June 29, 2007:
Second-hand smoke increases levels of tobacco-specific
carcinogens (Other Chronic Disease).
June 11, 2007:
Randomized study suggests weight loss is greater with a
reduced fat diet if more fruits and vegetables are eaten
(Diet & Exercise).
June 5, 2007:
Randomized acupuncture trial suggests blood pressure
reduction (Heart Disease & Stroke). Out of hospital cooling
of patients with cardiac arrest feasible and safe. Larger
studies should be done. (Heart Disease & Stroke).
May 21, 2007:
Meta-analysis suggests heart hazard with rosiglitazone
(Avandia) but manufacturer's data should be released (Heart
Disease & Stroke).
May 18, 2007: HPV
vaccine could prevent cancer of cervix, vulva, vagina, mouth
and throat (Cancer).
May 9, 2007: Senate
votes new powers to FDA on drug safety
(Administrative&Political).
May 2, 2007:
Depressed patients may need both antidepressants and
treatment for insomnia (Neurological/Psychological).
April 14, 2007:
Active, electronic post-marketing drug safety surveillance
system advocated by former FDA Commissioner (Computers in
Medicine).
April 4, 2007:
Combination of sumatriptan and naproxen useful for acute
treatment of migraine (Pain).
March 27, 2007:
Increasing HDL cholesterol with torcetrapib did not affect
the primary endpoint (percent atheroma volume) in the
ILLUSTRATE study (Heart Disease & Stroke).
March 17, 2007:
Cardiac-only resuscitation by bystanders may be best for
out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (Heart Disease & Stroke).
March 15, 2007:
Poor warfarin compliance associated with poor INR control,
and more stroke, heart attack, major bleeding, and
mortality. Many high risk patients are not prescribed
warfarin (Heart Disease & Stroke). Weekend hospital admission for heart attack associated with
higher mortality (Heart Disease & Stroke).
March 6, 2007:
Randomized study suggests slightly more weight loss with Atkins diet
(Diet & Exercise).
March 5, 2007:
Ibuprofen best pain killer for kids with acute traumatic
musculoskeletal injuries (Pain).
March 3, 2007: Happy
countries may have less high blood pressure (Neurological &
Psychological).
March 1, 2007: Pain
killers including acetaminophen and aspirin associated with
higher risk of high blood pressure (Heart Disease & Stroke).
Improvement in oral health may reduce cardiovascular risk
(Heart Disease & Stroke).
FEBRUARY 2007:
US
Government privacy standards for electronic health data in
"early stages". TMT privacy standards fully implemented.
(Computers in Medicine). Heart disease rate varies from state to state (Heart Disease
& Stroke). Controlled study shows low-dose morphine can improve
refractory cough (Other Chronic Disease). Weekly
motivational counseling improves mood after stroke (Heart
Disease & Stroke). Nasal spray better than flu shots for small children
(Miscellaneous). New method more accurate for identifying cardiovascular risk
in women (Heart Disease & Stroke). High dose atorvastatin (Lipitor) reduces heart failure
hospitalizations (Heart Disease & Stroke). Religious people with advanced cancer get inadequate
spiritual support and want aggressive measures to extend
life (Cancer). Randomized trial suggests that 3 months of psychoanalysis
helps patients with panic disorder (Neurological &
Psychological). In preliminary study, Down's Syndrome was identified by fetal DNA test on maternal
blood (Miscellaneous). Lessen burden of bereavement by spending more time with
family members and giving them a bereavement brochure
(Neurological & Psychological).
JANUARY 2007:
FDA announces new initiatives to assess
safety of marketed drugs (Administrative & Political). ABCD2 score predicts 2-day risk of
progression of TIA to stroke (Heart Disease & Stroke). Financial incentives improve hospital
performance (Administrative & Political). Observational study suggests that trans
fats may increase infertility but additional evaluation is
required (Diet & Exercise). In observational study, dense breast
tissue increased risk of breast cancer and increased
difficulty of diagnosis (Cancer). Cancer deaths are down. Cancer pain is
treatable. (Cancer). Arthritis and related conditions cost over
$500 per year per American adult (Pain). Black tea with no milk increases ability
of arteries to relax, but adding milk prevents this effect
(Diet & Exercise). Food industry-funded studies of soft
drinks, juice or milk tend to favor the commercial interests
of the funder (Diet & Exercise). Drug prices higher in
Medicare private plans than in VA system (Administrative &
Political). Starbucks removing trans fats from its
pastries (Diet & Exercise). Therapy with ACE inhibitors, angiotensin
receptor blockers or beta-blockers associated with better
outcome following hospital discharge for heart failure
(Heart Disease & Stroke). Pergolide (Permax) and
cabergoline (Dostinex) associated with heart valve
abnormalities in Parkinson's disease patients (Heart Disease
& Stroke).
DECEMBER 2006:
Evidence-based procedures reduce
catheter-related blood stream infections in ICUs
(Miscellaneous). Observational study suggests that proton
pump inhibitors increase hip fracture risk (Other Chronic
Diseases). Cognitive training helps mental function
in the elderly (Neurological & Psychological). Randomized study suggests reduced fat in
diet reduces breast cancer recurrence (Cancer). Breast cancer rate dropped 7% in 2003,
possibly because of less female hormone therapy (Cancer). Pain gene variants can increase or
eliminate pain (Pain). Observational study suggests that surgery
or radiation for localized prostate cancer improves survival
in elderly men (Cancer). More prolonged antiplatelet therapy
recommended by some experts for patients with drug-eluting
stents (Heart Disease & Stroke). More on torcetrapib: conflicting studies
of relationship between CETP levels and heart disease (Heart
Disease & Stroke). Physicians may defer to computer in
diagnosis (Computers in Medicine). Some more possible explanations for
torcetrapib safety problems (Heart Disease & Stroke). Possible explanations for torcetrapib
safety problems (Heart Disease & Stroke). FDA clarifies DSMB monitoring in Pfizer's
ILLUMINATE torcetrapib trial (Heart Disease & Stroke). Pfizer halts all torcetrapib trials
because of increase in mortality and cardiovascular events
(Heart Disease & Stroke).
NOVEMBER 2006:
Moderate alcohol consumption may reduce
risk of heart failure by reducing the risk of coronary
disease (Heart Disease & Stroke). Most back & sciatica patients who don't
require urgent surgery improve with either medical or
surgical therapy. You can always get surgery later. (Pain).
Identifying serious adverse drug effects: Drug companies,
Investigators, Advisory Committees, and the FDA (Administrative & Political). Naproxen increases risk of cardiovascular
events in Alzheimer's trial (Heart Disease & Stroke).
With resveratrol, mice can run twice as long on a treadmill
(Diet & Exercise). Pain relief in fibromyalgia reported with
pregabelin (Lyrica) in 6-month double-blind study (Pain). Americans are living longer but have more
long-term pain (Pain). Medication blister packs and education
improve medication compliance in the elderly by 36%, with
lower BP & cholesterol (Miscellaneous). Stable patients
after acute phase of heart attack don't need angioplasty and
stent (Heart Disease & Stroke). Etoricoxib (Arcoxia) similar to
diclofenac in risk of heart attack, stroke & death but
causes more high blood pressure and heart failure (Heart
Disease & Stroke). Heart attack patients get angioplasty too
late (Heart Disease & Stroke). Diet with low carbohydrate and vegetable
sources of fat and protein may reduce coronary risk (Diet &
Exercise). Warts and all – trial of the tape
(Miscellaneous). Primary care in US lags other developed
countries in clinical information systems and quality and
efficiency incentives (Computers in Medicine). Poor people in wealthy neighborhoods have
higher death rate than poor people in poor neighborhoods
(Administrative & Political). Open study suggests that
one-year of therapy with a heart assist device combined with
drug therapy can reverse severe heart failure (Heart Disease
& Stroke). Restraining good hand improves movement of
affected arm after stroke (Heart Disease & Stroke). Chronic constipation associated with
higher mortality (Other Chronic Disease). Physically active
people have less macular degeneration (Other Chronic
Disease). Higher PSA velocity 10-15 years before prostate
cancer diagnosis may be associated with higher prostate
cancer mortality (Cancer). Study in mice shows that
resveratrol, found in red wine, offsets bad effects of high
calorie diet and extends lifespan (Diet & Exercise).
OCTOBER 2006:
Unblinded randomized study suggests
acupuncture is effective in patients with osteoarthritis
(Pain). Pneumococcal vaccine appears effective
with each of various vaccination schedules (Miscellaneous). 80% of
US Internet users have searched on-line for health
information (Computers in Medicine). Are flu shots as effective as claimed?
(Miscellaneous). CT screening detects early lung cancer
(Cancer). CDC recommends routine Zostavax shingles vaccine
for those 60 and over (Miscellaneous). Observational study associates higher
vegetable consumption with better cognitive function in
elderly (Neurological & Psychological). Observational
study in healthy men shows correlation between alcohol
consumption and reduced risk of heart attack (Diet &
Exercise). Less than 10% of US doctors use
full-fledged electronic health records for outpatients
(Computers in Medicine). NIH doctors criticize Eli Lilly's
promotion of sepsis drug (Administrative & Political).
Noise-cancelling headphones might prevent hearing loss in
noisy subway (Miscellaneous). Over 700,000 adverse drug events yearly
require treatment in US Emergency Rooms, with over 100,000
hospitalizations. Elderly at higher risk. (Administrative &
Political). Mortality in Medicare patients depends on
the hospital (Administrative & Political). FDA approves Aricept for severe
Alzheimer's Disease (Neurological & Psychological). Does daily weighing help maintain weight
loss? (Diet & Exercise). Symptoms suggesting stroke
occur in 18% of older people without a stroke diagnosis
(Heart Disease & Stroke). Industry-sponsored meta-analyses are of
poorer quality and conclusions are more favorable to the
experimental drug (Miscellaneous). Get
your 'flu shot - it could save your life (Miscellaneous).
NIH clinical trial will compare $20-100/month drug with
$2000/month drug in macular degeneration (Other Chronic Disease).Smarter breast-feeding mothers mean smarter breast-fed
children (Diet & Exercise).
SEPTEMBER 2006:
Bayer did not tell FDA about preliminary safety data from
Trasylol observational study (Heart Disease & Stroke). IOM report recommends more funding/staffing/enforcement
tools for FDA and more emphasis on safety of marketed drugs
(Administrative & Political). Test for H. Pylori before
starting NSAIDs in high GI risk patients (Pain). It's OK to
eat canned or frozen spinach (Diet & Exercise). Prescribing errors for seniors almost 7 times as likely as
with younger patients (Administrative & Political). Meta-analyses confirm Vioxx cardiovascular toxicity but
raise other questions (Heart Disease & Stroke). US divided into "Eight Americas" on basis of longevity
(Administrative & Political). Difficulty understanding
patient pamphlets and prescription labels is common and
associated with poor health (Administrative & Political).
Don't take ibuprofen less than 8 hours before or less than
30 minutes after aspirin taken for cardioprotection (Heart
Disease & Stroke). Report claims Norvasc reduces risk of diabetes (Other
Chronic Disease). High dose Lipitor reported to reduce heart
attack risk more than medium dose Zocor (Heart Disease &
Stroke). Subgroup analysis of TNT trial shows that high risk patients
with coronary disease and metabolic syndrome do well on high
dose (80mg) Lipitor (Heart Disease & Stroke).
AUGUST 2006:
APC and PreSAP double-blind trials show that celecoxib
(Celebrex) at dosage of 400 mg/day or greater reduces risk
of colorectal adenomas but increases cardiovascular risk
(Heart Disease & Stroke). Observational study suggests that NSAIDs may protect against
development of prostate cancer only in men with the gene
type associated with higher LTA levels (Cancer).
Observational study suggests that NSAIDs reduce BPH risk
(symptoms, prostate size, urinary flow & PSA) (Other Chronic
Disease). FDA Drug/Device Advisory Committees recommend
approval in 8 of 10 cases and FDA usually follows the
recommendation (Administrative & Political). Could stem cells be harvested from embryos without damaging
the developing embryo? (Miscellaneous). Being overweight at age 50 increases risk of death,
particularly in women. Waist/hip ratio may be a better
measure than BMI (Diet & Exercise). 'ReNu with
MoistureLoc" is 13 times as likely to cause fungus infection in
contact eye wearers (Miscellaneous).
Large observational study in 52 countries
shows heart attack risk with all forms of tobacco,
including second-hand smoke (Heart Disease & Stroke). Computerized feedback increases short-term
weight loss (Diet & Exercise). In randomized trials both
COX-2 inhibitors and traditional NSAIDs increase vascular
risk (Heart Disease & Stroke). Observational study suggests
that aspirin may mitigate the increased cardiovascular risk
with NSAIDs (Heart Disease & Stroke). High-dose Lipitor reduces risk of recurrent
stroke even in people without known coronary disease (Heart
Disease & Stroke). Observational study suggests all NSAIDs
(Cox-2-selective and non-Cox-2-selective) modestly increase heart attack risk (Heart Disease & Stroke).
JULY 2006:
Faster aging in poor people may be related to
shortened telomeres (Miscellaneous). Medication errors injure 1.5 million in US/year.
Patients can protect themselves. Electronic prescribing can
help. (Miscellaneous). FDA approves once-a-day 3-drug combination tablet
for HIV treatment (Miscellaneous). Increased energy expenditure associated with
reduced mortality in high-functioning older adults (Diet &
Exercise). Gene effects markedly different between males and
females (Miscellaneous). Most heart attacks might be prevented by a healthy
lifestyle (Heart Disease & Stroke).
JUNE 2006:
New England Journal of Medicine issues "correction" on Vioxx APPROVe trial (Heart Disease & Stroke). Observational study suggests mortality risk is
increased with short duration NSAID therapy in patients with
previous heart attack (Heart Disease & Stroke). Fibromyalgia symptoms respond to acupuncture in
controlled trial (Pain). Media stories on medical reports at scientific
meetings are misleading (Administrative & Political).
MAY 2006:
Dr. Scott Evans of the Harvard School of Public
Health, has provided us with a
Review
of the issue of changing clinical trial
endpoints after a trial has begun, an issue posted in our
Miscellaneous section on March 26, 2006 (Miscellaneous).
Please send any comments to
info@masterdocs.com
and we will forward them to Dr. Evans. Data from Merck report suggest fairly constant
cardiovascular risk (0.2% of patients/6 months) during most
of Vioxx therapy and in 1-year following therapy, with
higher risk in last 6 months of 3-year Vioxx period (Heart
Disease & Stroke). New analysis suggests greater, earlier and more
persistent increase in cardiovascular risk with rofecoxib
(Vioxx) (Heart Disease & Stroke). Node-positive breast cancer women who have more
HER2 receptor activity do better with epirubicin as part of
a triple therapy regimen (Cancer). Cardiovascular clinical trials report more
positive results if they are industry-funded
(Miscellaneous). 21% of office-based prescriptions are
off-label, usually without scientific support. Could
compromise patient safety and waste medications.
(Miscellaneous). Fusarium eye infections cause worldwide withdrawal
of MoistureLoc. Topping up storage case or leaving bottle
cap open could increase risk. (Miscellaneous). Academic researchers suggest Merck should continue
to follow APPROVe study patients for long-term heart damage
from Vioxx
(Heart Disease & Stroke). New Merck analysis suggests increased stroke risk
with rofecoxib (Vioxx); increased cardiovascular risk may
persist to some extent after stopping Vioxx
(Heart Disease & Stroke). New Analysis suggests that paroxetine (Paxil)
may increase risk of suicide attempts in young adults
(Neurological & Psychological). FDA approves varenicline (Chantix) for smoking
cessation (Miscellaneous). Despite higher healthcare spending, US lags in use
of health information technology (Computers in Medicine). Observational study of breast cancer in
post-hysterectomy women supports safety of estrogen therapy
for about 10-20 years, but breast cancer risk might increase
with longer duration of estrogen therapy (Cancer). Clinical trial design in the post-Vioxx world
(Administrative & Political). New prostate cancer gene may cause 8% of prostate
cancers in men of European stock and 16% of those in African
American men (Cancer). Update on fungus infections of eye in soft contact
lens wearers (Miscellaneous). New observational study suggests increased heart
attack risk during first 2 weeks of rofecoxib (Vioxx)
treatment (Heart Disease & Stroke). Naltrexone (Revia)
and combined behavioral intervention are effective in
alcohol dependence (Neurological & Psychological).
Despite less healthcare expenditure, the English are
healthier than Americans (Miscellaneous). CCHIT Certification process issued for Electronic
Health Records (Computers in Medicine).
APRIL 2006:
JAMA article examines industry financial ties and voting
patterns at FDA Advisory Committee meetings (Administrative
& Political). A stroke in certain sections of the brain
can also damage the heart (Neurological & Psychological). Everyone agrees we need electronic medical records. So why
are we not doing it? (Computers in Medicine). Planning for pregnancy - CDC recommendations
(Miscellaneous). Treasury Secretary: “The typical
doctor’s office has less information technology in it than
the corner drug store” (Computers in Medicine). The Challenge of
Subgroup Analyses - Reporting without Distorting (Miscellaneous).
Compression stockings during air travel reduce leg
thrombosis, leg discomfort and swelling (Miscellaneous).
Review supports routine use of antibiotics in COPD
exacerbations (Other Chronic Disease). Observational study
suggests Mediterranean Diet
may reduce risk of Alzheimer's disease (Neurological &
Psychological). New observational
study suggests heart risk with COX-2 NSAIDs (Heart Disease &
Stroke). Trans fats
associated with coronary heart disease and sudden cardiac
death (Diet & Exercise). No increase in
breast cancer risk with estrogen alone (Cancer). Chemotherapy most useful in the 30% of women with
ER-negative breast cancers (Cancer). Coronary patients
should get ACE inhibitors (Heart Disease & Stroke). Brain Training
for the Aging Brain (Neurological/Psychological). 2) Prevent
Jet Lag using British Airways Jet Lag Advisor
(Miscellaneous). Observational study
suggests early removal of
ovaries may be associated with increased risk of Alzheimer's
(Neurological/Psychological). In a small controlled
trial, two longevity markers (insulin & temperature) fell with
6-months calorie restriction; larger, longer studies needed
to assess aging/longevity (Diet & Exercise). Study
shows donepezil (Aricept) improves cognition and activities
of daily living in severe Alzheimer's
(Neurological/Psychological). High dose Celebrex
reduces risk of new colon polyps but increases
cardiovascular risk in patients with previous colon polyps
(Cancer). Observational study finds less breast cancer
with use of COX-2 inhibitors (Cancer)
MARCH 2006:
Intercessory prayer
did not reduce cardiac complications after bypass surgery; patients who knew they were receiving intercessory prayer
had higher complication rate (Heart Disease & Stroke). Bird flu vaccine
may protect 55-60% of those people vaccinated. FDA approves flu drug that protects
against seasonal flu and bird flu (Miscellaneous). MRI
study shows that highly intelligent children have more
dynamically changing brains and reach peak thickness of the
cerebral cortex at a later age (Neurological/Psychological). Omega 3 fats (found
in fish oils and some plants) do not have a clear effect on
mortality, heart disease, or cancer (Diet/Exercise). Can clinical trial
endpoints be added after the clinical trial begins?
(Miscellaneous). Open-label
studies suggest that adding or switching antidepressants may
help citalopram (Celexa) non-responders
(Neurological/Psychological). Stimulants may cause
hallucinations in 2-5% of children taking these drugs
(Neurological/Psychological). Bird flu virus stays deep
in the lungs, preventing human transmission by coughing or
sneezing (Miscellaneous). Three full papers for studies
already reviewed by TMT (March 14 & 15, 2006) are now
available for download at no charge. These studies are: "Very High-Intensity Statin
Therapy and Regression of Coronary Atherosclerosis",
"Fondaparinux in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction"
and "Abciximab in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes
Undergoing PCI After Clopidogrel Pretreatment". Inaccuracies and
stigmatizing language are common in neurology coverage by US
newspapers (Neurological/Psychological). Seattle Heart
Failure model predicts life expectancy and effects of
different therapies (Heart Disease/Stroke). Breast
asymmetry may be associated with increased risk of breast
cancer (Cancer). Two separate H5N1 bird flu strains have
evolved, but not yet a strain allowing human-to-human
transmission (Miscellaneous). Study suggests
that donepezil (Aricept) could be associated with increased
death rate (Neurological/Psychological). Maintenance
therapy with antidepressant drug helps after drug-assisted
recovery from major depression in old age
(Neurological/Psychological). Only 55% of Americans
receive quality health care. Use of electronic medical
records could improve population-wide quality of care
(Administrative/Political). Developmental
drug torcetrapib raises HDL cholesterol but also raises
blood pressure (Heart Disease & Stroke). Drug-eluting stent better for coronary
restenosis of bare-metal stent than radiation (Heart Disease & Stroke). Fondaparinux (Arixtra) may reduce death and repeat heart
attack in STEMI heart attacks (Heart Disease & Stroke). Candesartan treatment of
pre-hypertension lowers blood pressure, but effect largely
disappears on stopping therapy (Heart Disease & Stroke). Adding abciximab to
clopidogrel reduces coronary events in acute coronary
syndrome (Heart Disease & Stroke). Surgical trial to
evaluate effect of closure of patent foramen ovale on
migraine headaches (Heart Disease & Stroke). High dose
Crestor may cause regression of coronary atherosclerosis
(Heart Disease & Stroke). High dosage or frequent use of
acetaminophen and non-selective NSAIDs may increase
cardiovascular risk (Heart Disease & Stroke). Salt & water
blood filter more effective than diuretics in severe heart
failure (Heart Disease & Stroke). High dose Lipitor may
improve kidney function in coronary disease patients (Other
Chronic Disease). No
cardiovascular benefit with Vitamin B (folic acid, B6, B12)
in two large trials (Heart Disease & Stroke). 2) Adding
Plavix to aspirin may increase risk in patients without
established heart disease (Heart
Disease & Stroke). Three of four
older Americans skip colon cancer screening (Cancer). Withdrawn MS drug might return to market
(Neurological/Psychological). "Caffeine Gene"
may (or may not) indicate increased risk of heart attack
(Heart Disease & Stroke). Restraining good
arm may give some recovery of affected arm after stroke
(Neurological/Psychological). Clinical trial
result causes emphysema patients to say "no" to lung surgery
(Other Chronic Disease). New publications
show multiple sclerosis drug previously withdrawn from
market is effective (Neurological/Psychological). New
analysis of Celebrex cardiovascular safety adds little
(Heart Disease & Stroke).
FEBRUARY 2006:
You're never too
old to exercise (Diet & Exercise). Before undergoing knee
cartilage surgery, make sure the symptoms come from the
cartilage damage (Pain). Optimistic people
have lower cardiovascular death rates
(Neurological/Psychological). Virus found in
prostate cancers (Cancer). The GAIT study
in osteoarthritis of the knee showed no clear benefit from glucosamine and chondroitin, but Celebrex was
effective
(Pain). The SUCCESS-I study showed less GI complications
with Celebrex than with non-COX-2-selective NSAIDs
(Pain). A study in rheumatoid arthritis reported that
chronic inflammation is "probably a driving force for
premature atherosclerosis" (Pain). Misdiagnosis occurs in
20% of fatal illnesses (Miscellaneous). Only 1/4 of US
hospitals have electronic medical records (Computers in
Medicine). AMA & Congress
agree on new standards of healthcare quality
(Administrative/Political). Lack of flu shots in
healthcare workers increases patient risk (Miscellaneous).
Poverty is associated with poor health & increased
mortality (Miscellaneous). In a British study,
women consulted their doctor for headache 2.6 times as often
as men (Pain). No clear
benefit of calcium+vitamin D on risk of fracture or colon
cancer in postmenopausal women, but dosage, duration and
concomitant therapy may have obscured benefit (Diet
& Exercise). FDA relabeling of whole grain foods
may encourage people to take recommended daily amounts of whole
grain foods ( 3 slices of bread, 3 cups of breakfast cereal,
or 1 1/2 cups of cooked rice or pasta) (Diet & Exercise).
For older couples, if one of the partners is hospitalized
for a debilitating illness, the non-hospitalized partner is
at increased risk for death (Miscellaneous). Over 80% accuracy of prognostic index for 4-year
mortality in older adults (Miscellaneous). Many heart
attacks go undetected (Heart Disease & Stroke).
1. DIET & EXERCISE
Randomized study suggests weight loss is greater with a
reduced fat diet if more fruits and vegetables are eaten
June
11, 2007: A 1-year randomized study in 97 obese women
found that counseling subjects to reduce fat intake and
also increase intake of foods low in energy density was
associated with more weight loss (17 lb vs. 14 lb) than
just counseling to reduce fat intake. Low energy density
foods (e.g., fruits and vegetables) usually have high
water content.
Randomized study suggests slightly more weight loss with
Atkins diet
March 6, 2007:
A randomized 1-year trial in 311 overweight or obese women
(average weight 189 pounds) showed
only slight weight loss with any diet but weight loss
was somewhat larger (10.3 lbs) with the
low-carbohydrate, high-protein, high fat Atkins diet than with the
low fat, high carbohydrate LEARN diet (5.7 lbs), the
very low fat Ornish diet (4.8 lbs), or the moderately
low carbohydrate Zone diet (3.5 lbs). However, results were only statistically
significant for the Atkins-Zone comparison. Secondary
measures (lipid profile, % body fat, waist-hip ratio,
insulin & glucose levels, blood pressure) showed little
difference between the diets. Adherence to the diets was
limited. It is not known if
effects are similar over periods longer than one year or
in populations other than overweight/obese women.
Observational study suggests that trans fats may increase
infertility but additional evaluation is required
January 20, 2007:
A Harvard observational
study using a complex statistical analysis suggests that
increased intake of trans fats may increase infertility.
However, this preliminary finding needs to be confirmed
in additional studies. Infertility affects 10-15% of
couples. Fertility in part depends on the PPAR-gamma
receptor, activation of which can be affected by fat
intake. The
study was designed to "test the hypotheses that trans
unsaturated fatty acids (TFAs) increase the risk of
ovulatory infertility whereas polyunsaturated fatty
acids (PUFAs) reduce this risk" and was based on
analysis of almost 27,000 married women from the Nurses'
Health Study II who provided dietary histories. For the
initial analysis, "dietary fat was modeled by
quintiles of intake" but this analysis showed no
significant effects on fertility of TFAs or of other
fats. The authors performed an additional analysis using
derived measures of fat intake as continuous variables
and showed that "When the intakes of protein and all
major types of fat were simultaneously included in the
models (to estimate the effect of the isocaloric
substitution of fat for carbohydrates), intake of TFAs
was positively associated with risk of ovulatory
infertility". "Each 2% increase in the intake of
energy from trans unsaturated fats, as opposed to that
from carbohydrates," [a measure that is not defined
in greater detail in the paper] was associated with a
73% greater adjusted risk of ovulatory infertility. It
appears that the authors performed many different
analyses of various indices of fat consumption. Results
were adjusted for potential confounders but not,
apparently, for multiple testing. Observational studies
cannot establish causality but can suggest the need for
additional study.
Black tea with no milk increases ability of arteries to
relax, but adding milk prevents this effect
January 10, 2007: A study in 16 volunteers found that
the ability of the arteries to relax (flow-mediated
dilatation) was increased with freshly brewed black tea
but not when skimmed milk was added to the tea or with
boiled water alone. Similar effects were seen in rat
aorta and adding tea also prevented increased activity
of nitric oxide synthase in endothelial cells
(endothelial cells line the inside of arteries). The
results suggest that casein proteins in milk form
complexes with tea catechins and thus negate the
favorable effects of tea on arterial relaxation.
Food industry-funded studies of soft drinks, juice or milk
tend to favor the commercial interests of the funder
January 10, 2007: A PLoS Medicine review of published
studies of soft drinks, juice or milk showed that
studies funded by the food industry tend are almost 8
times as likely to have results favorable to the funder
than studies not funded by industry. Possible reasons
suggested by the author include 1) studies unlikely to
be favorable may not be funded, 2) study hypotheses,
design and analysis may favor the funder, 3) industry
may delay or prevent publication of studies with
unfavorable results, 4) the authors of scientific
reviews may focus on favorable studies. TMT comment:
Food manufacturers know the strengths and weaknesses of
their products and can focus on studies that (correctly)
identify the strengths of a product, while not closely
examining the weaknesses.
Starbucks removing trans fats from its pastries
January 4, 2007: Starbucks is eliminating trans fat from
pastries in one-third of its stores, with a plan to
eventually do the same nationwide. As
of Wednesday, there will no longer be trans fat in
pastries in half the Starbucks stores in the US and
Canada (Seattle, San Francisco, Chicago, Los Angeles,
San Diego, Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Washington,
and Portland, Ore.). The rest of the company-owned US
and Canada stores will phase out trans fat by the end of
the year. Starbucks will encourage a zero trans fat
policy in about 3,200 other North American
establishments that license the Starbucks name. There
are 6 g of trans fats in a chocolate croissant sold at a
typical Starbucks in New York, 5 g in a chocolate
doughnut swirl, 3.5 g in a coffee almost bar, 2.5 g in a
glazed doughnut, and 2 g in a vanilla or chocolate
cupcake. There is 1 g in every gingerbread scone,
crumble coffee cake, and white cheddar brioche.
With resveratrol, mice can run twice as long on a treadmill
November 17, 2006: A recent study (see TMT review of
November 1 below) reported that resveratrol (RSV) prolonged
life span in mice. Now a new study has reported that RSV
treated mice can run twice as long on a treadmill, and were
protected against diet-induced-obesity and insulin
resistance. These effects "were associated with an induction
of genes for oxidative phosphorylation and mitochondrial
biogenesis and were largely explained by an RSV-mediated
decrease in PGC-1α
acetylation and an increase in PGC-1α
activity. this mechanism is consistent with RSV being a
known activator of the protein deacetylase, SIRT1...".
Diet with low carbohydrate and vegetable sources of fat and
protein may reduce coronary risk
November 8, 2006: A 20-year observational study in over
80,000 women in the Nurses' Health Study suggests that a low
carbohydrate diet in which fat and protein come from
vegetables is associated with a 30% reduction in adjusted
risk of coronary heart disease. Observational studies cannot
establish causality but can suggest the need for further
study.
Study in mice shows that resveratrol, found in red wine,
offsets bad effects of high calorie diet and extends
lifespan
November 1, 2006: Resveratrol, a natural, small-molecule
substance found in red wine, is known to extend lifespan in
several non-mammalian species. A new study published in
Nature confirms this finding in middle-aged mammals (mice)
exposed to a high-calorie diet. Compared with a control
group, mice receiving resveratrol lived longer and offset
the adverse effects on blood glucose, insulin and the liver
that occurred in the mice not receiving resveratrol. The National Institute of Aging's Dr.
Richard Hodes advised people to wait for the results of
safety testing of the high doses of resveratrol used in the
mouse study. Dr. Ronald Kahn, president of the Joslin
Diabetes Center in Boston, advised "Have another glass of
pinot noir — that's as far as I'd take it right now."
Observational study in healthy men shows correlation between
alcohol consumption and reduced risk of heart attack
October 24, 2006: In an observational study, a cohort of
almost 9,000 men free of major illness and with favorable
lifestyles for cardiovascular health were followed for 16
years. Compared with men who abstained from alcohol, a lower
risk of heart attack was seen in those who took alcohol: 2%,
41%, 62% and 14% with alcohol consumption of 0.1 to 4.9 g/d,
5.0 to 14.9 g/d, 15.0 to 29.9 g/d (about 2 drinks a day), and 30.0 g/d or more,
respectively. The authors conclude "Even in men already at
low risk on the basis of body mass index, physical activity,
smoking, and diet, moderate alcohol intake is associated
with lower risk" for heart attack.
Observational studies cannot establish causality but can
suggest the need for further study.
Does daily weighing help maintain weight loss?
October 12, 2006: A paper in the New England Journal of
Medicine examined various ways of maintaining weight loss in
a group of people who had lost at least 10% of body weight
through dieting. Participants were randomly assigned to a
control group (105 people who received quarterly
newsletters), face-to-face intervention (105 who regularly
met with study staff and received a scale for daily weight
measurement) and Internet-based intervention (104 who
received a laptop computer and a scale for daily weight
measurement). The face-to-face group did significantly
(p=0.05) better in maintaining weight loss than the control
group, whereas the Internet group was similar to controls.
The authors performed a subgroup analysis comparing those
with and without daily self-weighing; daily self-weighing
was associated with significantly less risk of regaining 2.3
kg or more. The abstract concluded that "a self-regulation
program based on daily weighing improved maintenance of
weight loss". However, in the body of the text, the authors
commented that "frequent self-weighing could be either a
cause or a consequence of weight-loss maintenance". In
addition, and perhaps more importantly, since patients were
not randomized to daily weighing or no daily weighing, and
baseline variables were not examined to show comparability
of the daily weighing and no-daily weighing groups, it
cannot be concluded from these data that daily weighing
helps to maintain weight loss. However, daily weighing is
intuitively appealing and may be worth evaluating in a
properly controlled study.
Smarter breast-feeding mothers mean smarter breast-fed
children
October 4, 2006: Scottish researchers analyzed a US
observational study and concluded that, after adjusting for
confounding factors, increased intelligence in breast-fed
children may be largely related to increased intelligence in
the breast-feeding mothers. The authors conclude “Breast
feeding has little or no effect on intelligence in children.
While breast feeding has many advantages for the child and
mother, enhancement of the child's intelligence is unlikely
to be among them.” The three authors were male and did not
mention the potential impact of the intelligence of the
fathers. Observational studies cannot establish causal
relationships, although they can suggest the need for
further study.
It's OK to eat canned or frozen spinach
September 25, 2006: As of September 24, 173
cases of people with E. Coli infection from spinach have
been reported to FDA. Infected spinach has come from three
coastal California counties (Monterey, San Benito, Santa
Clara). FDA says that fresh spinach known to be grown
outside the implicated counties, as well as canned and
frozen spinach, is safe to eat. E. coli O157:H7 causes
diarrhea, often with bloody stools. Although most healthy
adults can recover completely within a week, some people can
develop a form of kidney failure called HUS (hemolytic
uremic syndrome). HUS is most likely to occur in young
children and the elderly. The condition can lead to serious
kidney damage and even death. [Added Note: October 8 - FDA
has now cleared the eating of fresh spinach.]
Being overweight at age 50 increases risk of death,
particularly in women. Waist/hip ratio may be a better
measure than BMI.
August 23, 2006: Over half a million US
adults 50-71 years old were enrolled in a prospective study
to evaluate self-reported Body Mass Index (BMI). In healthy
people who had never smoked moderate increase in BMI
(25.0-29.9 - “overweight”) was associated with an increase
in the risk of death during up to 10 years follow-up,
particularly if present at age 50 (20-40% increase in death
risk). However, risk increased in women at the lower levels
in the “overweight” range whereas increase in risk in men
occurred at higher levels in the “overweight” range. In a
second study published in the same issue of the New England
Journal of Medicine (Korean
BMI Study), the association
between BMI and risk of death was examined in a 12-year
prospective study of over 1 million Koreans aged 30-95. Risk
of death and risk of atherosclerotic death was increased
with higher BMI. Risk of respiratory death was higher with
lower BMI. The impact of BMI on risk was less with higher
age. However a recent study (Weight,
shape, and mortality risk in older persons: elevated
waist-hip ratio, not high body mass index, is associated
with a greater risk of death), as well as a number of
previous studies, has shown that the waist/hip ratio may be more useful
than BMI in predicting increased mortality; in this study in
elderly patients (>75 years) increase in waist/hip ratio but
not increase in BMI or waist size was associated with
increased total and cardiovascular mortality.
Computerized feedback increases short-term weight loss
August 15, 2006: A randomized study compared
weight loss using three Internet treatments in 182
overweight adults (mean BMI 32.7). All subjects had one
weight loss group session, coupons for meal replacements and
access to an interactive website. The human e-mail
counseling and computer-automated feedback groups also had
access to an electronic diary and message board. The human
e-mail counseling group received weekly email feedback from
a counselor, and the computer-automated feedback group
received automated, tailored messages. At 3 months, weight
loss with computer-automated feedback (-5.3 kg) and human
email counseling (-6.1 kg) was comparable and significantly
greater than with no counseling (-2.8 kg). However, at 6
months weight loss was significantly greater with human
email counseling (-7.3 kg) than with computer-automated
feedback (-4.9 kg) or no counseling (-2.6 kg). The authors
state "Further research is needed to improve the efficacy of
automated computer-tailored feedback as a population-based
weight loss approach."
Increased energy expenditure associated with reduced
mortality in high-functioning older adults
July 12, 2006: In an observational study in
302 high-functioning, community-dwelling older adults (70-82
years) followed for 6 years, objectively measured
free-living activity energy expenditure was strongly
associated with lower risk of mortality. After adjusting for
various confounders, the "hazard ratio" for mortality was
0.31 for the most active third versus the least active third
(12% vs. 25% mortality). According to self-reports, more
active subjects were more likely to work for pay (P = .004)
and climb stairs (P = .01) but self-reported high-intensity
exercise, walking for exercise, walking other than for
exercise, volunteering, and caregiving did not differ
significantly. A major strength of this study was
recruitment of high-functioning, community-dwelling
individuals and the objective measurement of total energy
expenditure, but a weakness is the lack of objective
measurement of the relationship of peak intensity of
exercise to mortality. Observational studies cannot
establish causal relationships, but can suggest the need for
further study.
Trans fats associated with coronary heart disease and sudden
cardiac death
April 14, 2006: A New England Journal of Medicine review and
meta-analysis of four prospective cohort studies with nearly
140,000 subjects showed that trans fats were associated with
an increased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD; 23%), and
sudden cardiac death (47%). The authors believe that
long-term controlled trans fat trials would be unethical and
that a "reasonable approach" is to combine short-term
controlled studies of intermediate endpoints with "carefully
performed observational studies". The authors write “Trans
fats, unsaturated fatty acids with at least one double bond
in the trans configuration, are formed during the partial
hydrogenation of vegetable oils, a process that converts
vegetable oils into semisolid fats .... From the perspective
of the food industry, partially hydrogenated vegetable oils
are attractive because of their long shelf life, their
stability during deep-frying, and their semisolidity, which
can be customized to enhance the palatability of baked goods
and sweets…. Major sources of trans fats are deep-fried fast
foods, bakery products, packaged snack foods, margarines,
and crackers”. The authors conclude “Thus, given the 1.2
million annual myocardial infarctions and deaths from CHD in
the United States, near-elimination of industrially produced
trans fats might avert between 72,000 (6 percent) and
228,000 (19 percent) CHD events each year.”
In a small controlled trial, 2 longevity markers (insulin &
temperature) fell with 6-months calorie restriction; larger,
longer studies needed to assess aging/longevity
April 5, 2006: Prolonged calorie restriction increases life
span in rodents and in previous uncontrolled studies in
humans has been associated with significant decreases in
cardiovascular risk factors, blood pressure, inflammatory
markers, and fasting insulin and glucose levels. The CALEIRE
6-month randomized controlled trial in 48 healthy,
sedentary, "overweight" (but not "obese") adults compared 4
groups: 1) control (weight maintenance diet); 2) calorie
restriction (25% calorie restriction of baseline energy
requirements); 3) calorie restriction with exercise (12.5%
calorie restriction plus 12.5% increase in energy
expenditure by structured exercise); 4) very low-calorie
diet (890 kcal/d until 15% weight reduction, followed by a
weight maintenance diet). Weight loss from baseline was 1%,
10%, 10% and 14% for groups 1, 2, 3 & 4 respectively.
Compared with baseline, fasting insulin levels and
DNA damage fell in the intervention groups 2, 3 & 4, but DNA
damage was not significantly reduced compared with
controls (group 1). Compared with baseline, core body
temperature was reduced in groups 2 & 3 but not in groups 1
& 4. Compared with controls, metabolic adaptation (decrease
in energy expenditure more than predicted by loss of
metabolic mass) was significantly more common (p<0.05) in
the intervention groups. The other primary outcome measures
(DHEAS, glucose, protein carbonyls) showed no significant
changes, perhaps because the study was of only 6 months
duration. The authors conclude that calorie restriction
reduces metabolic rate more than would be expected from the
"reduced metabolic body mass" but that studies "of longer
duration are required to determine if calorie restriction
attenuates the aging process in humans".
Omega 3 fats (found in fish oils and some plants) do not
have a clear effect on mortality, heart disease, or cancer
March 27, 2006: A review of 48 controlled
clinical trials (37,000 participants) and 41 cohort
observational studies showed no clear reduction in
total mortality, combined cardiovascular events, or cancer
from consumption of long chain and shorter chain omega 3
fats [found in fish oils (especially mackerel, lake
trout, herring, sardines, albacore tuna and salmon), and
some plants (such as soybeans, canola and flaxseed)]. There
was a slight beneficial trend for overall
mortality (13% reduction - relative risk 0.87,
95% confidence interval 0.73 to 1.03), with evidence
of benefit being stronger in people with established heart
disease. To determine effects in people without established heart disease,
larger primary prevention studies would be needed.
You're never too old to exercise
February 28, 2006: A study in the February issue of The
Journal of Aging and Health says that people are never too
old to gain health benefits from exercise. An elderly group
of 64 volunteers were divided into three groups: 1) exercise
by walking twice a week. 2) resistance training twice a week.
3) control group who did no exercise. The age range
was 66-96 years (average age 84) and three-quarters were
women. All volunteers could take care of daily tasks on
their own. Some of the exercisers used canes or walkers
during their exercise sessions. After 16 weeks, the exercise
groups had lower systolic blood pressure, improved upper and
lower body strength, improved hip and shoulder flexibility
and improvements in tests of agility, balance and
coordination when compared with the no-exercise group.
Beneficial effects were similar in the walking and
resistance exercise groups.
FDA will require better labeling of whole grains
February 16, 2006: FDA says that anything labeled as
containing whole grains must contain a comparable amount of
the fibrous, protein-dense and nutrient-rich portions of
grains — the endosperm, germ and bran — in the same
proportion normally present in the intact grain. Whole
grains include barley, buckwheat, bulgur, corn, millet,
rice, rye, oats, sorghum, wheat and wild rice. The FDA
suggests that people eat at least 3 ounces of whole-grain
cereals, breads, crackers, rice or pasta every day. One
ounce is about a slice of bread, a cup of breakfast cereal,
or a half cup of cooked rice or pasta.
Calcium/Vitamin D Supplement does not reduce Risk of Hip
Fracture or Colon Cancer in Postmenopausal Women
February 16, 2006: As part of the WHI study, over 36,000
postmenopausal women were randomized to placebo or daily
calcium + vitamin D supplementation for an average of 7
years. There was no significant difference between the
randomized groups in the frequency of hip fracture or
colorectal cancer, but there was a significantly increased
risk of kidney stone in the calcium+vitamin D group.
However, subjects in both groups were allowed to use
additional calcium, vitamin D, bisphosphonates, calcitonin
and hormone therapy - which may have obscured any potential
benefit. Overall, the yearly rate of hip fracture was 0.14%
in the active treatment group versus 0.16% in the placebo
group (a 12% reduction that was not statistically
significant). However, subset analyses (which should be
interpreted cautiously) showed that women who
consistently took the full supplement dose had a
29% reduction in hip fracture, and
in women 60 years or older there was a 21% decrease in hip
fracture risk. There was also a very small (but
statistically significant) overall increase in hip bone
density. There was no reduction in colorectal cancer
although the calcium/vitamin D dosage and 7-year duration of
the study may have been insufficient to detect a benefit.
Study Finds Low-Fat Diet Won't Stop Cancer or Heart Disease
February 7, 2006: A low-fat diet did not prevent cancer or
heart disease in a $415 million NIH WHI study of nearly 49,000
women aged 50 to 79 randomly assigned to a low-fat or normal
diet and followed for eight years. The results were reported
in the Feb. 8 issue of JAMA and showed that the women
assigned to the low-fat diet did eat significantly less fat
(about 25% versus about 35% of calories as fat), but they
had no statistically significant differences in rates of
breast cancer, colon cancer, heart disease or diabetes, and
showed little or no effect on body weight, insulin or
glucose blood levels. For heart disease risk factors, only
LDL cholesterol was lower with the low-fat diet but this
effect was small. The breast cancer data showed a 9%
non-statistically-significant reduction in risk with the low
fat diet and the study women will continue to be followed,
and the possibility of beneficial effects in certain
subgroups will be examined. This study was designed 2
decades ago and does not reflect current thinking on the
possible benefits of the Mediterranean diet or exercise -
life style modifications that have not yet been tested in a
large randomized clinical trial. These disappointing results
are similar to those shown with dietary fiber, vitamin
therapy and hormone replacement therapy in which
non-randomized observational studies suggested benefit, but
in which subsequent randomized studies showed no benefit.
Fruits & Vegetables May Reduce Stroke Risk
January 27, 2006: Five or more daily servings of fruits and
vegetables were associated with a 26% reduction in
stroke risk compared with less than 3 servings daily in a
meta-analysis of 8 observational studies including over
250,000 adults with average follow-up of 13 years. The risk
reduction applied to both hemorrhagic and ischemic strokes.
Although the results of observational studies should be
regarded with some caution, these latest results certainly
support many other studies (as well as your mother's
admonitions to eat your vegetables).
2. PAIN
Combination of sumatriptan and naproxen useful for acute
treatment of migraine
April 4, 2007: A fixed dose tablet containing sumatriptan
(85mg) and naproxen (500mg) was more effective than placebo
and than either agent alone for acute treatment of a
moderate or severe migraine attack.
Ibuprofen best pain killer for kids with acute traumatic
musculoskeletal injuries
March 5, 2007: In a double blind study in 336 children 6-17
years old with musculoskeletal injury (to extremities, neck,
and back) in the last 48 hours, ibuprofen (10 mg/kg) was
better than acetaminophen (15 mg/kg) and codeine (1 mg/kg)
in pain relief.
Arthritis and related conditions cost over $500 per year per
American adult
January 11, 2007: The US Government Center for Disease
Control and Prevention (CDC) says that arthritis and other
rheumatic conditions (46 million people) cost $128 billion
in 2003, i.e., $538 per American 15 years or older. Direct
costs were $81 billion, with $47 billion for indirect costs
such as lost wages. The 2003 figure is an increase of almost
60% in six years and is attributed by CDC to more Americans
being overweight and to the aging of the population. The
government recommends lowering costs with self-management
programs to teach patients how to manage their pain and
continue working despite the pain. Note: Over 2,000
people with chronic pain have used TMT's chronic pain
questionnaires to help them understand their pain (http://masterdocs.com/pain.htm).
Pain gene variants can increase or eliminate pain
December 14, 2006: Variants of the SCN9A gene can cause pain
hypersensitivity or total elimination of the sensation of
pain. Pain signals are carried to the brain through nerve
impulses generated by a SCN9A-coded voltage-gated sodium
channel. Because all pain fibers depend on the SCN9A gene’s
protein for amplification, all signals of pain are assumed
to be muted when the gene is inactive. This finding may
provide a new therapeutic target for drug development.
Most back & sciatica patients who don't require urgent
surgery improve with either medical or surgical therapy. You
can always get surgery later.
November 22, 2006: JAMA today published the two SPORT trials
(randomized and observational) and two editorials comparing
surgical (open diskectomy) and non-surgical (standard
medical care) treatment of patients with a herniated
intervertebral disk and sciatica for at least 6 weeks but
without evidence of an urgent need for surgery such as loss
of bowel or bladder control. Medical and surgical patients
improved at about the same rate with a slight but
unconvincing trend in favor of surgery. There was no
evidence that delaying surgery increased the risk of serious
complications. Neither trial gave adequate reason for saying
either that the treatments were equivalent in effectiveness
or for saying that one or other was better. One trial was
randomized but 30% of medical patients actually received
surgery in the first 3 months of the study. The
non-randomized study (patients from the same clinics who
declined randomization) showed an advantage for surgery by
patient self-assessment of outcome but observational studies
such as this cannot establish causality and require
confirmation in a randomized trial of adequate size, design
and execution. It is reasonable for patients with a
herniated disk with sciatica but without urgent indications
for surgery to select medical or surgical therapy on the
basis of personal preference and level of pain; they can
always decide to have surgery later if they don’t improve. A
TMT associate has suggested that any superiority of surgery
might not be because of the surgery itself but because it is
socially and medically acceptable to have a period of bed
rest and enforced inactivity following such surgery.
Pain relief in fibromyalgia reported with pregabelin
(Lyrica) in 6-month double-blind study
November 17, 2006: Previous short-term studies with
pregabelin (Lyrica) have reported pain relief in patients
with fibromyalgia, a poorly understood condition that
affects 2-4% of the population. In a new 6-month
double-blind trial, Lyrica relieved fibromyalgia pain
significantly more than placebo. This trial used a
placebo-withdrawal design in which responders (at least 50%
improvement in pain score) after 6 weeks of open-label
Lyrica treatment (663 of 1051 patients, 63%) were assigned
to continue Lyrica or to be switched to placebo. By the end
of the 6-month trial, 68% of Lyrica patients had maintained
their pain response versus only 39% of placebo patients.
Although these findings are encouraging, a definitive
assessment of this study must await full publication of the
results.
Americans are living longer but have more long-term pain
November 15, 2006: The annual report for the US Government
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) says that
chronic pain is common in US adults: 1) One in 10 have pain
that lasts a year or more, 2) One quarter had a day-long
bout of pain in the past month, 3) More than a quarter had
low back pain in the past three months. 4) Fifteen per cent
had migraines or severe headaches in the past three months,
and 5) Almost one in twenty used a narcotic drug in the past
month for pain relief. Americans are living longer, with
life span at a record average of almost 80 years. At birth,
life expectancy for females is just over 80 years and nearly
75 for males. The gap in life expectancy between white and
black Americans also has narrowed from seven years in 1990
to five years in 2004.
Unblinded randomized study suggests acupuncture is effective
in patients with osteoarthritis
October 31, 2006: In a study in over 700 patients with
osteoarthritis, patients were randomly assigned to
acupuncture or to a control group. Over a 6-month period,
acupuncture patients improved significantly more than
control patients. Neither patients nor physicians were
blinded to treatment group allocation, so that bias may
explain the differences between treatment groups. However,
previous evaluation using sham acupuncture has supported the
efficacy of acupuncture for the treatment of arthritis (see
the June 19, 2006 TMT review below).
Test for H. Pylori Before Starting NSAIDs in High GI Risk
Patients
September 25, 2006: The American Gastroenterology
Association recommends evaluation of both gastrointestinal
and cardiovascular risks when considering NSAID therapy.
This should include a routine test for Helicobacter pylori
(H. Pylori) infection for all such patients at high risk of
GI complications. Short-term studies have shown that
eradicating H. Pylori infection before starting an NSAID
reduces the risk of peptic ulcers from the NSAID.
Fibromyalgia symptoms respond to acupuncture in controlled
trial
June 19, 2006: A 50-patient clinical trial from the Mayo
Clinic suggests that acupuncture may ease pain, fatigue and
anxiety in patient with fibromyalgia. Patients were randomly
assigned to acupuncture or (in a technically interesting
approach) to simulated acupuncture in which subjects were
unaware whether the needle merely pricked the skin or was
inserted into the muscle beneath the skin. The acupuncture
group improved significantly compared to the simulated
acupuncture group, as determined by serial measurements of
the Fibromyalgia Impact Questionnaire (FIQ) and the
Multidimensional Pain Inventory (MPI). Effects were maximal
at 1 month and were somewhat attenuated by 7 months. The
level of clinical benefit seen was similar to that seen with
drug interventions.
Before undergoing knee cartilage surgery, make sure the
symptoms come from the cartilage damage
February 28, 2006: According to
the Boston Osteoarthritis Knee Study, patients with
osteoarthritis of the knee commonly have damaged cartilage
(medial meniscus in 86% and lateral meniscus in 63%).
However, the lead author of the study stated that while
meniscectomies are often performed to relieve pain, "all
efforts should be made not to go in and remove the menisci
unless they are likely to be the cause of arthritis
symptoms." A previous study found that tears of the menisci,
common in osteoarthritis of the knee, are often incidental
findings that don’t cause symptoms. Non-surgical methods to
manage osteoarthritis pain include exercise and weight loss,
knee braces, motion control shoes, and analgesics and
anti-inflammatory drugs. (Hunter DJ et al., Arthritis &
Rheumatism. 2006; 54(3):795-801).
Celebrex effective in knee osteoarthritis. Glucosamine &
chondroitin did not show clear improvement.
February 23, 2006: The GAIT study
was a 1583-patient, 24-week, double-blind study in patients
with painful osteoarthritis of the knee and compared 1)
glucosamine (1500 mg/day), 2) chondroitin (1200 mg/day), 3)
glucosamine + chondroitin, 4) celecoxib (200 mg/day), and 5)
placebo. The results for the primary efficacy measure (20
percent decrease in knee pain from baseline to week 24)
showed no significant improvement versus placebo for
glucosamine or chondroitin (alone or in combination),
although an exploratory analysis of patients with more
severe pain suggested some improvement. In the celecoxib (Celebrex)
patient group, there was a statistically significant
(P=0.008) increase in the primary efficacy measure (70.1%
response versus 60.1% for placebo). The study was not large
enough or long enough for definitive evaluation of
cardiovascular safety. There were three serious adverse
events judged by the investigator to be related to study
treatment - one patient on combined glucosamine and
chondroitin had congestive heart failure; one patient on
glucosamine had chest pain; and one patient on celecoxib had
a stroke. A review of all adverse events requested by the
data and safety monitoring board did not suggest that
celecoxib increased ischemic cardiovascular events. Most adverse events were mild, infrequent, and evenly
distributed among the groups.
Fewer upper gastrointestinal complications with Celebrex
than NSAIDs
February 23, 2006: The SUCCESS-I
osteoarthritis trial (March 2006 issue of American Journal of Medicine) was
a 13,274 patient, double-blind, 12-week comparison of twice
daily dosing with celecoxib
(Celebrex 200 mg or 400 mg/day), and non-COX-2-selective NSAIDs (diclofenac
100 mg/day or naproxen 1,000 mg/day). The treatments
were equally effective in treating osteoarthritis. Celebrex was
associated with significantly fewer serious upper
gastrointestinal events than NSAIDs. The study was not
designed to look at cardiovascular safety, was not large
enough to answer this question definitively, and did not
provide clear definitions of cardiovascular endpoints (e.g.,
heart attack). Although heart failure was 4.5 times as
common in the non-selective NSAID group (P=.01), this
finding should be interpreted cautiously and would need to
be confirmed in a further prospective clinical trial.
Additional analysis comparing the effects of the high (400
mg/day) and moderate (200 mg/day) doses of Celebrex would be
useful.
Inflammation may be "driving force" for atherosclerosis
February 23, 2006: Rheumatoid
arthritis (RA) patients had a threefold increase in
preclinical carotid atherosclerotic plaque, independent of
traditional risk factors, according to a matched
cross-sectional study. The researchers recommend rigorous
control of rheumatoid disease activity because chronic
inflammation is "probably a driving force for premature
atherosclerosis." This report supports previous work showing
that chronic pain conditions associated with inflammation
are associated with increased cardiovascular risk and
increased mortality. This work does not establish that the
inflammation causes cardiovascular disease. Additional
research is required to determine if effective drug
treatment of inflammation associated with chronic pain might
reduce cardiac risk and mortality.
Headache more common in women
February 18, 2006: In a British
general practice study, women consulted their doctor for
headache 2.6 times as often as men. Consultation rates were
highest in the 15 to 24 year age group and declined with
age. In one third of the consultations, drug treatment for
migraine was prescribed.
Heat Therapy Proves Effective for Acute Lower Back Pain
January 27, 2006: A Johns Hopkins
study suggests that continuous low-level heat wrap therapy
is an effective adjunct or alternative to painkillers in
treatment of acute lower back pain (Journal of Occupational
and Environmental Medicine, December 2005). In a randomized
study of 43 patients, those wearing the wrap (worn under the
clothes and uses a chemical reaction to deliver low-level
topical heat) improved by nearly two points from baseline on
a 10-point pain-intensity scale, compared with less than one
point of improvement in the standard care group
(P=0.0029).The heat-therapy group also rated their pain
relief as "more than half better" on average at day one,
compared with an average assessment of "less than half
better" for the standard care group (P=0.0027). The benefits
of heat therapy were maintained through two weeks of
follow-up. The heat-therapy group also had significantly
greater improvements in mobility. The ThermaCare HeatWrap,
manufactured by Proctor & Gamble, is an FDA-approved class I
medical device and can be purchased without a prescription.
3. CANCER
HPV vaccine could prevent cancer of cervix, vulva, vagina,
mouth and throat.
May 18,
2007: The vaccine against the human papillomavirus (HPV) is
believed to reduce the risk of cancer of the cervix
(http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/abstract/356/19/1915).
Mandatory HPV vaccination of girls has been suggested but is
controversial
(http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/356/19/1905).
Recent controlled trials indicate that the HPV virus may
also be implicated in oropharyngeal cancer (cancer of
the mouth and throat in which HPV virus may be transmitted
by oral sex; http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/abstract/356/19/1944)
and in cancer of the vulva and vagina (http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140673607607776/abstract).
Religious people with advanced cancer get inadequate
spiritual support and want aggressive measures to extend
life
February
9, 2007: The “Coping with Cancer” federally-funded study
examined religiousness among cancer patients and its
associations with end-of-life treatment preferences and
quality of life. The authors stated: “Most (88%) of the
study population (N = 230) considered religion to be at
least somewhat important. Nearly half (47%) reported that
their spiritual needs were minimally or not at all supported
by a religious community, and 72% reported that their
spiritual needs were supported minimally or not at all by
the medical system. Spiritual support by religious
communities or the medical system was significantly
associated with patient QOL (P = .0003). Religiousness was
significantly associated with wanting all measures to extend
life (odds ratio, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.08 to 3.57).” They
concluded that “Many advanced cancer patients’ spiritual
needs are not supported by religious communities or the
medical system, and spiritual support is associated with
better QOL. Religious individuals more frequently want
aggressive measures to extend life.”
In observational study, dense breast tissue increased risk
of breast cancer and increased difficulty of diagnosis
January
18, 2007:
In an observational study,
women with breasts with higher "mammographic density" (more
epithelium/stroma and less fat) had a higher rate of breast
cancer. As compared with women with
density in less than 10% of the mammogram, women with
density in 75% or more had an almost 5 times increase in risk. Fat is radiographically lucent and
appears dark on a mammogram. In contrast, breast epithelium (layers
of cells derived from membranous
tissue covering internal surfaces) and
stroma (connective tissue providing a support framework) are
radiographically dense and look light, an appearance
referred to as "mammographic density". Cancer in
breasts with higher mammographic density was also more
difficult to detect. The authors conclude
"Extensive mammographic density is strongly associated
with the risk of breast cancer detected by screening or
between screening tests. A substantial fraction of breast
cancers can be attributed to this risk factor".
Observational studies cannot establish causality but can
suggest the need for additional study.
Cancer deaths are down. Cancer pain is treatable.
January
17, 2007: Fewer people died of cancer in 2004 than in 2003,
the second consecutive year cancer deaths declined in the
United States. Rates declined for most major cancers. Breast
cancer death rates have been dropping steadily since 1990,
attributed by the American Cancer Society (ACS) to earlier
detection and better treatments. Both incidence and death
rates have dropped for colorectal cancer in recent years.
Lung cancer remains the top cancer killer among both men and
women; rates among women have flattened in recent years, but
fewer men are getting lung cancer or dying from it.
African-Americans are still much more likely than any other
group to develop cancer and die from it. Hispanics, Asian
Americans, and Pacific Islanders have lower rates of most
cancers than whites, but tend to have higher rates of
cancers that may be linked to infections, such as cervical
cancer and liver cancer. About 30% of cancer deaths in the
US are caused by smoking. Another third are linked to
nutrition and physical activity. ACS recommends keeping
weight in a healthy range, getting plenty of exercise, and
eating a healthy diet with lots of fruits and vegetables to
reduce cancer risk. The ACS has a special section in this
year's Facts & Figures focusing on cancer pain and how to
treat it; cancer survivors and doctors should discuss pain
at every visit, and treat it promptly. [Note: TMT has an
ongoing collaboration with the MD Anderson Cancer Center
evaluating bone pain in patients with bony metastases.]
Randomized study suggests reduced fat in diet reduces breast
cancer recurrence
December
18, 2006: An interim analysis of data from the 2,437
subjects in the Women's Intervention Nutrition Study (WINS)
found that after 5 years women with previous breast cancer
who were randomized to a low fat diet (compared with those
randomized to a normal diet) consumed about 20 grams less
fat, weighed about 6 pounds less, and had a 24% lower risk
of recurrence (9.8% versus 12.4%). A reduced fat diet is
known to reduce estrogen levels and the reduction in
relative risk was greater for estrogen-negative cancer (42%)
than for estrogen-positive cancer (15%). Although there were
possible imbalances in treatment between the two groups,
randomized studies like WINS provide more persuasive
evidence than can be obtained from an observational study.
Breast cancer rate dropped 7% in 2003, possibly because of
less female hormone therapy
December
14, 2006: In 2003, the US breast cancer rate dropped 7%, the
largest-ever recorded yearly drop. Rates have risen most
years since 1945. The drop could be related to slowing,
stopping or reversal of the growth of small cancers because
of sudden discontinuation of female hormone therapy (~50%
drop in the number of hormone users in 1 year) by millions
of women following the July 2002 publication of the 26%
increase in risk of breast cancer associated with hormone
therapy in the WHI trial. In California, where hormone
therapy had been highest, the drop was larger than in other
states. The drop in estrogen-positive breast cancers (the
70% of breast cancers that are fueled by female hormones)
dropped twice as much as estrogen-negative breast cancer.
Women 50-69 years old (those most likely to take hormones)
had a drop 3 times greater than other age groups. Yearly
breast cancer rates dropped 2.5% from 2001 to 2002 and
dropped 7% from 2002 to 2003 (6% in the first half of 2003
and 9% in the second half). Until 2002 about one third of
American women over 50 took hormones. Other explanations for
the drop are possible. Observational studies cannot
establish causality but can suggest the need for further
study.
Observational study suggests that surgery or radiation for
localized prostate cancer improves survival in elderly men
December
12, 2006: Over 44,000 men 65-80 years old with localized and
well/moderately well differentiated prostate cancer who had
survived for 1 year after diagnosis were followed for up to
12 years. Mortality was 37% in the observational group and
24% in the treatment group (those who received radical
prostatectomy or radiation); adjusted analysis showed a
statistically significant advantage for the treatment group.
Observational studies cannot establish causality but can
suggest the need for further study. The authors state that
“these results must be validated in randomized controlled
trials of alternative management strategies in elderly men
with localized prostate cancer”.
Higher PSA velocity 10-15 years before prostate cancer
diagnosis may be associated with higher prostate cancer
mortality
October
26, 2006: An observational study in the Journal of the
National Cancer Institute suggests that the rate at which
serum PSA levels change (PSA velocity) may be an indicator
of the risk of prostate cancer death 25 years later.
However, an accompanying
Editorial suggests that definite conclusions on this
issue should await completion of large randomized trials
that are ongoing. Observational studies cannot establish
causality but can suggest the need for further study.
CT screening detects early lung cancer
October
26, 2006: Lung cancer was detected in 1.5% of over 30,000
people at risk of lung cancer who were screened by CT. The
cancer was judged to be early (Stage I) in 1.3%. The authors
"estimated" 10-year survival rates at 88% for all Stage I
cancer patients, and 92% for the 73% of Stage I cancer
patients who had surgical resection of the cancer within one
month of diagnosis. Although these results are encouraging,
without a control group it is not possible to determine if
survival in the screening group was improved by the early
detection of the lung cancer.
Observational study suggests that NSAIDs may protect against
development of prostate cancer only in men with the gene
type associated with higher LTA levels
August 30, 2006: An
observational (case-control) study suggests that a
protective effect of NSAIDs against the development of
prostate cancer may be confined to those with a particular
inflammatory response gene type (the LTA +80CC genotype).
Aspirin or ibuprofen reduced risk of prostate cancer by 33%
overall. However, this beneficial effect appeared to be
confined to men with the LTA + 80CC genotype (which is
associated with increased production of lymphotoxin alpha)
in whom a significant 57% reduction was seen (compared to
men without this genetic variant in whom no significant
reduction in risk was seen with NSAIDs). Observational
studies cannot establish causality but can suggest the need
for further study.
Node-positive breast cancer women who have
more HER2 receptor activity do better with epirubicin as
part of a triple therapy regimen
May 18, 2006: An article
in the New England Journal of Medicine describes a
prespecified subgroup multivariate analysis of the Mammary.5
controlled trial in women with node-positive breast cancer
and concludes “Amplification of HER2 in breast-cancer cells
is associated with clinical responsiveness to
anthracycline-containing chemotherapy.” Amplification of the
human epidermal growth factor receptor type 2 (HER2) means
an increased response of breast cancer cells to this growth
factor. The 710 women in the trial were followed for an
average of 10 years; 363 had a recurrence and 284 died.
Women who had HER2 amplification (about one-quarter of the
women) had a greater risk of relapse and death respectively
of 24% and 53% compared to non-HER2 amplification women.
However, if the Pfizer drug epirubicin [Ellence] rather than
methotrexate was given as part of a triple drug therapy
regimen to the HER2 amplification women, prognosis was
improved: 48% (p=0.003) better for relapse-free survival,
and 35% (p=0.06) better for overall survival; the adjusted
hazard ratio for the “interaction between treatment and
amplification status” was 1.96 (p=0.01) for relapse-free
survival and 2.04 (P=0.02) for overall survival. No clear
advantage was seen for epirubicin in the non-HER2
amplification group. The authors conclude that the increase
in benefit attributable to the triple therapy regimen with
epirubicin "is confined almost completely to women whose
tumors exhibit amplification or overexpression of HER2” and
they recommend that women with non-HER2 amplified breast
cancer should receive the “less toxic regimen” containing
methotrexate. An accompanying
Editorial expresses a few caveats about this study
(women were premenopausal, topoisomerase IIa may be a better molecular predictor
than HER2, trastuzumab [Herceptin] may prove superior to
chemotherapy) but concludes “The time has come to divide
breast cancer into clinically relevant molecular subgroups,
to prioritize the clinical questions applicable to each
subgroup, and to strengthen collaboration between clinicians
and laboratory scientists in identifying molecular
signatures that can predict the success or failure of
treatment.”
Observational study of breast cancer in post-hysterectomy
women supports safety of estrogen therapy for up to 15
years, but breast cancer risk might increase with longer
duration of estrogen therapy
May
9, 2006: In an observational study, post-hysterectomy
women in the Nurses Health Study were divided into six
pre-specified 5-year groups
depending on the duration of self-reported estrogen alone
(unopposed) therapy (none, less than 5 years, 5-<10 years,
10-<15 years, 15-<20 years, 20 years or more).
A significantly higher risk of invasive breast cancer was
reported for women who self-reported estrogen use for 20
years or more compared with women who self-reported no estrogen
use. No significant
increase in overall breast cancer risk was noted for estrogen users in the other
four estrogen 5-year groups. There was a
significant trend (p<.001) for increased overall breast
cancer risk as duration of
estrogen therapy increased. There was an increased risk of
hormone sensitive breast cancers - i.e., cancers positive
for estrogen receptor (ER+) and progesterone receptor (PR+)
- after 15 years. The paper provided limited
demographic and baseline comparisons. A multivariate analysis adjusted for a number of
demographic/baseline factors. The total numbers in each
group was not specified because the study used
"person-years, rather than individuals themselves, as the
denominator" (personal communication, Wendy Chen). Observational studies cannot establish
causal relationships, but can suggest the need for further
study. Most authorities recommend that women and their
doctors review on a regular basis whether estrogen therapy
needs to be continued.
New prostate cancer gene may cause 8% of prostate cancers in
men of European stock and 16% of those in African American
men
May
8, 2006: Prostate cancer is common. A new gene (a
variant on chromosome 8q24; allele -8 of the microsatellite
DG8S737) is associated with an estimated population
attributable risk (PAR) for prostate cancer of 8% in men of
European ancestry and in 16% of cases in African American
men. PAR is the portion of the incidence of a disease in the
population (exposed and nonexposed) that is due to exposure
to a factor. It represents the incidence of a disease in the
population that would be eliminated if exposure to the
factor were eliminated. The genetic variant is also
associated with more rapid development of the disease in
prostate cancer patients. A future diagnostic test might
identify patients at high risk of developing prostate
cancer, and the need for more aggressive treatment if a
patient with prostate cancer has the genetic variant.
No increase in breast cancer risk with estrogen alone
April 12, 2006: A previous report
of the WHI randomized trial in postmenopausal women who had
had a hysterectomy showed that estrogen plus progestin
(Prempro) increased the risk of breast cancer. A new WHI
report in JAMA shows no increase in the risk of breast
cancer with conjugated equine estrogens (CEE) alone
(Premarin). This study included 10,739 postmenopausal women
randomly assigned to Premarin (0.625 mg/day) or placebo.
After an average 7-year follow-up, Premarin was associated
with a near-significant (p=.09) 20% reduction (0.28% vs.
0.34%) in the primary endpoint of invasive breast cancer. In
exploratory analysis, somewhat greater reductions with
Premarin were seen for localized breast cancer and ductal
breast cancer, and in those with higher breast cancer risk
on entering the trial, a history of benign breast disease,
or an increased number of first degree relatives with breast
cancer. The Premarin group had a higher risk of mammograms
with abnormalities requiring follow-up (9.2% vs. 5.5% at 1
year, and 36% vs. 28% at the end of the trial) but this was
mainly because of calcifications in the breast. The authors
concluded "Treatment with CEE alone for 7.1 years does not
increase breast cancer incidence in postmenopausal women
with prior hysterectomy. However, treatment with CEE
increases the frequency of mammography screening requiring
short interval follow-up. Initiation of CEE should be based
on consideration of the individual woman's potential risks
and benefits." The WHI was funded by the National Heart,
Lung and Blood Institute (NHLBI) which stated "The findings
still support current recommendations that hormone therapy
should only be used to treat menopausal symptoms and should
be used at the smallest effective dose for the shortest
possible time." Note that this trial was prematurely
discontinued in 2004 because of an
Increased Stroke Risk on Premarin, and in a separate
April 10, 2006
Venous Thrombosis Report from the WHI Premarin
trial in the Archives of Internal Medicine, Premarin was
associated with a statistically significant increase in deep
venous thrombosis (0.23%/year vs. 0.15%/year) and a
near-significant increase in total venous thromboembolism
(including both deep venous thrombosis and pulmonary
embolism) (0.30%/year vs. 0.22%/year).
Chemotherapy most useful in the 30% of women with
ER-negative breast cancers
April 12, 2006: A combined JAMA
analysis of studies of breast cancer in 6,644 lymph
node-positive patients confirmed previous work showing that
chemotherapy statistically significantly reduced the risk of
recurrence in patients with ER-negative
(estrogen-receptor-negative) tumors (by 20-25%), compared
with a non-significant decrease (by about 10%) in those with
ER-positive tumors who had chemotherapy added to tamoxifen
anti-estrogen drug therapy. Mortality was statistically
significantly reduced (55%) in ER-negative patients, and
non-significantly reduced (23%) in ER-positive patients.
Five-year disease-free survival was increased 23% for
ER-negative patients and 7% for ER-positive patients.
High dose Celebrex reduces risk of new colon polyps but
increases cardiovascular risk in patients with previous
colon polyps
April 4, 2006: New results
reported at an American Association for Cancer Research
meeting from the 3-year, double-blind
APC and
PreSAP celecoxib (Celebrex) trials show that high dose
(400-800 mg/day) celecoxib reduces by 45% the risk of new
colon adenomas (pre-cancerous polyps, about 20% of which
progress to colon cancer). Although this is an important
finding, the cardiovascular safety of celecoxib is a more
important issue for the average patient on celecoxib, and
was discussed only briefly at the Pfizer website: “As
reported in late 2004 based on a preliminary analysis, the
final results of APC demonstrated a statistically
significant increase in the Celebrex group compared to
placebo for serious cardiovascular events, while PreSAP did
not. A new, broader analysis of serious and other
cardiovascular events, including angina, for both APC and
PreSAP, found more cardiovascular events with Celebrex
compared to placebo. These results are consistent with the
current warnings on cardiovascular risk in the Celebrex
label…. The evidence available today is that the typical
arthritis dose of 200 mg of Celebrex taken daily does not
increase the risk of cardiovascular events compared to other
common prescription arthritis pain relievers (NSAIDs).”
An article on
MedPage Today gives more detail on cardiovascular risk:
In the APC trial, “renal/hypertensive events” (related to
high blood pressure and kidney function) showed no drug
effect but “cardiovascular events” were significantly more
common with celecoxib than with placebo (1% placebo; 2.3%
400 mg/day; 3.4% 800 mg/day); the total number of deaths was
small (10/2035, 0.5%; 1 on placebo; 3 on 400 mg/day; 6 on
800 mg/day). In the PreSAP trial, “renal/hypertensive
events” were significantly (p<0.01) more common with
celecoxib 400 mg once daily (21%) than with placebo (15%);
“cardiovascular events” were also significantly (p<0.05)
more common with celecoxib (7.5%) than with placebo (4.8%).
In summary, high dosage (400 mg/day or more) of celecoxib is
associated with an increased cardiovascular risk in patients
with a previous history of adenomas of the colon. It is not
known if cardiovascular risk is similarly increased with
high celecoxib dosage in patients with arthritis, the most
common reason for prescribing celecoxib. In addition, the
current evidence does not suggest any increased
cardiovascular risk with celecoxib at dosage of 200 mg/day
or less.
Observational study finds less breast cancer with use of
COX-2 inhibitors
In an observational study reported at
the American Association for Cancer Research meeting, taking
COX-2 inhibitor drugs for at least two years was associated
with a 71% reduction in the risk of breast cancer. The study
compared 323 breast cancer patients to 649 women without
breast cancer. Since this was an observational study, it
cannot be concluded that the lower risk was because
of taking the COX-2 inhibitor drugs. In a separate
study from the Mayo Clinic of women with atypical
hyperplasia of the breast, a higher level of COX-2 activity
(which might be suppressed by COX-2 inhibitors) was
associated with a higher risk of breast cancer.
Breast asymmetry may be associated with increased risk of
breast cancer
March 20, 2006: A clinical study from
England suggests that asymmetry in the size of a woman's
left and right breasts as measured by mammography may be a
risk factor for breast cancer. Women with normal initial
mammography but who developed breast cancer later were
compared with age-matched women who did not develop breast
cancer (252 women in each group). The volume of each breast
was measured and the difference in volume between breasts
calculated. Breast cancer risk increased by 50% for each 100
ml difference in volume between breasts, and breast
asymmetry was found to be an independent predictor of cancer
risk. The authors plan
additional studies in a group of 13,000 women who were free
of breast cancer on entry into a menopause study 25 years
ago.
Three of four older Americans skip colon cancer screening
March 9, 2006: Three out of four
Americans aged 50-70 don't get regular screening for colon
cancer, the second leading cancer killer in the US. Everyone
should get a screening colonoscopy at age 50. The reasons
people did not have a colonoscopy were: no discussion with
their doctor (26%), no symptoms of disease (24%) and don't
want a colonoscopy (28%). Recommendations for colonoscopy
after 50 vary. Some experts recommend testing at age 50 and
then every 3-5 years. However, Dr. David Stein, director of
education for the Colon Cancer Foundation says that if a
person with no family history of the disease has a
colonoscopy at 50, the doctor performing the test is able to
review the entire colon, and no problems are found, he or
she doesn’t need to have the test again for 10 years. A new
non-invasive test that screens for colon cancer by looking
for cancer-related DNA in the stool is less accurate and
only detects about 60% of colon cancers but a positive
result usually does indicate disease. Dr. Stein recommends
this test if a person refuses to have a colonoscopy.
Virus found in prostate cancer - significance unclear
February 24, 2006: A new virus has been identified in
human prostate cancer tumors using a DNA-hunting "virus
chip", but the current data no not establish that the new
virus actually causes the prostate cancer. Previous
epidemiologic and genetic research has suggested that
prostate cancer may result from chronic inflammation,
perhaps as a response to a viral infection. Scientists have
previously speculated that a virus may be involved in some
types of prostate cancer in men that have abnormal copies of
the RNASEL gene (which protects against viruses), and the
new virus was found more often in human prostate tumors with
two RNASEL mutations (8 of 20 tumors) than in tumors with at least one normal
copy of the gene (1 of 66 tumors).
Prostate Cancer Screening may not Improve Survival
January 10, 2006: Men who have
been screened for prostate cancer by the most commonly used
tests (PSA test and rectal examination) have no greater
chance of surviving the disease than those who have not been
screened at all, new research has found. Dr. John Concato,
the lead author on the paper, stressed that a physician was
obligated to clarify all the issues for patients. "He should
explain the benefits and risks, in the context of each
patient's values. For example, some patients place such a
high premium on avoiding incontinence and impotence that a
positive PSA. test can be problematic." The research
involved nearly 72,000 men over 50 (1,425 with prostate
cancer) who received outpatient care at any of 10 Veterans
Affairs hospitals in New England.
Treatment Is Found to Stave Off Death from Ovarian Cancer
January 5, 2006: Pumping
chemotherapy (paclitaxel and cisplatin) directly into the
abdominal cavity can add 16 months or more to the lives of
many women with advanced cases of ovarian cancer. Medical
practice should change immediately, cancer experts say. The
National Cancer Institute is taking the unusual step of
issuing a "clinical announcement" to encourage doctors to
use the abdominal treatment. Such announcements are few and
far between: they are made when a readily available
treatment can lead to a big increase in survival. The last
time the institute took this kind of action was in 1999, to
publicize a major advance in cervical cancer. In a new
study, published in the New England Journal of Medicine, 415
patients were treated at 40 hospitals in the United States.
Most were 41 to 70 years old, and all had had surgery to
remove the cancer. About half the women, 210, were picked at
random to get intravenous therapy, and 205 received both
intravenous and IP treatment. Patients getting IP treatment
had devices and tubing implanted in the abdomen to pipe in
the chemotherapy. They received a total of six treatments,
given once every three weeks. Basically, the procedure soaks
the tumors in the powerful cancer-killing drugs. In the
intravenous group, the median survival was 49.7 months, but
it was 65.6 months in the intravenous + IP group - a
difference of 15.9 months.
4. HEART DISEASE & STROKE
Adverse cardiovascular effects with rofecoxib (Vioxx) versus
placebo in patients with colorectal cancer
July 26, 2007: The VICTOR double-blind study compared
rofecoxib (Vioxx) and placebo in 2,434 patients with
colorectal cancer. The study was prematurely discontinued
because of withdrawal of rofecoxib from the market because
of cardiovascular events. Median duration of double-blind
therapy was 7 months and median duration of follow-up was 33
months. The "primary cardiovascular event end point"
(presumably pre-specified in writing prior to data analysis
although this is not explicitly stated) was the occurrence
during double-blind treatment or within 14 days after
double-blind treatment of cardiovascular thrombotic events
(fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction, TIA, peripheral
arterial thrombosis, peripheral venous thrombosis and
pulmonary embolism). 16 of 23 confirmed cardiovascular
thrombotic events during or within 14 days after the
treatment period occurred in the rofecoxib group (relative
risk 2.66; p = 0.04 on unadjusted analysis). However, as the
authors point out, "slightly more patients in the
rofecoxib group than in the placebo group had predefined
cardiovascular risk factors", e.g., a history of
diabetes was present in 8.7% of rofecoxib patients versus
5.6% of placebo patients (p = 0.003). Accordingly, an
analysis adjusted for baseline cardiovascular risk is more
appropriate, and this analysis does not show a statistically
significant difference between rofecoxib and placebo in the
rates of the above cardiovascular events (relative risk
2.41; p = 0.07) - although the trend remains for increased
events on rofecoxib. No significant differences between
rofecoxib and placebo were seen for the APTC endpoint for
the period of therapy through 14 days after discontinuation,
or for either the cardiovascular thrombotic endpoint or the
APTC endpoint for the period up to 24 months after trial
closure. The authors conclude “Rofecoxib therapy was
associated with an increased frequency of adverse
cardiovascular events among patients with a median study
treatment of 7.4 months duration”. TMT Comment:
Although this analysis adds to the extensive evidence that
rofecoxib has adverse cardiovascular effects, the misuse of
statistics in this article makes this additional evidence
appear more persuasive than it is. It is regrettable that a
prestigious journal such as the New England Journal of
Medicine has consistently condoned such misuse of statistics
in the anti-coxib papers it has published, and accordingly
has politicized the coxib controversy.
Randomized acupuncture trial suggests blood pressure
reduction
June 5, 2007: A clinical trial randomized 160 hypertensive
subjects to either acupuncture or sham acupuncture and
showed significant (p<0.001) reduction in blood pressure
with acupuncture compared to sham acupuncture (6.4 and 3.7
for systolic and diastolic respectively). The use of sham
acupuncture and 24-hour automatic blood pressure measurement
adds credibility to the results, although single-blind
rather than double-blind design makes interpretation more
difficult.
Out of hospital cooling of patients with cardiac arrest
feasible and safe. Larger studies should be done.
June 5, 2007: Reducing body temperature slows cell damage
and death when blood circulation is impaired. A clinical
study randomized 125 patients with out-of-hospital cardiac
arrest to standard care with or without intravenous cooling
with 500-2,000 mL of normal saline at 4 degrees Centigrade.
On arrival at hospital, esophageal temperature was 1 degree
lower (P<0.0001) in the cooled group. The authors concluded
that such treatment is “feasible, safe and effective in
lowering temperature” and that larger studies should be
performed.
Meta-analysis suggests heart hazard with rosiglitazone
(Avandia) but manufacturer's data should be released
May 21, 2007: A New England Journal of Medicine article and
editorial discuss cardiovascular findings with
rosiglitazone (Avandia) an oral drug for diabetes. A
meta-analysis of available data resulted in a barely
statistically significant increase in the risk of heart
attack and a non statistically significant trend for an
increase in cardiovascular deaths. Major methodological
problems prevent definite conclusions about cardiovascular
risk with Avandia but time-to-event analysis which would
have permitted a more robust analysis was not possible. The
authors state: "The manufacturer's public disclosure of
summary results for rosiglitazone clinical trials is not
sufficient to enable a robust assessment of cardiovascular
risks. The manufacturer has all the source data for
completed clinical trials and should make these data
available to an external academic coordinating center for
systematic analysis."
Increasing HDL cholesterol with torcetrapib did not affect
the primary endpoint (percent atheroma volume) in the
ILLUSTRATE study
March 27, 2007: An Editorial in the New England Journal of
Medicine discusses the disappointing results with the
investigational CETP inhibitor drug, torcetrapib. The large
ILLUMINATE study showed an excess of deaths, heart attack,
angina, revascularization procedures, and heart failure in
patients receiving torcetrapib plus atorvastatin, as
compared with those receiving atorvastatin alone (even
though the measured blood levels of "good" HDL cholesterol
were increased about 60% with torcetrapib and the levels of
"bad" LDL cholesterol were reduced about 20%). The
just-published ILLUSTRATE study now shows that torcetrapib
did not reduce the atherosclerotic plaque burden (as
measured by the primary endpoint: change in percent atheroma
volume). However, a secondary endpoint (total atheroma
volume) significantly improved with torcetrapib, suggesting
that a decrease in atheroma volume may have been offset by
an overall shrinkage of the arteries. The Editorial suggests
that the adverse effects could be related to effects of
torcetrapib unrelated to the HDL cholesterol mechanism of
action, but also points out that "Unfortunately,
intravascular ultrasonography did not provide any
information on the stability or thrombogenic potential of
plaques". As has been previously pointed out on this TMT
Medical News page, conversion of stable to unstable
atherosclerotic plaque appears a possible basis for the
increase in adverse cardiovascular events seen with
torcetrapib.
Cardiac-only resuscitation by bystanders may be best for
out-of-hospital cardiac arrest
March 17, 2007: The American Heart Association
cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) guidelines currently
recommend 30 chest presses for every two breaths given.
However, a Japanese observational study in the Lancet in
over 4,000 patients with witnessed out-of-hospital cardiac
arrest compared conventional (CPR, 18%), cardiac-only
resuscitation (11%) or no bystander resuscitation (72%). It
found the highest rate of recovery with favorable
neurological outcome was associated with cardiac-only
resuscitation (although CPR was also significantly better
than no bystander resuscitation). Many bystanders are
uncomfortable performing mouth-to-mouth resuscitation. The
authors suggest that "Cardiac-only resuscitation by
bystanders is the preferable approach ...". Observational
studies cannot establish causation but can suggest the need
for further study.
Poor
warfarin compliance associated with poor INR control, and
more stroke, heart attack, major bleeding, and mortality.
Many high risk patients are not prescribed warfarin.
March 15, 2007: Three clinical studies in patients on
warfarin published in the Archives of Internal Medicine
show: 1) Even at specialist anticoagulant clinics 40% of
patients missed at least one day of prescribed warfarin
dosing each week and this doubled the chance of
undercoagulation. 2) Decreased rates of stroke, heart
attack, mortality, and major bleeding problems were seen
with better INR control; all-cause mortality per 100
patient-years was 4.2% with poor control, 1.8% with moderate
control, and 1.7% with good control; comparable figures for
major bleeding were 3.9%, 2.0% and 1.6%. I3) Almost one
quarter of atrial fibrillation patients at high stroke risk
were not receiving anticoagulation.
Weekend hospital admission for heart attack associated with
higher mortality
March 15, 2007: Data on about one quarter million New Jersey
heart attack patients was collected using the Myocardial
Infarction Data Acquisition System (MIDAS 10). In the most
recent 4-year period (1999-2002), those admitted on weekends
had a slight but statistically significant higher mortality
by one day after admission (3.3% vs. 2.7%, +22.2%), at 30
days (12.9% vs. 12.0%, +7.5%), and at 1 year (23.9% vs.
22.9%, +4.4%). Invasive cardiac procedures (angioplasty,
CABG surgery) were significantly less common at weekends and
this may have been related to the higher weekend mortality.
However, this was an observational study and other studies
have suggested that patients admitted at weekends are
sicker. However, hospitals should address the adequacy of
medical staffing and the availability of invasive cardiac
procedures at weekends. Patients with possible heart attacks
should receive prompt medical attention and hospitalization
if required, regardless of whether it is a weekday or
weekend. Observational studies cannot establish causality
but can suggest the need for further study.
Pain killers including acetaminophen and aspirin associated
with higher risk of high blood pressure
March 1, 2007: An observational study (prospective cohort)
from Harvard concluded "The frequency of nonnarcotic
analgesic use is independently associated with a moderate
increase in the risk of incident hypertension. Given the
widespread use of these medications and the high prevalence
of hypertension, these results may have important public
health implications." The findings applied to both
acetaminophen and aspirin, drugs that are not usually
considered to be associated with increase in blood pressure. Observational studies cannot establish
causality but can suggest the need for further study.
Improvement in oral health may reduce cardiovascular risk
March 1, 2007: Previous studies have shown increased
cardiovascular risk in people with periodontal disease but
it was not known if this association was causal. A new
120-patient study in severe periodontitis showed that those
randomized to intensive periodontal treatment had a
transient increase in markers of inflammation and reduction
in the ability of the brachial artery to dilate
(flow-mediated dilatation -- a measure of endothelial
function) immediately after beginning treatment, but then
showed a sustained improvement in these measures that
persisted for the remaining 6 months of evaluation. These
findings suggest that improvement in oral health reduces
markers of cardiovascular risk..
Heart disease rate varies from
state to state
February 17, 2007: A CDC telephone survey showed that the
percentage of people reporting that they had been told by a
doctor or health care professional that they had heart
disease varies from state to state in the United States. It
is highest in West Virginia and Kentucky and in the
Southeast and Southwest. It is lowest in Colorado and the
District of Columbia. The percentage of those reporting any
of three conditions (previous heart attack, angina or
coronary disease) is 6.5% overall, 10% in West Virginia, and
less than 5% in Colorado and the District of Columbia. The
lead author said that the regional differences appear to
stem from rates of obesity, high blood pressure, high
cholesterol, diabetes, smoking and other known risk factors
for heart disease (based on such factors as differences in
cultural norms, poverty rates and other social factors) and
not from environmental causes.
Weekly motivational counseling improves mood after stroke
February 12, 2007: A randomized study in over 400 stroke
patients showed a significant (p=0.03) benefit after 3
months of motivational counseling (weekly for 4 weeks) over
usual stroke care.
New method more accurate for identifying cardiovascular risk
in women
February 12, 2007: Men and women often differ in the
symptoms and other ways they manifest disease, for example
in the symptoms of coronary disease. A new method (the
Reynolds Risk Score) for classifying women into low,
intermediate and high risk for cardiovascular risk resulted
in reclassification of "40% to 50% of women at intermediate
risk into higher- or lower-risk categories". Factors
included in the Reynolds Risk Score are: 1) traditional risk
factors: age, systolic
blood pressure, hemoglobin A1c if diabetic, smoking, total
and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and 2) new risk
factors: high-sensitivity
C-reactive protein, and parental history of myocardial
infarction before age 60 years. The Reynolds Risk Score has
not been tested in men. [NOTE: A focus of TMT's
research is identifying differences between men and women in
the symptoms of chronic pain.]
High dose atorvastatin (Lipitor) reduces heart failure
hospitalizations
February 12, 2007: The TNT study was a large, well-designed,
long-term study in patients with coronary disease. It
compared the effects of high dose (80mg/day) and low dose
(10mg/day) atorvastatin (Lipitor). A prespecified secondary
endpoint was hospitalization for heart failure (HF) and a
new analysis shows that high dose atorvastatin was
significantly better than the low dose in reducing HF
hospitalizations (26% greater reduction; 95% confidence
limits 6%-61% reduction). The authors also state "This
benefit was most pronounced in patients with a history of HF",
a conclusion that may overstate the findings, since,
although there was a pronounced trend towards a
greater percentage reduction in those with a HF history, the
high dose/low dose difference in effect does not appear to
be statistically significant. The increased effect of the
high atorvastatin dose in those with a HF history appeared
to be confined to the first 18 months of the study; new HF
hospitalization events during the remaining 4 ½ years of the
study were similar in the high and low dose atorvastatin
groups.
ABCD2 score predicts 2-day risk of progression of TIA to
stroke
January 29, 2007: In patients with TIAs (Transient Ischemic
Attacks) half of subsequent strokes occur in the next 2
days. Overall, TIA patients had a 3.9% 2-day stroke risk
(i.e., within 2 days of being seen by a health care
professional) but high risk patients (ABCD2 score of 6-7,
21% of patients) had an 8.1% 2-day risk. By contrast, low
risk patients (ABCD2 score of 0-3, 34% of patients) had only
a 1.0% 2-day risk. The ABCD2 scoring system is: One point
for age 60 or older, One point for blood pressure at or
above 140 mmHg systolic or 90 mmHg diastolic, Two points for
unilateral weakness, One point for speech impairment without
weakness, Two points for TIA duration of 60 minutes or more,
One point for TIA duration 10 to 59 minutes, and One point
for diabetes. The authors comment "... an ABCD2 score of
four or greater may justify 24-hour hospitalization in the
U.S. solely on the basis of a greater opportunity to
administer thrombolysis early if a subsequent stroke occurs
in the hospital as opposed to at home".
Therapy with ACE inhibitors, angiotensin receptor
blockers or beta-blockers associated with better outcome
following hospital discharge for heart failure
January 3, 2007: A JAMA study report describes an
observational study in almost 6000 hospitalized heart
failure patients in 91 US hospitals. ACC/AHA performance
measures for quality of care were evaluated for impact
on 60-90 day post-discharge adjusted rates of 1) death
and 2) death or rehospitalization. ACE inhibitor or
angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) therapy was
associated with 39% reduction in risk of death (p=0.08)
and 49% reduction in risk of death or rehospitalization
(p=0.002). Other ACC/AHA performance measures (discharge
instructions, LV function evaluation, smoking cessation
counseling, and warfarin therapy for atrial
fibrillation) did not show statistically significant
effects, although 95% confidence intervals were wide and
did not exclude clinically significant beneficial
effects of around 25-50%. An additional measure
evaluated, prescription of a beta-blocker on discharge
for eligible patients, was associated with a 52%
reduction in risk of death (p=0.004) and a 27% reduction
in the risk of death or rehospitalization (p=0.02).
Observational studies cannot establish causality but can
suggest the need for further study.
Pergolide (Permax) and cabergoline (Dostinex) associated
with heart valve abnormalities in Parkinson's disease
patients
January 3, 2007: Observational studies reported in the
New England Journal of Medicine showed that about
one-quarter of patients with Parkinson’s disease
receiving one of two 5-HT2B serotonin agonists,
pergolide (Permax) and cabergoline (Dostinex), had
valvular heart disease, compared with only 6% of
controls. People who took the highest doses for the
longest time were at higher risk. A number of drugs that
activate the 5-HT2B type of serotonin receptor have been
associated with abnormalities of the heart valves in
patients and also stimulate proliferation of heart valve
cells in laboratory studies. Other 5-HT2B agonists
include ergot derivatives (ergotamine, methysergide, and
dihydroergotamine) and amphetamine derivatives
(fenfluramine and the recreational drug "ecstasy"). This
page routinely includes the statement “Observational
studies cannot establish causality but can suggest the
need for further study”; however, the magnitude of the
apparent increase in risk with these 5-HT2B agonists,
the apparent increased risk with other 5-HT2B agonists,
and the fact that laboratory studies show an overgrowth
of heart valve cells with these agents consistent with
the clinical findings, suggest that use of these drugs
in the dosage used for Parkinsonism may be unwise. The
heart valve effect has not been shown to occur with use
of these drugs in low dosage, with non-5-HT2B serotonin
agonists, or with serotonin antagonists.
More prolonged antiplatelet therapy recommended by some
experts for patients with drug-eluting stents
December 8, 2006: The consensus view of an FDA Advisory
Committee was that late thrombosis may be commoner with
drug-eluting stents than with bare-metal stents, and
that longer duration of antiplatelet drug therapy may be
required. However, the lack of randomized studies makes
a definite conclusion difficult. There was no evidence
that the risk of heart attack or stroke was increased
overall but some evidence that thrombosis was increased after
late discontinuation of antiplatelet therapy. A stent is
a small, self-expanding, metal mesh tube that is placed
inside a coronary artery after balloon angioplasty to
prevent the artery from reclosing. A drug-eluting stent
is coated with a drug (sirolimus or paclitaxel) that is
intended to further reduce the chance of the artery
reclosing. Interpretation of these observational studies
is difficult, partly because of inclusion of the 60% of
patients in whom the use of the stents is "off-label"
(and in whom patients are usually sicker than those for
whom the devices are approved). Late
thrombosis tended to occur if post-stent antiplatelet
therapy [clopidogrel (Plavix) + aspirin] was stopped,
and some experts advise continuing Plavix+aspirin for at
least one year after the stent, or even indefinitely.
Early thrombosis is less common with the drug-eluting
type of stent. One recent paper concluded that, if
clopidogrel (Plavix) therapy is stopped 7-18 months
after stent insertion, the risk of cardiac death and
heart attack may be higher with drug-eluting stents than
with bare-metal stents; however, the authors calculated
that drug-eluting stents may avoid five major clinical
events in the first six months in 100 patients treated
but lead to three patients suffering cardiac death or
nonfatal heart attack during months seven to 18, when
Plavix is stopped. A recent
meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials in 1,230
patients who previously had in-stent restenosis with
bare-metal stents showed that drug-eluting stents
reduced the risk of reclosing by over 60% compared with
balloon angioplasty or vascular brachytherapy
(brachytherapy is where radioactive seeds or pellets
which emit radiation are implanted locally). Survival
rates may be higher if patients with blockages in three
or more vessels or in the left main coronary artery
receive coronary artery bypass grafts (CABG) instead of
angioplasty and stenting.
More on torcetrapib: conflicting studies of relationship
between CETP levels and heart disease
December 8, 2006: A Forbes article discusses one of the
possible reasons for the increased mortality seen with
torcetrapib in the ILLUMINATE trial. Torcetrapib
increases HDL cholesterol by lowering levels of CETP
(cholesterol ester transfer protein). Most clinical
studies have shown that people with low HDL cholesterol
have higher rates of coronary disease. However, the
relationship between CETP levels and heart disease is
unclear. Evidence that reducing CETP levels could be
beneficial include: 1) a 1989 study in which a group of
Japanese with a genetic mutation associated with low
CETP and high HDL cholesterol were reported to be
exceptionally long-lived. 2) a 2004 analysis of the
large EPIC-Norfolk study which showed increasing
cardiovascular hazard with higher CETP, 3) Pfizer
studies in rabbits which showed that reduction in CETP
levels was associated with major reduction in
atherosclerotic plaque, and 4) Pfizer studies that
showed that the increased HDL cholesterol with
torcetrapib was indeed functional [TMT Note: An
independent 2006 publication also showed enhanced
ability of HDL from CETP-deficient subjects to promote
cholesterol efflux]. However, data
suggesting that reducing CETP levels might be harmful
include: 1) a 1996 study of a group of
Japanese-Americans in which those with genetic
mutations, low CETP and high HDL cholesterol had a 50%
higher risk of heart attack (although a repeat study in
this group did not confirm these findings), 2) a 1997
study in which one of several CETP genetic mutations
(G-to-A mutation at the 5' splice donor site of intron
14) was associated with more coronary heart disease, 3)
a 2000 study that showed that women (but not men) with
low CETP and high HDL cholesterol had more heart
disease, and 4) a report in another 2000 paper that “in
vitro experiments showed that large CE-rich HDL
particles in CETP deficiency are defective in
cholesterol efflux” (in cholesterol efflux, cholesterol
is removed from atherosclerotic plaque); the authors
suggested that CETP inhibitors might produce
"dysfunctional HDL particles" that would promote clogged
arteries. These conflicting results should be clarified
when the results of the large plaque imaging study with
torcetrapib are reported in March 2007.
Some more possible explanations for torcetrapib safety
problems
December 5, 2006: A number of cardiology experts have
weighed in on the possible cause of the safety problems
with torcetrapib, including: 1) making the HDL
cholesterol produced harmful, 2) increasing
atherosclerotic plaque, 3) an effect of inhibiting the
CETP enzyme, 4) increasing blood pressure or 5) some
other side effect of torcetrapib. Dr. James Stein
(University of Wisconsin): "The HDL particles observed
in patients on torcetrapib were larger and had different
chemical properties than those seen under normal
biological conditions. We can't simply assume that high
HDL cholesterol is good. Indeed, it is conceivable that
these particles are harmful." Dr. Steven Nissen
(Cleveland Clinic): The key thing to determine is
whether torcetrapib increased or decreased the formation
of cholesterol-containing plaques on the inside of the
arteries. "If the HDL produced by giving a CETP
inhibitor is 'pro-atherogenic', that is, if it promotes
plaque development, then it is reasonable to expect
every CETP inhibitor to do the same." Dr. Christopher
Cannon (Brigham and Women's Hospital): "I think we
all fear that it might be the mechanism. The increased
mortality and cardiovascular events speak to a
broad-based problem, rather than one occurring in
patients who develop hypertension from the drug." Dr.
Daniel Rader (University of Pennsylvania): "I think
it is terribly important to emphasize that this
development says nothing about the overall strategy of
targeting HDL therapeutically. Torcetrapib itself raises
blood pressure, a property of the drug, and we still
don't know how much this may have contributed to adverse
outcomes." Dr. Kevin Graham (Minneapolis Heart
Institute): "The initial questions will focus on the
mechanisms, whether this applies to all drugs of this
class or whether it is particular to this drug. It is
too early to say." Dr. Michael Miller (University
of Maryland): "Based on studies using other drugs that
raise HDL, such as niacin, that have been previously
shown to reduce heart attacks, it is more likely that
the problem occurred due to the side effects of this
drug, rather than the result of raising HDL." Dr.
Daniel Edmundowicz (University of Pittsburgh): "Just
because higher HDL levels are associated with decreased
coronary events … doesn't guarantee that raising HDL
pharmacologically will show the same benefit." Dr.
Patrick McBride (University of Wisconsin): "This
does not mean that other medicines under investigation
to raise HDL are not going to be beneficial — they raise
different types of HDL and work by different mechanisms
in the body. There is still great potential for
treatments in the future to raise HDL cholesterol."
Possible explanations for torcetrapib safety problems
December 4, 2006: Dr. Steven Nissen, President of the
American College of Cardiology, has suggested that the
increased mortality seen in the torcetrapib ILLUMINATE
clinical trial "raises the specter of something uniquely
toxic about inhibiting CETP" [cholesteryl ester transfer
protein] and that torcetrapib could promote creation of
"dysfunctional HDL that is proatherogenic and
proinflammatory". He also said that the excess mortality
reported was more than would be expected "with a rise of
3 mm of mercury over three years" [as TMT also implied
in our December 3 review - see below]. In addition, he
suggested that the increased mortality might be seen
only in those people who "had the most significant
increases in blood pressure - not the mean increase of 3
mm Hg, but an increase of 10 or 15 mm Hg." Dr. Nissen
said that the DSMB was chaired by Dr. Charles Hennekens
of the University of Miami. TMT's view is that other
possible explanations for the findings may become
apparent when the data are analyzed in detail - for
example, a large sudden regression of atherosclerotic
plaque in response to marked increases in HDL
cholesterol might destabilize the plaque and trigger
cardiovascular events; if this were the case,
torcetrapib might be safe and effective if used to raise
HDL cholesterol levels more gradually, rather as
antihypertensive drugs are safe and effective when very
high blood pressure is lowered gradually but hazardous
when blood pressure is lowered suddenly and drastically.
FDA clarifies DSMB monitoring in Pfizer's ILLUMINATE
torcetrapib trial
December 4, 2006: FDA's website has provided some
additional information on the ILLUMINATE trial that
caused Pfizer to stop all torcetrapib clinical trials:
"the DSMB was conducting a monthly analysis of mortality
data and a quarterly analysis of a number of outcomes
including stroke, heart attack, and revascularizations
(e.g., coronary stents or bypass surgery) to ensure the
ongoing safety of patients in this trial". Other reports
have stated that the previous analysis did not cause the
DSMB to recommend any changes in the conduct of the
trial. Accordingly, it appears that the most recent
analysis included both a 3-month mortality analysis and
the monthly non-mortality outcome analysis. In a
separate report from
Kaiser, it was stated that for the ILLUMINATE trial
"The safety board reviews trial data and submits a
monthly torcetrapib progress review to Pfizer officials,
who are not permitted to see the data in order to
protect the integrity of the studies" - although the raw
data was clearly not provided, it is not clear what
other information this monthly report contained.
Pfizer halts all torcetrapib trials because of increase
in mortality and cardiovascular events
December 3, 2006: Pfizer has stopped all clinical trials
and further development of torcetrapib because of "an
imbalance of mortality and cardiovascular events" in the
ILLUMINATE clinical trial, a 15,000-patient,
double-blind controlled trial in subjects with coronary
heart disease or risk equivalents designed to compare
the risk of major cardiovascular events in two treatment
groups: 1) torcetrapib 60 mg/day + atorvastatin
(Lipitor), 2) atorvastatin alone. An interim analysis by
the independent Data Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB) for
the trial showed that more patients died in the
torcetrapib+atorvastatin group (82 subjects) than in the
atorvastatin group (51 subjects), an increase in
mortality of about 60%. The risk of heart failure and
other cardiovascular events was also increased. The 60 mg torcetrapib dose was
previously shown to increase systolic blood pressure by
3-4 mmHg. In a
2005 epidemiological study the effects of systolic
blood pressure and cholesterol on relative risks were
more than "additive" but less than "multiplicative"
(multiplicative means, for example, that if 1 factor
doubles risk and another triples it, then their joint
effects increase risk 6-fold); according to Dr. Franz
Messerli, a New York City hypertension expert, based on
this epidemiological study the systolic blood pressure
increase of 3-4 mmHg might translate to a 20% increase
in stroke mortality and a 12% increase in ischemic heart
disease mortality. Pfizer is asking all clinical
investigators conducting torcetrapib trials “to inform
patient participants to stop taking the study medication
immediately”.
Moderate alcohol consumption may reduce risk of heart
failure by reducing the risk of coronary disease
November 27, 2006: In the Physicians' Health Study, over
20,000 male physicians were followed for over 20 years.
A new analysis of this study concludes that moderate
alcohol intake may lower the risk of heart failure
because of a reduction in the risk of coronary artery
disease, a common cause of heart failure.
Naproxen increases risk of cardiovascular events in
Alzheimer's trial
November 17, 2006: In the double-blind,
placebo-controlled ADAPT trial, over 2500 people at risk
of Alzheimer's dementia were randomized to Celebrex
(celecoxib 200 mg twice daily), naproxen (220 mg twice
daily) or placebo for about 15 months and were then
followed up for a total period of about 2 years. The
percentages of subjects with cardiovascular endpoints
(cardiovascular or cerebrovascular death, heart attack,
stroke, heart failure, or TIA) in the celecoxib-,
naproxen-, and placebo-treated groups were 5.5%, 8.3%
and 5.7% respectively. Celebrex was not associated with
increased risk compared to placebo, but naproxen was
associated with a statistically significant increase in
risk of 63%. Significantly more people on Celebrex and
naproxen than on placebo required antihypertensive
therapy. In an Editorial comment, the Journal stated
"These data on harms provided by ADAPT provide important
results that should be incorporated into future
meta-analyses".
Stable patients after acute phase of heart attack don't
need angioplasty and stent
November 15, 2006: In a randomized study in over 2000
heart attack patients with total blockage of the
coronary artery related to the heart attack, and who
were in stable condition 3 or more days after the heart
attack, angioplasty and insertion of a coronary stent at
that time did not reduce the risk of death, further
heart attack or heart failure during 4 years of
follow-up.
Etoricoxib (Arcoxia) similar to diclofenac in risk of
heart attack, stroke & death but causes more high blood
pressure and heart failure
November 13, 2006: The Lancet has published the results
of the MEDAL clinical trial in almost 35,000 arthritis
patients. MEDAL was a double blind, 18-month comparison
of etoricoxib (Arcoxia) and diclofenac. Arcoxia is a
Merck COX-2 inhibitor that is marketed in several
countries but not in the US. It is in the same drug
class as Vioxx, a drug that has been associated with
significant risk of heart attack and stroke. Arcoxia and
diclofenac had comparable rates of heart attack, stroke
or death. However, US experts such as Dr. Steven Nissen
of the Cleveland Clinic and Dr. David Graham of the FDA
pointed out that the drug to which Arcoxia was compared
(diclofenac) has itself been associated with an
increased cardiovascular risk. Although Arcoxia was
associated with less risk of gastrointestinal problems
such as ulcers or bleeding, most of these problems did
not cause problems to the patients and the risk of
serious gastrointestinal problems was similar with
Arcoxia and diclofenac. Arcoxia was associated with more
cases of high blood pressure and heart failure than
diclofenac.
Heart attack patients get angioplasty too late
November 13, 2006: Two-thirds of heart attack patients
treated in US hospitals don’t get timely coronary angioplasty. If balloon angioplasty is done within 90
minutes of hospital arrival, as guidelines recommend, mortality is 40% less.
Chances of meeting the guideline are best if: 1)
Paramedics do an ECG en route to hospital, 2) ER doctor
reviews ECG and alerts angioplasty team, 3) Each member
of the team can be paged and arrive within 20 minutes,
4) A cardiologist is on site at all times, and 5) Hospital posts feedback on each case for the
angioplasty and ER teams. Hundreds of US hospitals are
now joining a project to deliver faster angioplasty.
Open study suggests that one-year of therapy with a
heart assist device combined with drug therapy can
reverse severe heart failure
November 2, 2006: A 15-patient open-label design study
in patients with severe, nonischemic heart failure
evaluated combined treatment with a left ventricular
assist device (to assist heart pumping) and intensive
drug therapy. Most patients were able to have the assist
device removed after about a year, with minimal evidence
of cardiac failure thereafter. Objective measures of
cardiac function such as ejection fraction showed marked
improvement. These promising findings need to be
confirmed in a controlled clinical trial.
Restraining good hand improves movement of affected arm
after stroke
November 1, 2006: The EXCITE trial was a single-blind,
randomized evaluation of the effect of wearing a
restraining mitt on the less-affected hand in patients
with impaired function of the hand/arm following a first
stroke in the previous 3-9 months (106 patients)
compared to usual and customary care (116 patients). An
instrumented protective safety restraining mitt was worn
for about 90% of waking hours over a period of 2 weeks;
during this period, shaping and task training was done
for up to 6 hours/day. The speed with which a task using
the arm most affected by the stroke was performed was
statistically significantly greater in the mitt group
(52% vs. 26% improvement; P<.001). Other measures of arm
function also improved significantly. Earlier
preliminary work (see March 6, 2006 review below) showed
similar benefit.
Symptoms suggesting stroke occur in 18% of older people
without a stroke diagnosis
October 12, 2006: A study in 18,462 Americans
(average age 66 years) without a diagnosis of stroke or
TIA found a prevalence of 18% for one or more stroke
symptoms: sudden one-sided weakness (5.8%),
numbness (8.5%), or visual loss (3.1%); other sudden
visual loss (4.6%), sudden inability to understand
speech (2.7%) and sudden loss of linguistic ability
(3.8%). The study included all US states, but had more
African-Americans and people from the "stroke belt" than
the entire US population. Stroke symptoms were associated with higher
Framingham Stroke Risk Scores. Stroke symptoms were
commoner in African-Americans and in those with lower
income, lower education and lower self-reported health
status. The authors suggest that some of those with
stroke symptoms may have had undiagnosed strokes or TIAs
and might benefit from aggressive steps to reduce future
strokes.
Bayer did not tell FDA about preliminary safety data
from Trasylol observational study
September 29, 2006:
FDA issued a September 29 statement "FOR IMMEDIATE
RELEASE" that discussed "preliminary findings"
from a new observational study that the antifibrinolytic
drug aprotinin (Trasylol) "may increase the chance
for death, serious kidney damage, congestive heart
failure and strokes. FDA was not aware of these new data
when it held the September 21, 2006, Advisory Committee
meeting on Trasylol safety." The Advisory Committee
meeting was "triggered by the results of two
published research studies: one that reported an
increase in the chance of kidney failure, heart attack
and stroke in patients treated with Trasylol compared to
those treated with other similar drugs, and the other
that reported an increase in kidney dysfunction compared
to another drug." One of these two published studies
was a
New England Journal of Medicine observational study
published in January, 2006. According to the
New York Times, one of the investigators involved in
the new study tipped off the FDA about the existence of
the study. The study was not mentioned by Bayer at the
Advisory Committee meeting, and one can speculate that
if these "preliminary findings" had supported Trasylol
safety, Bayer might have been more likely to mention
them. Observational studies cannot establish causal
relationships, although they can suggest the need for
further study.
Meta-analyses confirm Vioxx cardiovascular toxicity but
raise other questions
September 13, 2006:
JAMA has published two meta-analyses and an Editorial on
the safety of COX-2 inhibitor NSAIDs. One
Harvard study was a meta-analysis of combined data
(116,094 patients) from randomized controlled trials and
concluded that, compared with concurrent control
patients: 1) rofecoxib (Vioxx) significantly increased
the risk of developing cardiac arrhythmia,
hypertension, edema, or impaired kidney function, 2)
celecoxib (Celebrex) significantly reduced the risk of
hypertension and impaired kidney function. It is of note
that life-threatening cardiac arrhythmias (ventricular
fibrillation, ventricular tachycardia, cardiac arrest,
sudden cardiac death) were commoner with Vioxx (10 cases
versus 2 in controls) but somewhat less common with
Celebrex (3 cases versus 6 in controls). This study did
not examine the risks of heart attack or stroke, the
major clinical events that have been associated with
COX-2 inhibitors. The
other study was a meta-analysis of 23 observational
studies and concluded: 1) Vioxx increased the risk of
heart attack at both low and high doses, an effect that
was present early in therapy, 2) the traditional NSAID
diclofenac (with has some COX-2 selectivity) increased
the risk by 40%, 3) an increased risk was seen with
indomethacin, and probably meloxicam, 4) an increased
risk was noted at high doses of Celebrex (in
non-arthritis patients) but not at Celebrex doses of 200
mg/day or less. Observational studies cannot establish
causality but can suggest the need for further study. An
accompanying
Editorial by David Graham (an FDA employee writing
in a private capacity) stated: "naproxen
appears to be the safest NSAID choice from a
cardiovascular perspective. For patients at high risk of
NSAID-related gastrointestinal tract complications,
naproxen plus a proton pump inhibitor is less costly and
as effective, and probably safer, than low-dose
celecoxib". TMT's position is that while naproxen is
a reasonable treatment option, no controlled trials have
established the superiority of this approach; in
addition, the results of the discontinued ADAPT trial
(in which initial reports suggested increased
cardiovascular risk with naproxen) have not yet been
published.
Don't take ibuprofen less than 8 hours before or less
than 30 minutes after aspirin taken for cardioprotection
September 12, 2006:
FDA has issued a caution about using ibuprofen less than
8 hours before or less than 30 minutes after a dose of
aspirin taken for cardioprotection, because this can
interfere with aspirin's protective antiplatelet effect.
Acetaminophen does not have this problem, but the
situation is unclear for other NSAID pain killers.
High dose atorvastatin (Lipitor) reported to reduce
heart attack risk more than medium dose simvastatin (Zocor)
September 6, 2006: A
presentation at the World Congress of Cardiology meeting
in Spain reported that high dose (80 mg/day)
atorvastatin (Lipitor), compared to medium dose (20-40
mg/day) simvastatin (Zocor), provides a greater (46%)
reduction in the risk of an additional heart attack in
patients who recently had a heart attack. The top
recommended dose of both atorvastatin and simvastatin is
80 mg/day, and it is not known whether the results would
be the same if both drugs had been given at the top
recommended dose. Recent studies have shown that
atorvastatin 80 mg/day reduces cardiovascular risk more
than atorvastatin 10 mg/day.
Subgroup analysis of TNT trial shows that high risk
patients with coronary disease and metabolic syndrome do
well on high dose (80mg) Lipitor
September 5, 2006: A
subgroup analysis of the previously reported
double-blind TNT trial showed that 5,584 patients with
both coronary heart disease and metabolic syndrome (2005 NCEP ATP III criteria
- three cardiovascular risk factors such as insulin
resistance, obesity, high blood pressure, abnormal
cholesterol or lipids) were at significantly higher risk
of a major cardiovascular event than those with coronary
heart disease alone, but that high (80mg/day) dosage
with atorvastatin (Lipitor) significantly reduced this
risk compared with low (10mg/day) atorvastatin dosage.
APC and PreSAP double-blind trials show that celecoxib
(Celebrex) at dosage of 400 mg/day or greater reduces
risk of colorectal adenomas but increases cardiovascular
risk
August 30, 2006: In
the 1561-subject, double-blind, placebo-controlled
PreSAP Trial, celecoxib (400 mg once daily)
significantly reduced the risk of colorectal adenomas
(34% vs. 49%), but significantly increased the risk of
adjudicated serious cardiovascular events (2.5% vs.
1.9%). In the 2035-subject, double-blind,
placebo-controlled
APC Trial, celecoxib significantly reduced the risk
of colorectal adenoma (43% with celecoxib 200 mg twice
daily, and 38% with celecoxib 400 mg twice daily)
compared to placebo (61%). Celecoxib and placebo were
comparable in the overall risk of serious adverse events
but celecoxib was associated with an increased risk of
cardiovascular events compared to placebo (risk ratio
2.6 and 3.4 for the low and high celecoxib dosages
respectively). An accompanying
Editorial in the New England Journal of Medicine
concludes that in the APC and PreSAP trials “…among
patients with colonic adenomas …celecoxib …reduces the
risk of metachronous adenoma” [but the trials] “were too
small to evaluate the role of celecoxib in preventing
colorectal cancer … celecoxib has no role as a
chemopreventive agent either in patients with
nonfamilial colonic adenomas or in the general
population”.
Large observational study in 52 countries shows heart
attack risk with all forms of tobacco, including
second-hand smoke
August 18, 2006: A
large (27 thousand subject) observational study across
52 countries showed a significant increase in risk of
heart attack with current smoking (3x risk), as well as
with second-hand tobacco smoke (SHS) and chewing
tobacco. The increased risk with SHS increased as the
degree of exposure increased. The authors conclude
"Tobacco use is one of the most important causes of
[heart attack] globally, especially in men. All forms of
tobacco use, including different types of smoking and
chewing tobacco and inhalation of SHS, should be
discouraged to prevent cardiovascular diseases." As this
page routinely says, "Observational studies cannot
establish causal relationships, but can suggest the need
for further study." While this is true, the evidence for
the harmful effects of tobacco from many studies over
many years is overwhelming.
In randomized trials both COX-2 inhibitors and
traditional NSAIDs increase vascular risk
August 15, 2006: A
meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials comparing
the risk of serious vascular events (heart attack,
stroke or vascular death) showed a significantly higher
risk with COX-2 inhibitors (+42%) than short-term
placebo, mainly because of increase in heart attacks.
Similar increase in risk was seen overall with
traditional NSAIDs. Naproxen in comparison with COX-2
inhibitors showed less cardiovascular risk but this may
be a reflection of the fact that the predominant COX-2
inhibitor in this comparison was rofecoxib (Vioxx),
which has been associated with particularly large
increase in risk in some other studies.
Observational study suggests that aspirin may mitigate
the increased cardiovascular risk with NSAIDs
August 15, 2006: An
observational case-control study using the California
Medicare database identified arthritic patients treated
with a COX-2 selective or nonselective NSAID. A heart
attack occurred in 15,343 patients. Compared with those
with no recent NSAID use, risk of heart attack was
significantly increased with indomethacin (65%),
meloxicam (52%), sulindac (47%), rofecoxib (31%), and
celecoxib (12%). No significant increase in risk was
seen with ibuprofen. In patients concurrently using both
aspirin and COX-2 selective or nonselective NSAIDs, no
increased heart attack risk was noted, suggesting that
aspirin may mitigate the effects of NSAIDs in increasing
heart attack risk; however, in clinical trials,
concurrent use of aspirin has not been demonstrated to
be protective. Observational studies cannot establish
causal relationships, but can suggest the need for
further study.
High-dose Lipitor reduces risk of recurrent stroke even
in people without known coronary disease
August 9, 2006: The
August 10 New England Journal of Medicine reports the
results of the SPARCL study in which patients who had a
previous stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) but
without known coronary heart disease were randomized to
high-dose (80 mg/day) of atorvastatin (Lipitor) or
placebo. LDL cholesterol was 43% lower with Lipitor than
placebo. Over a 5-year period, a stroke occurred in
11.2% of Lipitor patients compared with 13.1% for
placebo, a statistically significant difference. Lipitor
also significantly reduced the risk of major
cardiovascular events. Mortality was comparable in the
two patient groups.
Observational study suggests all NSAIDs (COX-2-selective
and non-COX-2-selective) modestly increase heart attack
risk
August 2, 2006: An
observational, matched case-control study from Finland
reported that, in a multivariate analysis of 33,309
patients with a first-time heart attack, non-steroidal
anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) were associated with an
adjusted increase in the risk of heart attack of 40%
(34%, 50% and 31% for conventional,
semi-COX-2-selective, and COX-2 selective NSAIDs
respectively). Among COX-2 inhibitors, current use of
celecoxib (Celebrex) was associated with a
non-statistically-significant 6% increase in risk,
whereas current use of rofecoxib (Vioxx) was associated with a
statistically significant 44% increase in risk. Observational studies cannot establish
causal relationships, but can suggest the need for
further study.
Most heart attacks might be prevented by a healthy
lifestyle
July 4, 2006: An
Early Release article in Circulation in almost
43,000 men without coronary heart disease (CHD) at
baseline reports that "A majority of CHD events among US
men may be preventable through adherence to healthy
lifestyle practices, even among those taking medications
for hypertension or hypercholesterolemia". A healthy
lifestyle was determined by no smoking, normal weight,
regular exercise, moderate alcohol intake, and a healthy
diet. In a multivariate Cox PH analysis, it was
estimated that about 60% of coronary events could have
been prevented by a healthy lifestyle. Another
Early Release Article in the same issue of
Circulation reports that in 460 patients with peripheral
arterial disease of the leg (PAD), "PAD patients with
higher physical activity during daily life had reduced
mortality and cardiovascular events compared with PAD
patients with the lowest physical activity, independent
of confounders".
New England Journal of Medicine issues
correction on Vioxx APPROVe trial
June 27, 2006: The
New England Journal of Medicine has posted an online
“Early Release”
Correction for
its original publication of the results of the rofecoxib
(Vioxx) APPROVe trial. The correction relates to a
statistical test (Cox proportional-hazards) as to
whether the increased cardiovascular risk is different
at different times during the trial. The originally
reported p value was statistically significant for a
difference in risk over time, supporting the
paper’s suggestion that visual review of the
Kaplan-Meier graph of risk over time showed an increase
in risk only after 18 months of Vioxx therapy. However,
the corrected p value for a significant change in risk
over time is not statistically significant (p=0.07).
This Early Release also includes
Correspondence
from Dr. Nissen and Dr. Furberg (expressing concern
about an earlier and greater hazard from Vioxx in the
APPROVe trial based on an intention-to-treat analysis of
new data that include cardiovascular events occurring
more than 14 days after study drug was stopped) and a
statistical
Review by Dr.
Lagakos (that discusses time-to-event analyses in
long-term studies such as the APPROVe trial and suggests
“a plausible range of excess risk associated with a
shorter (less than 18 months) course of rofecoxib”).
Observational study suggests mortality risk is increased
with short duration NSAID therapy in patients with
previous heart attack
June 21, 2006:
A new observational study describes the
effect of NSAIDs (average duration of therapy 1 month)
on the risk of death or reinfarction in almost 60,000
patients with previous myocardial infarction. The
authors conclude that the hazard ratios for death were
significantly increased for rofecoxib (hazard ratio
2.80), celecoxib (2.57), diclofenac (2.40), ibuprofen
(1.50), and other NSAIDs (1.29). There were dose-related
increases in risk of death for all of the drugs. There
were trends for increased risk of reinfarction for each
drug group, but not for reinfarction dose-response.
Observational studies cannot establish causal
relationships, but can suggest the need for further
study. This observational study differs from the many
prior observational studies of COX-2 drugs and other
NSAIDs in that study subjects had a previous history of
myocardial infarction and the focus of the study
analysis was risk of death rather than of myocardial
infarction or stroke. It is not stated if the data
analysis was prespecified. Analysis consisted of an
across-group comparison of the drug groups, a
within-drug-group comparison of dose levels, and a
within-patient comparison of drug therapy in the 30 days
before an event with drug therapy during an earlier
period. The analysis was adjusted for some possible
confounders (age, gender, year of MI, concomitant
medical treatment, socioeconomic status, and
comorbidity). Mean age was significantly higher with
rofecoxib (69) and celecoxib (69) than in the other
groups (64-67); the gender distribution (% of males) was
markedly different for rofecoxib & celecoxib (both 50%)
versus the other groups (61-66%); these substantial
discrepancies increase the likelihood of other
confounders (not evaluated in the study) affecting the
study conclusions. Data on concomitant aspirin use was
not available but the authors “assumed that most of our
patients used aspirin on a daily basis”; it is possible
that aspirin use differed between the NSAID treatment
groups and, for example that increased GI risk (known to
be associated with increased CV risk) was associated
with more frequent use of COX-2 drugs. Although a
dose-response relationship for risk of death with each
drug could suggest a drug-induced effect, it could also
be a reflection of medical differences between the low
dose and high dose populations, possibly related to
differences in underlying CV risk. The fact that risk of
death but not risk of reinfarction was significantly
increased is surprising since increased risk with COX-2
drugs in previous studies was mainly related to
myocardial infarction and stroke. The risk of death with
diclofenac (known to be relatively COX-2 selective) was
more similar to that with the established COX-2 drugs,
rofecoxib and celecoxib, than with non-selective NSAIDs.
The article was accompanied by an
Editorial which expressed concern about these new
findings in high cardiovascular risk patients and
suggested that high-dose aspirin used with proton pump
inhibitors “is probably the safest choice for post-MI
patients”. The Editorial also points out that the
average duration of NSAID therapy in this study was
about 1 month, suggesting increased risk early in
therapy. The Editorial also comments that “There is a
critical need for large, simple, clinical trials to test
the safety, with reasonable certainty of the
quantitative risk, and the real-world effectiveness of
widely used available agents and those that are under
development.”
Data from Merck report suggest fairly constant
cardiovascular risk (0.2% of patients/6 months) during most
of Vioxx therapy and in 1-year following therapy, with
higher risk in last 6 months of 3-year Vioxx period
May 22, 2006: The New York Times has
published some of the data from the still-unpublished
108-page Merck report on the APPROVe rofecoxib (Vioxx)
study. TMT has performed a preliminary analysis of the data
in the Intent-To-Treat graph which, based on visual review
of the time trend, suggests that “Confirmed Thrombotic
Cardiovascular Events” related to Vioxx occur at a fairly
constant rate (placebo-subtracted value about 0.2% of
patients/6 months - 1 event/500 patients/6-month period) for
most of the double-blind period, but rise to about 1
event/100 patients/6 months during the last 6 months of the
3-year period of double-blind therapy (mainly because of a
paucity of placebo events during this 6-month period).
During the 1-year post-double-blind off-drug period, the
placebo-subtracted rate drops down again to around the 1
event/500 patients/6-month value. See
Preliminary TMT analysis for more details.
New analysis suggests greater, earlier and more persistent
increase in cardiovascular risk with rofecoxib (Vioxx)
May 21, 2006: A number of media reports have
discussed a recent unpublished 108-page report on the
APPROVe trial of rofecoxib (Vioxx). The new analysis
suggests, but does not establish, that Vioxx increases
cardiovascular risk within the first few weeks of therapy,
that the increase may be greater than previously thought,
and that this increased risk continues during therapy and
(particularly for stroke risk) for at least one year after
therapy is discontinued. Key features include an
Intent-To-Treat analysis that includes all cardiovascular
events during the full scheduled trial period even in
patients who prematurely discontinued double-blind therapy,
and evaluation of the 1-year follow-up period after each
patient completed the trial. Since it has been suggested
that a persistent increase in cardiovascular risk on
discontinuing Vioxx may reflect persistent arterial damage,
non-invasive measures of arterial structure and function
should be incorporated in some NSAID clinical trials.
Analysis should include separate testing of the risk of
heart attacks and non-hemorrhagic strokes as well as of the
composite cardiovascular endpoints analyzed to date. See the
Full TMT Review for more details.
Academic researchers suggest Merck should continue to follow
APPROVe study patients for long-term heart damage from
rofecoxib (Vioxx)
May 13, 2006: Two academic researchers,
Steven Nissen of the Cleveland Clinic and Bruce Psaty of the
University of Washington, have suggested that subjects in
the rofecoxib (Vioxx) APPROVe study should be followed up
for more than the current 1-year period after completion of
the 3-year Vioxx/placebo comparison to evaluate whether
"there was some kind of permanent or longstanding injury to
the artery that makes it susceptible to those kinds of
continuing events" (Dr. Nissen). Dr. Psaty commented "From
the public health perspective and the point of view of duty
to human subjects, following them would be appropriate. That
would be an honorable thing to do." In comments to the New
York Times, Merck "said it had not yet decided whether to
continue tracking the patients. We have questions about
whether scientifically rigorous data can be obtained in such
a setting. We will discuss it with regulatory agencies and
the study's steering committee before making a final
decision."
New Merck analysis suggests increased stroke risk with
rofecoxib (Vioxx); increased cardiovascular risk may persist
to some extent after stopping rofecoxib
May 12, 2006: Merck has reported that new
analyses of the full 4-year period (3 years of Vioxx/placebo
followed by 1 year follow-up off-drug) of the 2,587-subject
APPROVe study of rofecoxib (Vioxx) showed a significant
increase with Vioxx in the risk of ischemic strokes as well
as of heart attacks and thrombotic cardiovascular events.
The previously published paper on the first 3 years of the
study reported the following numbers of events for Vioxx vs.
placebo: confirmed serious thrombotic events 46 vs. 26 (risk
ratio 1.92; p=0.008), myocardial infarction (heart attack)
21 vs. 9, ischemic stroke 11 vs. 6, transient ischemic
attack (TIA - not clear if TIAs and strokes were in
different subjects) 5 vs. 2, APTC composite cardiovascular
endpoint 34 vs. 18. In its new analysis posted on its
website, Merck reported: 1) during the 1-year off-drug
period there was no statistically significantly increased
risk with Vioxx of "confirmed thrombotic cardiovascular
events" either in all patients in the study (28
subjects vs. 16 subjects - reported to be a 64% to 85% greater risk
depending on how this was calculated) or in those "who completed
approximately three years of therapy". 2) "In the
prespecified primary analysis of each patient's four-year
data" the risks of "confirmed thrombotic cardiovascular
events", "confirmed heart attacks", and "confirmed ischemic
strokes" were statistically significantly increased with
Vioxx. Merck pointed out that no statistically significant
increase in the risk of confirmed ischemic stroke was seen
in the initial 3-year period of the APPROVe study or in
other clinical trials with Vioxx. No information was
provided on the time course of cardiovascular events during
the 1-year follow-up period.
New observational study suggests increased heart attack risk
during first 2 weeks of rofecoxib (Vioxx) treatment
May 3, 2006: A new observational study
suggests that rofecoxib (Vioxx) increases the risk of
myocardial infarction (heart attack) in the first two weeks
of treatment. In addition, heart attack risk was increased
for the first week after discontinuing Vioxx but then
returned to baseline. Similar effects were not seen for
celecoxib (Celebrex). Observational studies cannot
establish causal relationships, but can suggest the need for
further study. In commenting on this new study, Merck has
correctly pointed out that effects in such a study are less
persuasive than effects seen in randomized clinical trials.
However, the effect of duration of therapy on heart attack
risk was inadequately evaluated in the clinical trial
analyses in both the
Vioxx and
Celebrex Briefing Books provided to FDA for the February
2005 COX-2 Advisory Committee meeting. Both Briefing Books
excluded clinical trials with duration less than 4 weeks
from analysis of cardiovascular safety, and analysis of data
for the initial 4 weeks of therapy from longer trials was
insufficient for clear evaluation of early cardiovascular
risk. Both Briefing Books focused on a composite
cardiovascular endpoint (APTC index) whereas with both drugs
evidence for an increase in heart attack was more persuasive
than for the APTC index. Additional meta-analysis of the
Vioxx and Celebrex controlled clinical trial databases to
evaluate heart attack risk as a function of duration of
therapy (using the Cox Proportional Hazards model) would be
valuable.
New observational study suggests heart risk with COX-2
NSAIDs
April 18, 2006: A new observational study found that NSAIDs
(nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs) with greater COX-2
selectivity were associated with greater cardiovascular
risk, and that higher dosage tended to be associated with an
increase in this risk. Observational studies cannot
establish causal relationships, but can suggest the need for
further study. The UK GPRD database for June 1, 2000 to
October 30, 2004 was examined in a nested case-control
observational study in almost half a million patients who
had received at least 1 prescription for selective or
nonselective NSAID therapy (NSAID users). Cardiovascular events (heart attack
or sudden cardiac death) were identified in 5,127 patients
and after further blinded screening 3,643 patients were
selected (cases). Control patients who did not have these
cardiovascular events (controls) were randomly selected from
the NSAID users and matched with the cases for age, sex,
practice and year of cohort entry (total of 13,918
controls). Cases and controls were divided according to
NSAID use in the year before the cardiovascular event (or
the equivalent follow-up time for controls). Statistically
significant increases in cardiovascular events (compared
with non-users of NSAIDs as assessed by the multivariate
risk ratio) were noted for 1) the COX-2 selective NSAIDs
rofecoxib (+29%), celecoxib (+56%) and etoricoxib (+109%),
and 2) diclofenac (+37%), a drug assigned by the authors to
the nonselective group but which they point out has
comparable COX-2 selectivity to celecoxib. No statistically
significant increase was seen with 3) the nonselective
NSAIDs ibuprofen (+4%) or naproxen (+15%). Too few patients
received the COX-2 selective drug valdecoxib for meaningful
analysis. The increased risk appeared to be present even in
patients without major cardiovascular risk factors. There was a trend towards increased risk with
higher dosage of "COX-2-selective NSAIDS"
(unadjusted risk +25% for low dose vs. +71% for medium/high
dose) as compared to +21% and +24% for diclofenac, and -5%
and +5% for ibuprofen + naproxen.
Coronary patients should get ACE inhibitors
April 12, 2006: Over the last few years, compelling
evidence has accumulated for prescribing ACE inhibitors
(angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor drugs) to virtually
all patients with coronary disease. Yet studies have shown
that many coronary patients are not receiving ACE
inhibitors. The latest addition to the literature is a
meta-analysis of 7 randomized controlled trials in a total
of 33,960 patients either with coronary disease or at high
risk of coronary disease (but without heart failure) treated
for over 4 years. Treatment with angiotensin-converting
enzyme inhibitors significantly decreased overall mortality,
cardiovascular mortality, heart attack, and stroke.
Intercessory prayer did not reduce cardiac complications
after bypass surgery. Patients who knew they were receiving
intercessory prayer had higher complication rate
March 31, 2006: The STEP multicenter, randomized
study, reported in the March 30 American Heart Journal,
evaluated the effects of intercessory (pleading on
somebody’s behalf) prayer in cardiac bypass patients. Prior
studies have not addressed whether prayer itself or
knowledge/certainty that prayer is being provided may
influence outcome. The STEP study evaluated whether (1)
receiving intercessory prayer or (2) being certain of
receiving intercessory prayer was associated with
uncomplicated recovery after coronary artery bypass graft
(CABG) surgery. Patients at 6 US hospitals were randomly
assigned to 1 of 3 groups: 604 received intercessory prayer
after being informed that they may or may not receive
prayer; 597 did not receive intercessory prayer also after
being informed that they may or may not receive prayer; and
601 received intercessory prayer after being informed they
would receive prayer. Intercessory prayer was provided for
14 days, starting the night before CABG. The primary outcome
was presence of any complication within 30 days of CABG.
Secondary outcomes were any major event and mortality. In
the 2 groups uncertain about receiving intercessory prayer,
complications occurred in 52% (315/604) of patients who
received intercessory prayer versus 51% (304/597) of those
who did not (relative risk 1.02, 95% CI 0.92-1.15).
Complications occurred in 59% (352/601) of patients who knew
they were receiving intercessory prayer compared with the
52% (315/604) of those uncertain of receiving intercessory
prayer (relative risk 1.14, 95% CI 1.02-1.28). Major events
and 30-day mortality were similar across the 3 groups. The
authors concluded that "Intercessory prayer itself had no
effect on complication-free recovery from CABG, but
certainty of receiving intercessory prayer was associated
with a higher incidence of complications." In discussion of
the findings the authors suggested that the increased
complication rate might be a chance finding, or the result
of "performance anxiety". An accompanying
Editorial questioned some study design features: 1)
constraints on the actual prayers performed and on the size
and number of prayer groups, 2) the prespecified primary
endpoint (30-day complication rate) and secondary endpoints
(any major event; mortality) were clearly evaluated, but
additional, hypothesis-generating analyses were not
described (such as an analysis of whether patients could
guess/detect which of the three groups they were assigned
to), 3) approaching a patient to participate in a prayer
study before a procedure could inadvertently alarm a
patient, 4) "patient awareness that a study of prayer was
ongoing might profoundly change the spiritual landscape
being studied" and 5) "Even the assumption that standard
clinical outcome measures are appropriate end points for
studies of prayer must be carefully examined; for instance,
many prayers for the sick contain the implicit objective of
easing the passage of the spirit out of the body, an outcome
which, by Society of Thoracic Surgeons definition, would be
coded as death". The Editorial also questioned the authors'
suggestion in the body of the paper that the higher
complication rate was a chance finding, and asked if similar
reservations would have been expressed if this prespecified
primary endpoint had shown findings in favor of intercessory
prayer.
Seattle Heart Failure model predicts life expectancy and
effects of different therapies
March 20, 2006: The Seattle Heart Failure Model (SHFM) was
developed by top cardiologists and "is a calculator of projected survival
at baseline and after interventions for patients with heart
failure. SHFM is designed for use by health care providers
knowledgeable in cardiac medicine. Patients should only use
SHFM when their healthcare providers are present, such as at
a doctor’s office." Heart failure has an annual mortality
rate ranging from 5% to 75%. SHFM predicts survival using
easily obtainable characteristics relating to clinical
status, drug therapy (e.g., ACE inhibitors, beta blockers,
angiotensin receptor blockers, diuretics, statins),
medical devices (biventricular pacemakers, implantable
cardio-defibrillators, biventricular implantable
cardio-defibrillators, left ventricular assist devices),
and laboratory measurements (e.g., cholesterol,
hemoglobin). SHFM was derived from a cohort of over 1,000
heart failure patients and then validated (confirmed) in 5
separate cohorts totaling almost 10,000 heart failure
patients. The model can be used to estimate the benefit of
adding medications or devices to an individual patient's
treatment - for example, the average heart failure patient
treated with only digoxin and diuretics lives for 4 years;
if an ACE inhibitor, beta blocker and an aldosterone blocker
are included in the therapy the average patient lives for 6
1/2 years; if an implantable cardioverter defibrillator is
also included the average patient lives for 9 1/2 years. A
web-based SHFM application allows clinicians to plug in a
patient's variables and receive a life expectancy
prediction. It should be noted that this model shows that
improved survival is associated with more extensive
use of the available medications and devices used for
treatment of heart failure, but does not establish that this
is a causal relationship (although this causal
relationship has been established in previous randomized
clinical trials). The magnitude of this survival
benefit in the total heart failure population can not be
precisely determined, either from the clinical trials (that
study a select population) or from the SHFM model (that is
based on the cohort type of observational study).
Developmental drug torcetrapib raises HDL cholesterol but
also raises blood pressure
March 15, 2006: In reports at the American College of
Cardiology annual meeting, torcetrapib, a Pfizer drug in
development, was shown to raise HDL cholesterol and one
report claimed a 2% reduction in heart attack or stroke for
every 1 mg/dL increase in HDL cholesterol. Torcetrapib and
atorvastatin (Lipitor) in combination increased the size of
HDL and LDL lipid particles, which could reduce plaque
buildup. Torcetrapib was found to be more effective when
taken in the morning. One concern was a slight (2 mmHg) rise
in systolic blood pressure noted with torcetrapib. Pfizer
said that the rise in pressure was seen more in patients who
had lower pressures before beginning torcetrapib. The
company will continue to study blood pressure effects of the
drug.
Drug-eluting stent better for coronary restenosis of
bare-metal stent than radiation
March 15, 2006: Inserting a drug-eluting coronary stent (a
tiny mesh tube coated with medication) into patients with
in-stent restenosis of a bare-metal stent may be more
effective than radiation therapy at preventing re-stenosis
and cardiac events.
Fondaparinux (Arixtra) may reduce death and repeat heart
attack in STEMI heart attacks
March 15, 2006: Fondaparinux (Arixtra), an anticoagulant
that inhibits Factor Xa, may reduce mortality and repeat
heart attack in patients with STEMI heart attacks (heart
attacks associated with the electrocardiographic finding of
ST elevation) in the subgroup of patients who do not receive
angioplasty. No increase in bleeding or strokes was seen.
NOTE: In a separate study (NEJMed.
2006;354), 20,078 patients with acute coronary syndromes
were randomized to fondaparinux or enoxaparin for a mean of
six days. At 9 days the risk of death, heart attack or
refractory ischemia was comparable with the two therapies,
but major bleeding episodes were cut in half with
fondaparinux. On follow-up, fondaparinux was
associated with significantly reduced mortality at 30 days
(-16%) and 180 days (-10%).
Candesartan treatment of pre-hypertension reduces
progression to hypertension, but effect largely disappears
on stopping therapy
March 15, 2006: The TROPHY trial treated patients with
"pre-hypertension" (blood pressures a few mmHg below the
threshold for hypertension and averaging 134/84.5 mmHg in
this study) with candesartan (Atacand) or placebo for 2
years, followed by placebo in all patients for a further 2
years. During the initial 2 years, candesartan reduced the
risk of crossing the blood pressure threshold to meet the
definition of "hypertension" (14% versus 40% of patients).
However, by the end of the second 2 year period (while all
patients were on placebo) hypertension was almost equally
common regardless of the treatment during the initial 2
years (63% for placebo and 53% for candesartan).
Adding abciximab to clopidogrel reduces coronary events in
acute coronary syndrome
March 15, 2006: In the 2,022-patient, placebo-controlled
ISAR-REACT 2 trial in patients with non-ST-segment elevation
acute coronary syndrome treated with coronary stents, adding
abciximab (ReoPro), a GPIIb/IIIa inhibitor, to clopidogrel
(Plavix) reduced coronary event rates by 25% in the subset
of patients with raised troponin levels. Abciximab treatment
did not increase the risk of bleeding or increase
transfusion requirements.
Surgical trial to evaluate effect of closure of patent
foramen ovale on migraine headaches
March 15, 2006: Anecdotal reports have suggested that
surgical repair may reduce migraine headaches. In the
147-patient MIST trial in patients with severe migraine with
aura who had patent foramen ovale (an open communication
between the two upper chambers of the heart that normally
closes at birth), patients were randomized to surgical
repair of the foramen ovale or sham surgery. Neither
patients nor those evaluating the migraine were aware of
which procedure had been used. In this trial, the primary
endpoint (elimination of migraine attacks) did not differ
between the two groups. In a preliminary analysis, the
authors reported that 42% of patients receiving surgical
repair had at least a 50% reduction in the number of days
with headache in the 3 months following surgery (almost
twice that with sham surgery), and had more reduction in the
"Headache Burden" (change from 136 hours to 86 hours, 37%
reduction) compared with the sham surgery group (change from
117 hours to 96 hours, 18% reduction). This trial does not
establish the utility of the procedure as a treatment for
coexisting migraine and patent foramen ovale.
High dose Crestor may cause regression of coronary
atherosclerosis
March 14, 2006 (Revised March 22, 2006): In ASTEROID, an open-label, 507-patient,
2-year clinical trial of high dose (40 mg/day) rosuvastatin
(Crestor), LDL "bad" cholesterol fell markedly (average of
130 to 61 mg/dL), HDL "good" cholesterol rose (average of 43
to 49 mg/dL), and coronary atherosclerosis appeared to
regress (in 64%-78% of patients depending on the ultrasound
atherosclerosis parameter measured). The ultrasound
endpoints were properly pre-specified, and the ultrasound
analysis was performed by observers blinded to whether a
particular ultrasound test was a baseline or end-of-therapy
test. Since this was an
open-label trial without a control group, interpretations of
effectiveness should be cautious. However, the magnitude of the changes
in LDL-cholesterol and HDL-cholesterol was impressive. The
trial was not large enough to allay existing safety concerns
about Crestor in high dosage for long durations, or to
evaluate effects on the risk of heart attacks or other
cardiac events.
High dosage or frequent use of acetaminophen and
non-selective NSAIDs may increase cardiovascular risk
March 14, 2006: A cohort observational study in women from
the Nurses' Health Study suggests that frequent use (22
days/month or more) or high dosage (15 tablets per week or
more) of acetaminophen and non-selective nonsteroidal
antiinflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) may increase the risk of
major cardiovascular events. The study was large (70,971
women), of long duration (12 years follow-up), and well
designed. Frequent use of NSAIDs (ibuprofen in 73% and
naproxen in 14%) and acetaminophen was associated with
increased cardiovascular risk (44% for NSAIDs and 35% for
acetaminophen for the fully adjusted analysis). At the
beginning of the study, the frequent users were at elevated
cardiovascular risk (older, exercised less, more
hypertensive, higher body mass index, and more cardiac risk
factors) compared with less frequent users, and the analysis
was adjusted for these differences in underlying risk.
Increased cardiovascular risks associated with frequent use
of NSAIDs were 67%, 51% and 44% (for the three separate
adjusted analyses - age-adjusted, all risk factors apart
from history of hypertension, all risk factors including
hypertension). Corresponding figures for acetaminophen were
72%, 41% and 35%. The increase in risk with NSAIDs (but not
with acetaminophen) was much greater in cigarette smokers
(possibly because platelet aggregation is increased with
combined NSAIDs and smoking). The presence or absence of
chronic inflammatory conditions did not materially affect
the results. Results were similar with high dosage as well
as frequent use, and for each of the three components of
increased cardiovascular risk (coronary death, heart attack,
and stroke). Only limited data were available for COX-2
inhibitors; in a preliminary analysis with limited
follow-up, there was a significant age-adjusted 72% increase
in risk for all COX-2 inhibitor doses combined; however, the
risk was attenuated (47%) and not statistically significant
after full adjustment; other studies have suggested that
cardiovascular risk is increased at high dosage of COX-2
inhibitors. Lower dosage/frequency of NSAIDs and
acetaminophen and aspirin use (any dosage/frequency) were
not associated with increased cardiovascular risk. The
authors correctly point out that "we cannot completely
exclude residual confounding" and "The observational design
of our study does not permit us to assign causality...".
Salt & water blood filter more effective than diuretics in
severe heart failure
March 13, 2006: In the UNLOAD trial to be reported at the
American College of Cardiology 2006 Annual Meeting on March
14, a new device for blood filtration of salt and water was
more effective than aggressive intravenous diuretics for
removing excess salt and water and in reducing
re-hospitalization rates in patients with "decompensated"
heart failure with fluid overload. The trial randomized 200
patients to either diuretic or ultrafiltration therapy and
followed them for 3 months.
No cardiovascular benefit with Vitamin B (folic acid, B6,
B12) in two large trials
March 12, 2006: Increased homocysteine blood levels are
associated with increased cardiovascular disease. However,
two new studies of B vitamins (folic acid, B6, B12) reported
in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) showed that
although the treatment reduced homocysteine levels by a
quarter, no reduction in cardiovascular disease occurred.
The NORVIT study in 3,749 patients with a previous heart
attack had 4 treatment groups: 1) folic acid + B6 + B12, 2)
folic acid + B12, 3) B6, and 4) placebo. The frequency of
the primary endpoint (new heart attack, stroke, sudden
coronary death) was similar with treatments 2, 3 and 4 and
tended to be higher with treatment 1 (triple therapy). The
HOPE-2 study compared triple therapy (folic acid + B6 + B12)
and placebo in 5,522 patients. Again no reduction in the
primary cardiovascular endpoint was found with vitamin B
therapy and the risk of one of seven secondary endpoints
(hospitalization for unstable angina) was increased by 24%.
In subgroup analysis (which should always be interpreted
cautiously) the risk of stroke was significantly reduced by
25%. Separately, manufacturers of B vitamins suggested that
these results might not apply to Vitamin B therapy of longer
duration in people who did not yet have established
cardiovascular disease, but Dr. Yusuf of McMaster University
and Dr. Lichtenstein of Tufts University have disputed this
assessment. The results show an absence of benefit in people
with significant underlying cardiovascular disease who
receive B vitamin therapy (in dosage that effectively
reduces homocysteine levels) for a period of 3-5 years. Some
experts suggested that while the higher dose levels
(particularly combination therapy) might increase
cardiovascular risk, lower dosage might be beneficial. In an
accompanying NEJM editorial, Dr. Loscalzo of Harvard
suggested that using B vitamins to reduce homocysteine
levels might cause other effects (e.g., atherosclerotic cell
proliferation from folic acid-induced increase in thymidine,
or methylation of DNA or arginine) that could counteract a
beneficial effect. He suggested that alternative methods for
reducing homocysteine levels might prove to be beneficial.
Adding Plavix to aspirin may increase risk in patients
without established heart disease
March 12, 2006: A study in 15,603 patients reported in the
New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) suggests that adding
clopidogrel (Plavix) to aspirin may help people with
established cardiovascular disease but may be inadvisable
(because of an increased risk of death and of dangerous
internal bleeding) in people who are only at increased risk
of developing cardiovascular disease (i.e., do not have
established disease).
"Caffeine Gene" may (or may not) indicate increased risk of
heart attack
March 8, 2006: A case-control observational study in a Costa
Rica population published
in the March 8 JAMA compared the risk of heart attack in
those who metabolize caffeine rapidly (55% of population)
and slowly (45% of population). For those with highest
coffee intake (4 or more cups/day) both rapid and slow
metabolizers had a significantly increased risk of heart
attack (76% and 143% risk respectively) on analysis adjusted
for only age, sex and area of residence. On fully adjusted analysis (i.e., adjusting for
various other measured variables), only the slow metabolizers
were at increased risk (64% increase). The authors did a
subgroup analysis dividing the subjects into those above and
below the median age (59 years) and found a significant
effect of the slow metabolism gene only in the younger
group. They then did a further subgroup analysis of subjects
below 50 years of age and 50 years or older and found a
significant increase in risk in this younger group for both
rapid and slow metabolizers. The underlying hypothesis (that slow metabolizers
have higher caffeine levels and consequently are at
increased cardiac risk, especially at younger ages) is
intriguing but is not established by this study.
As regular
readers of this page will note, we frequently point out that
a finding in an observational study (even if properly
designed and analyzed) does not establish a cause-and-effect
relationship, and that results should be interpreted with
particular caution if they are derived from subgroups, if
the results of the unadjusted and adjusted analyses differ,
and if the odds ratio is less than 2 (i.e., less than100% increase)
- see
Observational Studies (Richard Platt, Harvard). In the JAMA study, other concerns include coffee intake
assessed only by dietary history, no analysis of baseline
comparability of slow and rapid caffeine metabolizers, the substantial percentage of participants excluded from
analysis, and the extent to which results may be extended to
non-Costa Rican populations. Additional studies could be done
for clarification, for example evaluating the magnitude of difference in caffeine levels in
slow and rapid metabolizers at different caffeine intakes
and,
since no generally available test is available for the
“caffeine gene”, measuring blood caffeine or
heart rate in response to a caffeine dose as surrogate
measures. It is disturbing that of over 400 media references
to the article found on a Google search at 10 PM EST on
March 8 (the day of publication) none appeared to recommend
appropriate caution in interpreting the results.
New analysis of Celebrex cardiovascular safety adds little
March 1, 2006: A new meta-analysis
evaluating the cardiovascular safety of celecoxib (Celebrex)
and published by a New Zealand group contributes little of
value and the conclusions are overstated. As with other
COX-2 drugs and other NSAIDs, currently available data do
not exclude the possibility of cardiovascular toxicity with
celecoxib, particularly for dosage higher than 200 mg/day
and for longer durations of therapy. As with other
meta-analyses of celecoxib clinical trials, this report
suggests the possibility of an increased risk of myocardial
infarction (heart attack) with celecoxib. However, design
and methodology problems make the study difficult to
evaluate, and the interpretations and conclusions are
misleading. Definitive conclusions on the cardiovascular
safety of celecoxib must await the results of the PRECISION
study in 20,000 high risk patients which will begin later
this year.
Many
heart attacks go undetected
February 15, 2006: A Netherlands study of 4,000 people
suggested that heart attacks are undetected in about 1/3 of
men and over 1/2 of women because patients do not recognize
or dismiss the symptoms. The study included patients who had
not had a heart attack on entry into the study. All had an
examination and an electrocardiogram (ECG) and were then
followed up for a median time of more than 6 years and
received at least one repeat ECG to assess undiagnosed heart
attacks. Chest pain was the most common symptom but a
heart attack sometimes presented with shoulder pain or as
what was thought to be a severe flu that was taking a long
time to recover from.
Coronary Angiography Underdiagnoses Coronary Disease in
Women
February 7, 2006: Coronary angiography does not detect
coronary disease in about one in every six women with chest
pain. These women have coronary microvascular syndrome and
their arterial disease leads to general narrowing of the
arteries rather than the local blockages commonly seen on
angiography. The syndrome can be detected using nuclear
SPECT (single-photon emission compute tomography) tests, or
provocative coronary testing (in which an adenosine
injection mimics the effects of exercising on a treadmill).
This study provides further evidence that heart disease in
women and men is different (other recent work has shown that
women with heart attacks are more likely than men to present
with severe fatigue, perspiration or atypical pain
locations).
Many Don't Know a Heart Attack When They Have One
Jan. 25, 2006: People who have risk
factors for coronary disease and are in the coronary event
age group should seek prompt medical evaluation or call 911
for persistent symptoms that seem unusual. Although most
Americans are aware that chest pain can be an ominous sign,
most don't realize that heart attack may present as
discomfort in the neck, back or jaw. or as nausea. An online
survey of 2.515 adults (including 1,370 who had a heart
attack of had a friend or relative with a heart attack) was
released in conjunction with "Act in Time to Heart Attack
Signs", a National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute public
awareness campaign. Only 35% of those who had been diagnosed
with a heart attack or who had a friend/relative diagnosed
said calling 911 was their first step. Many patients waited
two or more hours after symptoms started before seeking
medical attention because they were unaware they were having
a heart attack. Nearly half of all heart attack deaths occur
before the patient reaches the hospital. Only 46% of those
diagnosed with a heart attack or who had a friend or family
member diagnosed said they had experienced chest discomfort.
High Dose Lipitor did not Slow Progression of Calcified
Atherosclerosis over 1 Year
Jan. 17, 2006: Recent clinical trials
have suggested that intensive versus standard lipid-lowering
therapy provides for additional benefit. A large double
blind study using electron-beam CT scans to measure
progression of coronary artery calcification showed no
difference between high and low dose atorvastatin (Lipitor)
over a 12-month period, despite greater reduction in LDL
cholesterol with the high dose.
Cardiovascular Risk Factors Undertreated in Heart Patients
Worldwide
Jan. 17, 2006: Undertreatment of risk
factors for patients with a history of cardiovascular
disease appears to be an American and worldwide phenomenon.
More than half of patients worldwide with diagnosed
hypertension still had elevated blood pressure according to
a Jan. 11, 2006 JAMA article. Of the more than 31,000
patients with a history of diabetes, only 86% were receiving
at least one diabetes medication.
5.
NEUROLOGICAL/PSYCHOLOGICAL
Depressed patients may need both antidepressants and
treatment for insomnia
May 2, 2007: Patients with major depression often have
insomnia and this may need to be treated also. Sleep aids do
appear to work in depressed patients. "Treating the insomnia
pharmacologically or behaviorally can improve outcomes in
depression," said Christopher L. Drake, Ph.D., of the Henry
Ford Hospital Sleep Disorders and Research Center in
Detroit. In a 2006 clinical study, giving the sleep aid
eszopiclone (Lunesta) in combination with fluoxetine
(Prozac) was associated with an antidepressant response
about two weeks earlier than patients treated with
fluoxetine alone.
Happy countries may have less high blood pressure
March 3, 2007: In a cross-country survey of about 15,000
randomly sampled individuals from 16 European countries,
people were asked about life satisfaction and high blood
pressure problems. There was a trend (statistically
significant on 1-tailed but not 2-tailed testing of
unadjusted data) for countries with less high blood pressure
problems to have greater life satisfaction. The best
quartile of countries (less high blood pressure & more life
satisfaction) were Ireland, Denmark, the Netherlands and
Sweden), followed by the second quartile (Spain, France,
Luxemburg, United Kingdom), the third quartile (Austria,
Italy, Belgium and Greece) and the fourth (worst) quartile
(East Germany, West Germany, Portugal, and Finland).
Although the statistics are not compelling, the survey does
suggest the value of more definitive evaluation of the
relationship between blood pressure and happiness.
Randomized trial suggests that 3 months of psychoanalysis
helps patients with panic disorder
February 6, 2007: In the era of evidence-based medicine,
psychoanalysis has become increasingly marginalized.
However, a new 49-patient, 3-month randomized trial has
found that significantly more panic disorder patients
receiving psychoanalytic psychotherapy improved (73%) than
patients receiving relaxation training (39%). The primary
outcome measure was the Panic Disorder Severity Scale, rated
by blinded independent evaluators.
Lessen burden of bereavement by spending more time with
family members and giving them a bereavement brochure
February 4, 2007: Providing relatives of patients who
are dying in the ICU with a brochure on bereavement and
using a proactive communication strategy that includes
longer conferences and more time for family members to talk
may lessen the burden of bereavement.
Cognitive training helps mental function in the elderly
December 20, 2006: Ten sessions of cognitive training
(memory, reasoning, mental processing speed) given to
elderly people (average age 74) was associated with
significantly better performance in activities of daily
living (e.g., reacting to a road sign, looking up a number
in a telephone book or checking the ingredients on a
medicine bottle). The benefit lasted for at least 5 years
after the sessions. Almost 3,000 elderly people from senior
housing, community centers, and hospitals and clinics were
randomized to different treatments; those performing the
mental testing were unaware of the treatment assignments.
Observational study associates higher vegetable consumption
with better cognitive function in elderly
October
24, 2006: A prospective cohort observational study in over
3,000 participants 65 years or older showed an association
between higher self-reported vegetable dietary consumption
and cognitive function (assessed by immediate memory,
delayed recall, the Mini-Mental State Examination, and the
Symbol Digit Modalities Test). A multivariate analysis was
used adjusted for age, sex, race, education, cardiovascular
conditions and risk factors. Observational studies cannot
establish causality but can suggest the need for further
study. Older people who started eating more than two cups a
day of vegetables showed a significant delay in mental
decline; accordingly, it should be possible to test the
vegetable/cognition relationship in a controlled study in
which elderly subjects are randomly assigned to increased
vegetable consumption or not.
FDA approves Aricept for severe Alzheimer's Disease
October
16, 2006: FDA has approved Aricept (donepezil) for the
treatment of severe dementia in patients with Alzheimer's
Disease. It now becomes the first product approved for all
degrees of severity. Aricept was approved for mild to
moderate Alzheimer's ten years ago. The additional approval
for severe Alzheimer's is based on over 500 patients in two
randomized, placebo-controlled, 24-week clinical trials in
Sweden and Japan that showed superiority to placebo in
cognitive functions (e.g., memory, language, orientation,
attention) and in overall functioning (see our April 5, 2006
review). Alzheimer's affects 4.5 million Americans.
New
Analysis suggests that paroxetine (Paxil) may increase risk
of suicide attempts in young adults
May 11, 2006:
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) has conducted a new analysis of
suicidality in adults with depression and other psychiatric
disorders and has concluded "..young adults, especially
those with MDD [Major Depressive Disorder] may be at
increased risk for suicidal behavior during treatment with
paroxetine [Paxil]" but "It is difficult to conclude a
causal relationship between paroxetine and suicidality in
adults.." Detailed information is available on its website.
The analysis found that 11 of 3,455 people who were taking
Paxil for depression reported an attempted suicide, compared
with 1 in 1,978 taking placebo in the trials. Most were
among adults ages 18 to 30. Overall, the analysis found no
increased risk of suicidal behavior in adults over 30.
Naltrexone (Revia) and combined behavioral intervention are
effective in alcohol dependence
May 3, 2006:
Alcohol dependence (DSM IV
criteria) is alcohol use with clinically significant
impairment as shown by at least three of the following
within any one-year period: tolerance; withdrawal; taken in
greater amounts or over longer time course than intended;
desire or unsuccessful attempts to cut down or control use;
great deal of time spent obtaining, using, or recovering
from use; social, occupational, or recreational activities
given up or reduced; continued use despite knowledge of
physical or psychological sequelae. Treatment of alcohol
dependence was tested in the 1383-patient, 9-treatment
group, 16-week, randomized COMBINE clinical trial. After
showing 3 days of abstinence, patients were randomized to
various combinations of drug therapy (naltrexone or
acamprosate), placebo, and combined behavioral intervention.
Reduction in drinking was seen in all treatment groups, but
reduction was greater in patients receiving naltrexone
(Revia), combined behavioral intervention, or both along
with medical management; acamprosate (Campral) was not more
effective than placebo.
A stroke in certain sections of the brain can also damage
the heart
April 26, 2006: Damage
to heart muscle or even a clinical heart attack has long
been known to be a possible consequence of a stroke. A new
study in 738 patients with acute ischemic stroke (a stroke
caused by blockage in an artery that supplies blood to the
brain, resulting in a deficiency in blood flow) identified
50 patients with heart damage (as measured by increased
levels of cardiac troponin, a protein released by the
heart). Compared with 50 randomly selected age- and
sex-matched ischemic stroke controls without heart damage,
the strokes in the patients with heart damage occurred most
frequently when certain regions of the brain were affected
by the stroke, including the right insula (an oval region of
the cerebral cortex located in the sylvian fissure in the
language area of the brain) and the right inferior parietal
lobule (the lower part of the parietal lobe of the cerebral
cortex located behind the frontal lobe).
Observational study suggests Mediterranean Diet may reduce
risk of Alzheimer's disease
April 19, 2006: An observational study
suggests that higher adherence to the Mediterranean Diet is
associated with reduced risk of Alzheimer's disease.
Observational studies cannot establish causal relationships,
but can suggest the need for further study. The study
included 2,258 New York subjects without dementia at
baseline who were followed for an average of 4 years (range
0.2-13.9 years). Alzheimer's disease developed in 12% of
subjects. Higher adherence to the Mediterranean Diet (0-9
scale) was significantly (p=0.015) associated with less risk
of Alzheimer's disease, after adjustment for confounding
variables (cohort, age, sex, ethnicity, education,
apolipoprotein E genotype, caloric intake, smoking, medical
comorbidity index, and body mass index). Compared to the
least Mediterranean Diet adherent third of subjects (lowest
tertile), subjects in the middle tertile had about 20% less
risk of developing Alzheimer's disease, while those most
adherent to the Mediterranean Diet (highest tertile) had
about 40% less risk of developing Alzheimer's disease, with
a significant dose-response relationship (p = 0.007). In
other studies, the Mediterranean diet has been associated
with lower risk for cardiovascular disease, several forms of
cancer, and overall mortality. The Mediterranean Diet is
inspired by the traditional dietary patterns of the
Mediterranean basin (particularly Southern Italy, Greece,
Portugal and Spain). These diets are characterized by rich
full-flavored foods with high consumption of fruit,
vegetables, bread, other cereals, olive oil, and fish; low
saturated fat; high monounsaturated fat and fiber; and
moderate consumption of red wine.
Brain
Training for the Aging Brain
April 11, 2006: Quizzes, memory tests
and arithmetic drills to help keep seniors sharp are very
popular in Japan. PlayStation Portables (PSP) has the "Brain
Trainer" based on work by Ryuta Kawashima, a professor of
brain science at Tohoku University. To exercise your brain,
try these tests:
Picture
Memory,
List Recall,
Word Memory.
Observational study suggests early removal of ovaries may be
associated with increased risk of Alzheimer's
April 7, 2006: A Mayo Clinic
observational study reported at the American Academy of
Neurology meeting found a 42% increased risk of Alzheimer's
disease in women who had unilateral or bilateral
oophorectomy (surgical removal of the ovaries). In the
subgroup with oopherectomy before age 38 the risk was higher
(23 of 404 women). The study used a cohort design and
compared a group of 1,466 women who had an oophorectomy with
1,421 matched women who did not have an oophorectomy.
Differences between groups did not emerge until the women
were in their 80s. This study has not yet been published and
requires confirmation. An observational study can not
establish a causal relationship. However, it may be one
factor to consider for women considering elective
oophorectomy.
Study shows donepezil (Aricept) improves cognition and
activities of daily living in severe Alzheimer's
April 5, 2006: Donepezil (Aricept) is
presently indicated in the US for mild to moderate
Alzheimer's disease. A new double-blind, placebo-controlled,
6 month study in 248 patients with severe Alzheimer's
disease and living in assisted care nursing homes showed
significant improvement with donepezil in cognition (mental
processes such as awareness, perception, reasoning, and
judgment) and activities of daily living (using modified
ADCS-ADL-severe scores). More donepezil patients
discontinued treatment because of adverse events (16% versus
7% for placebo). Writing in the April 1-7 Lancet the authors
conclude "Donepezil improves cognition and preserves
function in individuals with severe Alzheimer's disease who
live in nursing homes".
MRI study shows that highly intelligent children have more
dynamically changing brains and reach peak thickness of the
cerebral cortex at a later age
March 30, 2006: A study in 307 children
in whom the thickness of the cerebral cortex was measured in
a series of MRI brain scans showed that highly intelligent
children have more dynamically changing brains and reach a
peak cortical thickness later (around 13 years old) than
children of average intelligence (around 7-8 years old).
Open-label studies
suggest that adding or switching antidepressants may help
citalopram (Celexa) non-responders
March 23, 2006: Two reports from the
STAR*D Study Team describe the effects of switching or
adding antidepressant therapy to depressed patients who do
not respond to (or cannot tolerate) the selective
serotonin-reuptake inhibitor (SSRI) citalopram (Celexa). The
primary outcome in both studies was symptom remission,
defined as a score of 7 or less on the HRSD-17 as assessed
by raters blinded to the treatment given. In one open-label
study, depressed patients who did not respond by symptom
remission on citalopram were randomized to be switched to
one of three other antidepressants for up to 14 weeks. The
primary outcome was comparable with all three treatments,
bupropion-SR (21%), sertraline (18%) and venlafaxine-XR
(25%). The authors point out that "without a placebo group,
we cannot be certain that any of the treatments was
specifically effective (i.e., the results were due to the
pharmacological effects of the medication)". Another
open-label study tested the effect of adding a second
antidepressant drug in depressed patients who did not
respond to citalopram after an average of 12 weeks therapy.
Patients were randomly assigned to add bupropion-SR or
buspirone to their citalopram treatment. The primary outcome
was comparable with bupropion-SR and buspirone (30% in each
group). Bupropion-SR had a significantly lower dropout rate
because of intolerance than buspirone (13% versus 21%). The
authors point out that "the lack of a placebo control does
not allow us to exclude spontaneous remission, the
non-specific effects of treatment, or the extended use of
citalopram alone as the likely explanation for the present
findings". Thus these reports suggest but do not establish
that adding or switching antidepressants in citalopram
non-responders causes remission in about 20-30% of patients.
Stimulants may cause hallucinations in 2-5% of children
taking these drugs
March 23, 2006: Stimulants such as
methylphenidate (Ritalin and Concerta), atomoxetine (Strattera),
and Adderall (a combination of mixed salts of amphetamine)
may cause hallucinations (usually of insects, snakes or
worms) in 2-5% of children who take the drugs. An FDA
advisory committee recommended that a warning (rather than a
"black box") regarding hallucinations as well as recently
described cardiovascular side effects should be included in
the labels for the drugs, and FDA suggested that it would
follow this recommendation.
Inaccuracies and stigmatizing language are common in
neurology coverage by US newspapers
March 21, 2006: An article in the March
issue of Mayo Clinic Proceedings reports that inaccuracies
such as medical errors or exaggerations (20%) and
stigmatizing language (15%) were common in 1,203 stories on
neurologic conditions reported in 9 newspapers with
circulation greater than 200,000 during 2003. Excluding wire
stories, the average for stigmatizing language among locally
produced newspaper stories was higher (21%) than for the New
York Times. The most common subjects of the stories were
Alzheimer’s disease (33% of stories), Parkinson’s disease
(15%), cerebrovascular disease (13%), and multiple sclerosis
(11%). Common conditions such as migraine headaches (3%) and
head trauma (2%) received little coverage. An accompanying
Editorial pointed out that adults obtain much of their
health information from mass media and that more research is
needed in this area.
Study
suggests that donepezil (Aricept) could be associated with
increased death rate
March 17, 2006: Donezepil (Aricept) is
approved in the US for treatment of mild and moderate
Alzheimer’s disease. A recent 2-year clinical trial in a
different disease (vascular dementia) randomized patients in
a 2:1 ratio to Aricept (648 patients) or placebo (326
patients). Eleven deaths occurred in the Aricept patients
(1.7%) versus no deaths in the placebo patients (0%). The
sponsoring company, Eisai, commented that the absence of
deaths in the placebo group was different from that seen in
early vascular dementia trials (in which about 2% of the
placebo patients died). The 2-year trial demonstrated
significant improvement with Aricept in tests of cognitive
function (tests measuring memory or other mental functions)
but did not show significant improvement in global function
(an overall test of ability to function in daily life). An
increase in the death rate versus placebo was found
previously with another cholinesterase inhibitor,
galantamine (Razadyne, formerly Reminyl), in trials in
elderly subjects with mild cognitive impairment - 13 deaths
in 1,026 Razadyne subjects (1.3%), versus 1 death in 1,022
placebo subjects (0.1%). Eisai is discussing the new Aricept
findings with the FDA which commented that Aricept “remains
a safe option”. Other experts commented that drugs of this
class may cause adverse cardiovascular effects and that
Aricept use should be restricted to diseases currently
US-approved for Aricept use (mild and moderate
Alzheimer’s disease).
Maintenance therapy with antidepressant drug helps after
drug-assisted recovery from major depression in old age
March 16, 2006: In a double-blind
study, 116 elderly patients whose major depression had
responded to combined paroxetine (Paxil) and psychotherapy
were randomly assigned to one of four treatments: 1) Paxil +
psychotherapy, 2) Paxil + clinical-management sessions, 3)
placebo + psychotherapy, 2) placebo + clinical-management
sessions. Major depression recurred within 2 years
significantly less frequently in the Paxil groups (35% &
37%) than in the placebo groups (68% and 58%). The effect of
Paxil was greater in those with fewer and less severe
coexisting medical conditions (such as hypertension or heart
disease). Maintenance psychotherapy did not reduce the risk
of recurrent depression. This study demonstrated that
continuing Paxil therapy in patients whose previous
depression had responded to Paxil substantially reduces the
risk of future episodes of depression.
Withdrawn MS drug might return to market
March 9, 2006: The multiple sclerosis
(MS) drug, natalizumab (Tysabri), might return to the market.
An FDA Advisory Committee unanimously recommended that sales
may resume. However, patients receiving the drug must be
treated only at specially designated sites, must have the
relapsing form of MS, must be taking no other MS medicines,
and must be enrolled in a mandatory registry to track a rare
brain infection, progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy
(PML), that may occur in about one in 1,000 patients
receiving the drug. FDA usually follows its Advisory
Committee recommendations. Recently published studies in the
New England Journal of Medicine (see below) found that
Tysabri was highly effective in relapsing MS. It may work by
blocking the passage of immune cells from the blood to the
brain, where the cells can damage nerves. The magnitude of
the risk of PML (caused by activation of a common virus that
usually lies dormant) with Tysabri is not precisely known at
this time because only a few cases have occurred. PML risk
may be substantially different from the current estimate of
1 in 1,000, and may be higher for patients who have weak
immune systems.
Restraining
good arm may give some recovery of affected arm after stroke
March 6, 2006: A small, preliminary
study suggests that as long as five years after suffering a
stroke, people may regain some limited function in a weak
arm post-stroke when their strong arm is restrained during
10 days of intensive therapy to the weak arm. Some patients
retained these benefits for two years. A hand splint or
sling was used to immobilize the patient's good arm while
intensive daily physical therapy was given to strengthen the
weak one. The concept is that the "use it or lose it"
therapy may rewire nerve communications between the brain
and the affected arm. In the study, 21 people with mild to
moderate impairment in their arms about five years after
surviving a stroke received this therapy and results were
compared with those in a group of 20 similar stroke
survivors receiving a general exercise program.
Discontinued MS drug effective in new publications
March 2, 2006: The multiple sclerosis
(MS) drug, natalizumab, was shown to be highly effective in
relapsing MS in three clinical trials reported in the
current New England Journal of Medicine. Natalizumab (Tysabri)
was removed from the market a year ago because of 3 cases of
progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML). FDA has
recently allowed resumption of clinical trials on the drug
for patients who had previously received it.
The
optimistic live longer
Feb. 27, 2006: More optimistic men have
half the cardiovascular death rate of the less optimistic
according to a study of 545 Dutch men aged 64-84 published
in the Archives of Internal Medicine. This finding supports
previous research that being optimistic is associated with
better overall physical health and lowers mortality from all
causes. Participants responded to statements such as "I do
not look forward to what lies ahead for me in the years to
come" and "My days seem to be passing by slowly," or "I am
still full of plans." The lead researcher said "Optimism can
be estimated easily and is stable over long periods".
More optimistic scores were associated with being younger,
being better educated, living with others, having better
health, and doing more physical activity. It has not been
shown if optimism improves health or is merely associated
with improved health.
FDA Advisers Recommend Black Box Warning for ADHD Drugs
Feb. 10, 2006: An FDA Advisory
Committee has suggested a black-box warning on the risk of
heart attacks, stroke, and sudden death in patients
receiving drugs for attention-deficit/hyperactivity - e.g.,
methylphenidate (Ritalin & Concerta) and amphetamine-dextroamphetamine
(Adderall). FDA staffers had reported 54 serious
cardiovascular events on the drugs (prescribed to about two
million children and one million adults each month). The
recommendation passed by a 1-vote margin in a contentious
meeting in which some panel members backed a conservative
strategy of merely requiring more clinical studies to
clarify the findings. The New York Times reported that, in a
subsequent news conference, the FDA Director of the Division
of Psychiatry Products stated "We think the labeling right
now is adequate". All 15 members of the Advisory Committee
agreed that parents of children on ADHD drugs who have
preexisting heart conditions should consult their doctors.
Many workers in the field believe that ADHD drugs are
overused in children and underused in adults. However, any
increased cardiovascular risk could argue against increased
use in adults.
Large Twin Study Confirms Heritability of Alzheimer's
Feb. 8, 2006: A large twin study has
confirmed the conclusions of other recent studies that
genetics is important in causing Alzheimer's disease (about
60-80% of cases) as well as the age at onset. The Swedish
Twin Registry identified 392 pairs 65 years or over in whom
one or both had Alzheimer's. Genetics appeared to play a
role in 58% of cases (95% confidence interval=19%-87%).
However, when considering only twins who did not share
environmental influences, genetics appeared to account for
79% of cases (95% CI=67%-88%). The genetic influence held
for unlike-sex twins suggesting that the same genes cause
Alzheimer's in men and women. It may be particularly
advisable for people with Alzheimer's disease in the family
to practice a lifestyle that minimizes the risk of
Alzheimer's (e.g., regular exercise for both body and mind).
Exercise Fends Off Dementia in Older Adults
Jan. 17, 2006: A prospective cohort
study suggested that even moderate exercise (at least 15
minutes per day three times per week or more) can help older
people significantly delay or reduce their risks of
developing Alzheimer's disease or other forms of dementia.
ECT and Drugs Still Best Options For Depression
Jan. 17, 2006: According to a recent
large-scale, population-based study from Scotland in The
Lancet: 1) Modern electroconvulsive therapy is safe and is
the most effective treatment for depression, especially if
it presents with psychotic symptoms, such as delusions and
hallucinations., 2) Antidepressants drugs are not associated
with an increased risk of suicide. 3) Psychotherapies are
recommended as treatment of milder depression or as an
adjunct to antidepressant drugs in more severe illness. 4)
While transcranial magnetic stimulation appears to be an
intriguing research tool, there is insufficient evidence
currently to support its therapeutic use. In an accompanying
editorial, The Lancet editors wrote that "over 50% of people
with depression will become functionally impaired because of
their illness. Sadly, for many people a diagnosis of
depression is made worse by the social stigma that still
clings to all mental-health diagnoses, by difficulties in
accessing treatment options, and by confusion about which
treatments work and which may make their problems worse."
6. OTHER CHRONIC DISEASE
Older oral hypoglycemic (metformin) gives equivalent blood
sugar control in Type II diabetes, lowers LDL cholesterol,
and does not increase weight
June 29, 2007: In a review article, oral
diabetes agents (second-generation sulfonylureas, biguanides,
thiazolidinediones, meglitinides, and -glucosidase
inhibitors) were compared for the treatment of adults with
type 2 diabetes mellitus. Evidence from clinical trials was
inconclusive on major clinical end points, such as
cardiovascular mortality. Most oral agents (thiazolidinediones,
metformin, and repaglinide) improved glycemic control to the
same degree as sulfonylureas (absolute decrease in
hemoglobin A1c level of about 1 percentage point.
Nateglinide and -glucosidase inhibitors may have slightly
weaker effects, on the basis of indirect comparisons of
placebo-controlled trials. Thiazolidinediones were the only
class that had a beneficial effect on high-density
lipoprotein cholesterol levels (mean relative increase, 0.08
to 0.13 mmol/L [3 to 5 mg/dL]) but a harmful effect on
low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol levels (mean
relative increase, 0.26 mmol/L [10 mg/dL]) compared with
other oral agents. Metformin decreased LDL cholesterol
levels by about 0.26 mmol/L (10 mg/dL), whereas other oral
agents had no obvious effects on LDL cholesterol levels.
Most agents other than metformin increased body weight by 1
to 5 kg. Sulfonylureas and repaglinide were associated with
greater risk for hypoglycemia, thiazolidinediones with
greater risk for heart failure, and metformin with greater
risk for gastrointestinal problems compared with other oral
agents. Lactic acidosis was no more common in metformin
recipients without comorbid conditions than in recipients of
other oral diabetes agents.
Second-hand smoke increases levels of tobacco-specific
carcinogens
June 29, 2007: Non-smokers who work in bars
and restaurants where smoking was permitted had higher
levels of a tobacco-specific carcinogen
than those who worked where the air wasn't tainted. They
were six times more likely (P=0.005) to have three
detectable metabolites of the tobacco-specific NNAL known
chemically as
4-(methylnitrosamino)-1-(3-pryridyl)-1-butanol, in their
urine, and that their mean levels were significantly higher
(p<0.001).
than people with similar jobs in smoke-free establishments.
The presence of the compound, known as NNAL, is specific to
tobacco use or exposure.
Controlled study shows low-dose morphine can improve
refractory cough
February 16, 2007: A 4-week, double-blind
crossover study in 27 patients with chronic, persistent,
refractory cough for greater than three months without
significant lung disease showed a rapid 40% improvement in
cough with morphine (oral, slow-release, low-dose - 5 mg
twice daily) compared with placebo (p<0.01).
Observational study suggests that proton pump inhibitors
increase hip fracture risk
December 27, 2006: A nested case-control
study in the UK compared proton pump inhibitor users and
nonusers of acid suppression drugs who were older than 50
years. There was a statistically significant 44% increased
risk of hip fracture with more than 1 year of proton pump
inhibitor therapy, and the risk increased as duration
increased (59% increase after 4 years). Observational
studies cannot establish causality but can suggest the need
for further study.
Chronic constipation associated with higher mortality
November 1, 2006: A Mayo Clinic prospective observational
study in almost 4,000 people and presented at the American
College of Gastroenterology Annual Meeting reported that
about 15% of people had chronic constipation and that their
adjusted 10-year mortality risk was about 20% greater than
people without chronic constipation. The authors suggested
that the constipation was probably a marker of increased
mortality risk rather than a cause. Observational studies
cannot establish causality but can suggest the need for
further study.
Physically active people have less macular degeneration
November 1, 2006: A prospective observational study in
almost 4,000 people found that the adjusted risk of
exudative age-related macular degeneration over 15 years was
only one-third as likely in those who walked three times or
more a week compared to sedentary people. This suggests yet
one more benefit of regular physical exercise. Observational
studies cannot establish causality but can suggest the need
for further study.
NIH clinical trial will compare $20-100/month drug with
$2000/month drug in macular degeneration
October 6, 2006: An editorial in the New England
Journal of Medicine suggests that bevacizumab (Avastin), a
very similar but much less expensive drug, might be as
effective as ranibizumab (Lucentis) in treating macular
degeneration, the leading cause of blindness in the elderly.
However, controlled trials in macular degeneration have not
been done with bevacizumab, so that equal efficacy cannot be
assumed. Accordingly, the NIH has announced that it will
sponsor a 1200-patient clinical trial comparing the two
drugs in macular degeneration. The study will take 4 years
and cost $16 million. Monthly costs for treatment are about
$2,000 per month for Lucentis and about $20-100 for Avastin.
Report claims Norvasc reduces risk of diabetes
September 6, 2006: A 20,000 patient study presented on
September 6 at the World Congress of Cardiology meeting in
Spain was reported as showing that amlodipine (Norvasc)
"reduced the risk of developing diabetes by 34%" compared
with the beta-blocker atenolol. However, until additional
data on this study are available, this conclusion
should be interpreted with caution. Patients on Norvasc also
took Coversyl (a member of the class of ACE inhibitors that
have been shown to reduce the risk of diabetes) and it is
not clear if the patients on atenolol also took Coversyl. In
addition, beta blockers are known to increase blood glucose,
and in one
September 6 report beta-blockers were reported to
increase the risk of developing diabetes (by 32% in older
women, and 20% in men).
Observational study suggests that NSAIDs reduce BPH risk
(symptoms, prostate size, urinary flow & PSA)
August
30, 2006: An age-adjusted analysis of an observational
(population-based cohort) study in 2,447 men found that
daily NSAID use was associated with a 27% reduction in the
risk of moderate/severe symptoms related to Benign Prostatic
Hyperplasia (BPH). In a random subset of 634 men, daily
NSAID use was associated with higher urinary flow rate,
smaller prostate volume, and lower PSA level. Observational
studies cannot establish causality but can suggest the need
for further study.
Review supports routine use of antibiotics in COPD
exacerbations
April 20, 2006: Despite
their widespread use, the value of antibiotics in
exacerbations (acute episodes of worsened disease) of
chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remains
controversial. Eleven trials with 917 patients with moderate
to severe COPD were included in this review. Use of
antibiotics (regardless of the type) reduced the risk of
patient deaths by 77% and the risk of the patient not
responding to medical intervention by 53%. In addition, the
chances of sputum remaining colored (green/yellow) were
reduced by 44%. As expected with antibiotic use there was an
increased risk of diarrhea. This review supports using
antibiotics for patients with COPD exacerbations who are
moderately or severely ill with increased cough and colored
sputum.
High dose Lipitor may improve kidney function in coronary
disease patients
March 13, 2006: TNT was a
large double-blind trial comparing low dose (10 mg/day) and
high dose (80 mg/day) atorvastatin (Lipitor) in coronary
heart disease patients with mild to moderately raised
cholesterol. The beneficial results with the high dose for
the primary endpoint (heart attack, cardiac arrest, stroke)
have been previously reported. A just-released additional
analysis of the non-pre-specified endpoint of kidney
function (as assessed by eGFR) showed improvement of
kidney function at the high dose (half of those with
abnormal kidney function at the beginning of the study had
normal kidney function at the end of the study). Since these
encouraging findings come from an analysis that was not
pre-specified in the study design, they should be
interpreted with caution.
Clinical trial result causes patients to say "no" to lung
surgery
March 3, 2006: Medicare has
begun requiring its beneficiaries to participate in
controlled clinical trials to measure the effectiveness of
some treatments. One such trial evaluated lung volume
reduction surgery for emphysema. It had been touted as a
life-saving procedure but a 1,281-patient, 2-year trial that
compared the results in groups with or without surgery
showed disappointing results. Overall, the operative
mortality was 8% and patients in the study lived no longer,
whether or not they had the surgery. Patient subset analysis
(which should be interpreted with caution) suggested that
certain subsets of surgery patients outlived similarly ill
non-surgery patients, or found it easier to walk or breathe.
Although lung surgeons still recommend the treatment,
referring physicians and patients made aware of the trial
results have been opting for non-surgical treatment.
Medicare is now enrolling patients in other trials or
registries, examining the effectiveness of a wide range of
expensive and popular treatments and procedures — new cancer
drugs, defibrillators, PET scans to detect early Alzheimer's
disease and. possibly, home oxygen therapy for emphysema.
Pfizer Wins FDA Approval for Inhaled Form of Insulin
January 27, 2006: FDA has given
marketing approval for Exubera, an inhaled form of insulin
to be sold by Pfizer. Exubera could offer Type 1 (insulin-dependent)
diabetics more convenience and less pain, and could prompt
Type 2 diabetics who have failed oral therapy for diabetes
to switch to insulin so as to control their blood sugar and reduce
diabetic complications. Exubera therapy may sometimes have
to be supplemented by injectable insulin, and finger pricks
for blood sugar will still be needed. The inhaler is bulky
compared to ordinary insulin syringes and may be less
convenient for diabetics to carry around with them. It is not approved for
children and is not recommended in those with underlying
lung disease such as asthma, bronchitis or emphysema, or in
smokers or those who quit smoking less than 6 months ago.
People who use Exubera should have their lung function
checked before they start on the drug and every six to 12
months afterwards. Exubera should be available by the middle
of 2006.
Older Women Report High Rate of Fecal Incontinence
January 27, 2006: Older women have
a high rate of fecal incontinence according to a University
of Washington study. Advanced age, obesity, history of
vaginal operative deliveries, multiple childbirths, urinary
incontinence, diabetes and major depression are associated
with increased risk. In a postal survey of 3,536 women with
a 64% response rate, the fecal incontinence prevalence was
7.2% overall, 12.5% for ages 60 to 69 said, 10.8% for ages
70 to 79, and 15% for ages 80 to 90. Fecal incontinence
among younger women is likely to be due to childbirth, and
in older women to age-related weakening of muscles as well
as comorbid conditions. Urinary incontinence was highly
associated with fecal incontinence (70%). Because fecal
incontinence is embarrassing to discuss, specific
questioning of patients may be helpful. However, the low
(64%) response rate suggests that the true prevalence may be
lower, since patients without fecal incontinence could be
less likely to respond to the survey.
Gene Confers Increased Diabetes Risk - Diagnostic Test to be
Developed
January 16, 2006: A gene variant
carried by 38% of Americans increases the risk of diabetes
according to Decode Genetics, a company that looks for
medically relevant genes in the Iceland population.
The increased risk of diabetes was found in the Iceland
study and then confirmed in Danish and American populations.
A diagnostic test is being developed to identify people who
carry the variant gene, and perhaps give them an additional
incentive to stay thin and exercise. One copy of the gene
increases risk 45% and two copies in the same person
increase risk 141%. The "population-attributable risk" (the
% of cases attributable to the new gene) is 21 percent. The
gene, designated TCF7L2, is one that controls the activity
of other genes. Its role may include setting the level of a
hormone that acts along with insulin to control blood sugar
levels. The scientists don't yet know if the variant gene is
more common in African-Americans, Latinos, American Indians
and Asian-Americans (in whom diabetes is more common). New
treatments in the future might target the biochemical
pathways affected by the variant gene.
7. COMPUTERS IN MEDICINE
As implemented, Electronic Health Records were not
associated with better quality ambulatory care
July 12,
2007: The
authors of an article in the Archives of Internal Medicine
assessed the association between use of Electronic Health
records (EHR), as implemented, and the quality of ambulatory
care in a nationally representative survey. EHR were used in
18% (95% confidence interval [CI], 15%-22%) of the estimated
1.8 billion ambulatory visits (95% CI, 1.7-2.0 billion) in
the United States in 2003 and 2004. As implemented, EHR were
not associated with better quality ambulatory care.
However, the investigators emphasized that the findings do
not refute the value of EHR, but, rather, emphasize the need
for greater commitment to quality improvement.
Active, electronic post-marketing drug safety surveillance
system advocated by former FDA Commissioner
April
14, 2007: Among several articles on drug safety published by
the New England Journal of Medicine on April 13, one
paragraph by Dr. Mark McClellan, a former commissioner of
the FDA states: "With almost all prescriptions now
processed electronically, and with the availability of
increasingly detailed data on health care utilization and
outcomes for insured Americans, we could implement a
routine, systematic approach to active population-based drug
surveillance that could identify potential safety problems
much more effectively and relatively inexpensively. For
example, Richard Platt, a professor of ambulatory care and
prevention at Harvard Medical School, has noted that with a
(now feasible) data network including information on 100
million patients, a statistically significant "signal" of
serious cardiovascular risk could have been detected after
less than 3 months of experience with rofecoxib.5 Such an
electronic surveillance network would also help in targeting
follow-up clinical studies to determine causality when
necessary and follow-up actions to influence prescribing."
US Government privacy standards for electronic health data
in "early stages". TMT privacy standards fully implemented.
February
18, 2007: The US Government Accounting Office has issued a
report on the efforts of the Department of Health and Human
Services (HHS) to ensure the privacy of electronic health
information. The report states that HHS "is in the early
stages of its efforts" and recommends that HHS "define and
implement an overall privacy approach that identifies
milestones...". [NOTE: TMT has a fully established procedure
for managing the privacy of health information of responders
to TMT questionnaires. This includes providing a unique
website address (URL) for each responder with the option of
password protection, use of Secure Sockets Layer (SSL)
technology to prevent interception of data transmitted over
the Internet, and maintenance of databases in secure
locations with limited access. The most secure process of
all is for the questionnaire responder not to provide any
personally identifying information. He or she can download
the TMT medical report and then insert whatever personal
information is required.]
Physicians may defer to computer in diagnosis
December
6, 2006: In a study of over 56,000 mammograms for diagnosis
of breast cancer, computer analysis was associated with
improved sensitivity of cancer detection for computer-marked
visible cancers and decreased sensitivity for
computer-unmarked visible masses. A
computer interpretation of an absence of cancer slightly
increased the radiologist’s ability to correctly determine
that a woman was cancer-free. If the computer did not
suggest that a mammogram was suspicious, radiologists were
less likely to recommend further evaluation than when they
did not receive the computer interpretation; if a mass was
not marked by the computer as suspicious, the
radiologists identified 37.4% of cancers in this subset without
computer-assisted detection, but only 30.1% when they
received the computer interpretation. This suggests that
they deferred to the computer interpretation when the
computer did not suggest cancer.
Primary care in US lags other developed countries in
clinical information systems and quality and efficiency
incentives
November
3,
2006: A survey of primary care physicians in Australia,
Canada, Germany, New Zealand, the Netherlands, the United
Kingdom, and the United States reveals striking differences
in elements of practice systems that underpin quality and
efficiency. Wide gaps exist between leading and lagging
countries in clinical information systems and payment
incentives. U.S. physicians are among the least likely to
have extensive clinical information systems or incentives
targeted on quality and the most likely to report that their
patients have difficulty paying for care. Disease management
capacity varies widely. Overall, findings highlight the
importance of nationwide policies. Policy changes in the
United States could lead to improved performance.
80% of US Internet users have searched on-line for health
information
October
30,
2006: Eighty percent of American Internet users (113 million
adults) have searched the Internet for information on health
topics. On a typical day about 10 million American adults
(7% of Internet users) search for information on a health
topic. Two-thirds of these start their search using a search
engine such as Google. People feel "reassured" by the
information in 74% of cases but "confused" in 18%. Three
quarters don't usually check the date or source of the
information. Health information seekers tend to be college
educated with at least 6 years experience of the Internet
and are fairly similar to the entire US Internet population.
Two thirds had a broadband connection. There is no gender
difference. The most common age group is 30-49. Although 17%
of the US population is 65 or over, only one third of these
search the Internet for health information.
Less than 10% of US doctors use full-fledged electronic
health records for outpatients
October
19,
2006: When electronic health records (EHRs) are widely
implemented they are expected to greatly improve standards
of healthcare. However, a new study has found that, despite
encouragement from the US government and medical
associations, only 9% of doctors treating outpatients use
full-fledged EHRs (patient demographics; computerized orders
for drugs, lab tests and other procedures; clinical decision
support such as reminders of recurring tests; and
information about findings, including doctors’ notes and lab
results). Previous studies have shown that the reasons for
this slow progress are complex, but one important factor is
the lack of financial return on EHR investment. One of the
co-authors of this study, David Blumenthal, M.D., director,
Institute for Health Policy, MGH/Partners, says "We are
pitifully behind where we should be. We must find ways to
get more physicians to embrace this technology if we are to
make major strides in improving health care quality". Note that
TMT provides a
Free EHR for patients to use if their doctor has no EHR.
Despite higher healthcare spending, US lags in use of health
information technology
May 10,
2006: Per capita, the US has fewer practicing physicians,
practicing nurses, and acute care bed days but spends more
than twice as much on health than the median OECD country
(US, Canada, Europe & other industrialized nations). The US
lags as much as a dozen years behind other OECD countries in
adopting Health Information Technology (HIT). The HIT
centerpiece is the EHR, but HIT also includes telehealth,
electronic ordering systems, decision support tools,
networks, and infrastructure. US physicians are reluctant to
adopt HIT because of concerns about lost productivity spent
during training and inadequate financial incentives. The US
has a fragmented approach to HIT implementation resulting in
a lack of interoperability among HIT systems, but has
recently recommended the Health Level Seven (HL7)
interoperability standards which have already been adopted
by Canada, Germany, the UK, Norway and Australia.
CCHIT Certification process issued for Electronic Health
Records
May 2,
2006: CCHIT (the Certification Commission for Healthcare
Information Technology) was jointly created in 2004 by three
leading HIT industry associations – the American Health
Information Management Association (AHIMA), the Healthcare
Information and Management Systems Society (HIMSS) and The
National Alliance for Health Information Technology
(Alliance). It is a voluntary, private-sector organization
to certify HIT products, and has been praised by David
Brailer, the outgoing Health IT czar. It held a public
teleconference on May 2 to discuss certification of generic
requirements for ambulatory EHR (Electronic Health Record)
vendors. Certification for 2006 will evaluate security and
functionality. It is hoped to include interoperability in
2007. EHR system certification can be pre-marketing or
post-marketing. EHR systems can be stand-alone (meeting all
criteria) or “joint products” which meet requirements by
working together with outside systems. Cost is currently
$28,000 for initial certification, with an additional
$4,800/year for maintenance certification. CCHIT inspection
is done by web conferencing.
-
CCHIT certification
will initially focus on generic requirements for all
ambulatory EHR vendors (with a focus on products for
small and medium size medical practices who are in most
need of CCHIT advice – large practices usually make
their own EHR-selection decisions).
-
Certification will
address three areas – security (the most mature set of
standards), functionality (current requirements
provisional and likely to evolve) and interoperability
(lack of standards means that no interoperability
requirements will be included in the 2006
certification).
-
Any EHR system must
meet all specified criteria (based on HL7 standards)
before certification. However, a system can “assign”
certain criteria to be met by EHR partners or other
hardware/software solutions that can be documented (by
demonstration or external documentation) to meet
specific criteria. Thus a system can be modular, with
different elements fulfilling certain requirements but
with sufficient interoperability to allow the modules to
work together.
-
Of 264
functionality criteria identified, about half will be
included in the 2006 certification. There was
considerable discussion about the basis for selecting
these criteria, and about concerns of vendor or
specialty bias in their selection. Some criteria use the
concept of “functional equivalence” in which a
particular core function (e.g., tracking values over
time) could be implemented in different settings (e.g.,
serial ejection fraction, serial intraocular pressure,
pediatric growth chart).
-
Of 51 security
criteria, 25 are “assignable”.
-
Applications may be
for “premarket conditional certification” (if the system
is not yet deployed in the field) or “production
certification” (if it has already been deployed in
routine use). A system may be a “comprehensive product”
(meeting all criteria on its own) or a “joint product”
(meets all criteria when combined with one or more
external systems).
-
Certification is
version-dependent (e.g., V 1.0.3).
-
Certification costs
$28,000 per product for the first year, and $4,800 per
year thereafter for a maintenance certificate for a
further 2 years. New certification in future years will
include all criteria from previous years and add new
criteria that have been validated. Criteria will remain
constant throughout a given certification year (e.g.
“2006” could include quarterly certifications in May
2006, August 2006, November 2006 and February 2007).
Projected certification costs for future years are not
yet available. Certification testing will be done in
order of the date of acceptance of a complete
application.
-
CCHIT inspection is
performed using web conferencing between the
vendor/deployed system and CCHIT staff. CCHIT will
arrange for web conferencing for any OS (e.g., Windows,
Mac, Linux). Functionality testing takes 4-8 hours and
Security testing takes 2-4 hours. Arrangements can be
made for supplemental testing, retesting, and appeal of
a certification decision.
-
Functionality
criteria are evaluated by a panel of 3 “jurors” (at
least 1 MD). A passing grade is 2 or more of the 3
jurors approving.
-
Security criteria
are tested by a single “IT/Security juror” who is
monitored by a CCHIT “Proctor”. The IT/Security juror
also evaluates off-line any “Self Attestation” materials
(security materials or documentation submitted by the
vendor).
-
Some of the
questions addressed in the Q&A included:
-
If a system has
several modules, no one of which meets all criteria,
will multiple site inspection be needed? Answer:
Yes.
-
What is the
definition of “functional equivalence”? Answer: Not
well worked out and may depend on circumstances.
-
If a particular
system is intended for a particular market segment
that does not require certain functionalities (e.g.,
pediatric tools for a geriatric application) can it
still get certification approved? Answer: Will
address this in FAQ (to be published on CCHIT
website).
-
As
specialty-specific functionality requirements
emerge, will these be added to the general
requirements? Answer: Not decided. CCHIT could
“suggest” desirable features for certain settings
without making them mandatory for all ambulatory
EHR.
-
Will separate
standards emerge for small, medium and large
practices, or for different specialties? Answer:
This might come later.
-
Are
certification standards too high for small office
vendors and too low for large office vendors?
Answer: Could be.
-
How should
questions about the process be handled? Answer:
General questions will be handled in the FAQ rather
than one-on-one. Vendor-specific questions will be
addressed one-on-one. All questions should be
submitted to
info@cchit.com.
-
Was the
organization and criteria setting of CCHIT managed
democratically with full involvement of
stakeholders? Answer: CCHIT tried to find a balance
between public involvement and speed. CCHIT is not a
“populist organization”.
-
What guidance
can CCHIT give to EHR vendors who want to have the
best chance of meeting interoperability standards
when CCHIT issues these? Answer: There is “no
answer yet” but they “hope” to have them for the
2007 certification. Cost of certification may
increase when interoperability requirements are
added. Dr. Leavitt is going to Washington DC
tomorrow to discuss IT “harmonization” and the
development of an “overarching road map” (with
timeline) for interoperability requirements. TMT
comment: For joint systems that combine different
modules to meet the various criteria, it is not
clear how CCHIT will determine if they work
adequately together if no interoperability criteria
are currently available.
-
Will the
maintenance certificates for subsequent years
require full testing of all criteria or only those
that have been added since the previous year?
Answer: Not decided.
Everyone agrees we need electronic medical records. So why
are we not doing it?
April 25, 2006:
An article in the Washington Times points out "It may be one
of the few things President Bush, Senate Majority Leader
Bill Frist, and Sens. Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack
Obama all agree on: In less than 10 years, every American
should have an electronic medical record that's instantly
accessible. .... But many of us -- as in almost everyone --
has their records on paper right now, probably in more than
one doctor's or dentist's office, and perhaps in way more
than one geographic location.... a study published in the
Mayo Clinic Proceedings shows that an alarming number of
people being discharged from hospitals know little about
their diagnoses and medications. The study found that 62
percent of patients didn't know the purpose of their
medications, 86 percent didn't know the side effects of
their medications and 58 percent didn't know their
diagnosis." TMT Comment: The three main reasons we don't
promptly set up electronic medical records (EMRs) for
everybody are conversion costs, lack of standards to
exchange electronic data confidentially and efficiently, and
lack of economic incentives for healthcare providers. TMT
provides confidential EMR software that empowers any patient
in the world -- and best of all it is free.
TMT Medical Questionnaires and
TMT Electronic Personal Health Record.
Treasury Secretary: “The typical doctor’s office has less
information technology in it than the corner drug store”
April 24, 2006: Treasury
Secretary John Snow told attendees at the World Health Care
Congress meeting in Washington, D.C. that healthcare
insurance now represents a large part of an employee's
compensation. Among several ways to hold down healthcare
costs, Snow said technology such as electronic medical
records and e-prescribing would reduce medical errors and
wring costs from the system. “The typical doctor’s office
has less information technology in it than the corner drug
store,” he said.
Only 1/4 of US hospitals have electronic medical records
February 21, 2006: Electronic medical
records (EMRs) have been endorsed by the US government,
supported by many academic medical groups, and widely and
effectively implemented in the VA medical system. "By
computerizing health records, we can avoid dangerous medical
mistakes, reduce costs and improve care," President Bush
said in his 2004 State of the Union address. However, the
February, 2006 survey by the Health Information and
Management Systems Society (HIMSS) reported that only 24% of
respondents had a fully operational system ("electronically
maintaining information about an individual's lifetime
health status in a completely paperless fashion.") for
electronic medical records in place as of February 2006
(compared with 18% in 2005 and 19% in 2004) with an
additional 40% being in the process of installing (or having
signed a contract for) an EMR system. Another 23 percent
said they had “developed a plan” to implement an EMR. Only
12 percent of respondents reported no plans for electronic
medical records. TMT’s “patient empowerment” approach (free
web-based questionnaires and electronic medical records) may
provide an immediately available partial solution while the
medical community is implementing physician-based medical
records and agreeing on interoperability standards, and. that can
later be incorporated into hospital or private practice
electronic systems when these become available.
Digital divide widens in medicine
February 10, 2006: An article in the
Boston Globe identifies key problems in digital
transformation of US healthcare data:
• Lack of financial return for medical groups, particularly
small groups or solo practitioners.
• Required changes in work flow and data entry with
associated training costs.
• Lack of interoperability between competing electronic
systems.
8.
ADMINISTRATIVE/POLITICAL
Senate votes new powers to FDA on drug safety
May 9, 2007:
The US Senate voted 93 to 1 to give FDA power to monitor
drug safety after marketing, to order drug label changes,
and restrict the use and distribution of drugs with serious
risks.
FDA announces new initiatives to assess safety of marketed
drugs
January
31, 2007: FDA has announced “initial steps” for “new
initiatives” in response to Institute of Medicine (IOM)
recommendations on post-marketing drug safety evaluation. It
is not clear how effective these steps will be. They include
using new approaches to identifying drug safety problems and
balancing risk, improving communication between
“stakeholders”, establishing a new safety advisory
committee, and endorsing initiatives in Congress that would
provide more funding and resources for drug safety. A pilot
program will be set up for regular review of the safety
profiles of some recently approved drugs. The FDA did not
endorse a number of IOM proposals, such as giving increased
authority to those who evaluate drug safety after drugs go
on the market.
Financial incentives improve hospital performance
January
26, 2007: Financial incentives ("pay for performance") was
associated with improvement in quality of hospital care in a
study of 613 US hospitals that voluntarily reported
information about the quality of care, 207 of which
participated in a pay-for-performance Medicare/Medicaid
demonstration project. Pay-for-performance hospitals showed
greater improvement in all composite measures of quality,
including measures of care for heart failure, heart attack,
and pneumonia and a composite of 10 measures. Adjusted
analysis showed pain for performance was associated with
2.6-4.1% improvement over a 2-year period. Hospitals with
the poorest performance at baseline showed the greatest
improvement.
Drug prices higher in Medicare private plans than in VA
system
January
10, 2007: Drug prices in Medicare Part D prescription drug
plans are about 60% higher for the 20 most commonly
prescribed drugs than prices paid by the U.S. Department of
Veteran Affairs (VA). The VA can use its purchasing power to
negotiate for lower drug prices, but under the 2003 Medicare
law, Medicare does not have the right to negotiate with drug
companies. Differences in price ranged from one-third higher
for clopidogrel (Plavix) to 10 times higher for simvastatin
(Zocor). For half of the 20 drugs, the highest price charged
by a Medicare Part D plan was at least twice the lowest VA
price. The report suggests that drug companies could
maintain the current level of funding for Research &
Development (R&D) if they shifted money from marketing,
advertising and administration (32% of net sales) to R&D
(14% of net sales).
Identifying serious adverse drug effects: Drug companies,
Investigators, Advisory Committees, and the FDA
November
22, 2006: Tomorrow's New England Journal of Medicine has two Perspective articles,
one Editorial and two letters expressing concern about adverse
safety data being hidden by pharmaceutical companies. They
focus on safety data for aprotinin (Trasylol) that was not
revealed by Bayer for an FDA Advisory Committee meeting, but
also discuss earlier issues with Vioxx and Merck. One of the
Perspective articles is by Dr. Jerry Avorn, a Harvard Professor,
who has an excellent summary of how carefully performed
observational (non-randomized) studies can provide important
signals of potential safety problems "but propensity scores
and other multivariable techniques applied to epidemiologic
research cannot always control for all the inevitable
selection bias, making the transparency of methods and raw
data even more important than in randomized trials". The
other material on this subject in the Journal is from Dr.
William Hiatt (the current chair of the FDA Cardiovascular
and Renal Drugs Advisory Committee), Dr. Jeffrey Drazen
(writing for the Journal), one of the aprotinin study
investigators, and the FDA. There seems to be plenty of
blame to spread around.
Poor people in wealthy neighborhoods have higher death rate
than poor people in poor neighborhoods
November
2, 2006: A population-based mortality study in over 8,000
adults who were followed up for a mean of 17 years showed
that low socioeconomic class people who live in high
socioeconomic class neighborhoods have about 70% greater
mortality than low socioeconomic class people who live in
low socioeconomic class neighborhoods. The baseline risk
factors that were measured were comparable in these two
groups. Possible explanations suggested by the authors
include: 1) less disposable income because of higher housing
costs, 2) working longer hours with less time for healthy
activities, 3) living farther from social services like free
community clinics, or 4) "low relative standing in their
communities" (the latter tying in with other data suggesting
that psychosocial factors may influence health behaviors or
neuroendocrine or immune functioning). Observational studies
cannot establish causality but may suggest the need for
further study.
NIH doctors criticize Eli Lilly's promotion of sepsis drug
October
19, 2006: Three NIH
critical care specialists have published a New England
Journal of Medicine "Perspective" that criticizes Eli
Lilly's attempts to promote use of its Xigris drug for the
treatment of sepsis. The authors comment that "bundled
performance measures" to improve health outcomes "is
vulnerable to manipulation for inappropriate — and possibly
harmful — ends. Seeing in these bundles a potentially
powerful vehicle for promoting their products,
pharmaceutical and medical-device companies have begun to
invest in influencing the adoption of guidelines that serve
their own financial goals." Xigris costs $8,000 for a
4-day course of treatment, and FDA approved Xigris only for
use in the sickest patients with sepsis. . The authors
comment: "The challenges involved in producing first-rate
guidelines and performance standards are only exacerbated by
the intrusion of marketing strategies masquerading as
evidence-based medicine."
Over 700,000 adverse drug events yearly require treatment in
US Emergency Rooms, with over 100,000 hospitalizations.
Elderly at higher risk.
October
18, 2006: The
frequency and severity of adverse drug events in outpatients
was assessed in a U.S. adverse drug event surveillance
project. It was estimated that there are over 700,000
adverse drug events yearly resulting in Emergency Room
treatment, with over 100,000 requiring hospitalization.
Those 65 years or older were over twice as likely to have
adverse drug events, and almost seven times as likely to be
hospitalized as a result. Adverse effects were most common
with drugs that have been used for many years. For example,
with insulin, patients would forget to take meals after
insulin dosing or would get confused about the correct
insulin dose. With warfarin (Coumadin), causes included
other medications, changes in diet,
or too few coagulation blood tests. With amoxicillin,
allergic reactions were a common cause.
Mortality in Medicare patients depends on the hospital
October
16, 2006: Health
Grades, Inc. reviewed risk-adjusted mortality using the
computerized MedPAR database in over 40 million Medicare
patient hospitalizations in over 5,000 non-federal US
hospitals. Each hospital was rated according to whether its
mortality rate was significantly better (5-star), not
significantly different (3-star) or significantly worse
(1-star) than the average hospital. Compared with the 5-star
hospitals, it was estimated that over 300,000 excess deaths
occurred from 2003-2005 in the 1-star or 3-star hospitals.
Mortality in the 5-star hospitals was 69% and 49% lower than
in the 1-star and 3-star hospitals respectively. Half of the
excess deaths were related to four diagnoses (heart failure,
community-acquired pneumonia, sepsis, respiratory failure).
For coronary bypass surgery, 5-star hospitals had a 73%
lower mortality rate than 1-star hospitals. For heart
attack, the mortality difference between 1-star and 5-star
hospitals was 48%.
IOM report recommends more funding/staffing/enforcement
tools for FDA and more emphasis on safety of marketed drugs
September
25, 2006: The Institute of Medicine (IOM) has issued "The
Future of Drug Safety", a report that makes 25
recommendations to bring the strengths of the FDA
preapproval process to monitoring of the safety of marketed
drugs. Recommendations include a large boost in FDA funding
& staffing, increased emphasis on post-marketing drug
safety, additional enforcement tools for FDA, more timely
and effective communication of safety concerns by industry
and FDA, mandatory clinical trials registration and results
reporting, reevaluation of new drugs 5 years after marketing
approval, special symbol on labels of new drugs for the
first 2 years of marketing, and advertising limits for new
drugs. The IOM report was commissioned in the wake of the
Vioxx/COX-2/NSAID safety controversy which also triggered
TMT's April 2005 Recommendations for:
1)
across-drug collaborative meta-trials, databases and
analyses; 2) new clinical trial design, analysis and
reporting standards; and 3) structured information
processing/reporting from FDA Advisory Committee meetings.
Prescribing errors for seniors almost 7 times as likely as
with younger patients
September 14, 2006:
A report from Medco found that seniors are almost 7 times as
likely as younger patients to be prescribed drugs wrongly
(drug incompatible with medicines already being taken, can
worsen another medical condition, or incorrect dosage). The
problem is worse in those with more doctors and more
prescribed drugs. Seniors treated by 2 doctors average 27
prescriptions/year with an average of 10 prescribing errors.
Seniors treated by 5 doctors average 42 prescriptions/year
with an average of 16 prescribing errors. Almost ¼ of
seniors receive prescriptions from 5 or more doctors. The
priority of the primary care physician “has to be a review
of the medicines”.
US divided into "Eight Americas" on basis of longevity
September 12, 2006: A Harvard study of life expectancy
divides the US into "Eight Americas" on the basis of race,
location, population density, income and homicide rate. The
longest-lived were Asian females and the shortest-lived were
urban black males. These disparities have not changed
significantly over the past two decades, and are related to
chronic diseases and injuries with well-established risk
factors, but not by the level of health-care utilization.
Longevity in descending order (males and females combined)
was: Asian Americans (85 years), Northland low-income rural
White (79), Middle America, mostly White (78),
Low-income White Appalachia & Mississippi Valley (75), Black
Middle America (73), Western American Indians (73), Southern
low-income rural Black (71), High-risk urban Black (71).
Difficulty understanding patient pamphlets and prescription
labels is common and associated with poor health
September 12, 2006: According to the "Health Literacy of
American Adults" report, many people find patient education
pamphlets and prescription labels difficult to understand.
One third could not perform tasks such as reading a chart to
find what age a child should get a vaccine, or reading a
prescription label to find substances that could interact
with their medicine. One in 7 could not understand a patient
pamphlet on who should be tested for a disease. Those with
higher health literacy levels consistently reported better
overall health. The authors commented "Understanding the
health literacy of America's adults is important because so
many aspects of finding health care and health information,
and maintaining health, depend on understanding written
information."
FDA Drug/Device Advisory Committees recommend approval in 8
of 10 cases and FDA usually follows the recommendation
August
30, 2006: FDA Advisory Committees recommend marketing
approval for drugs and medical devices about 80% of the
time. FDA follows a Committee recommendation for approval
96% of the time, but does so less frequently when the
Committee recommends against approval.
Media stories on medical reports at scientific meetings
misleading
June 14,
2006: 187 newspaper and TV/radio stories about research
reports from scientific meetings of medical societies were
reviewed. It was concluded that basic study facts and
cautions were often omitted and that the public may be
misled about the validity and relevance of the science
presented. A quarter of meeting presentations garnering
media attention (including those on page 1 of major
newspapers) are never published in the medical literature.
Clinical trial design in the post-Vioxx world
May 9,
2006: An
Editorial in the May 9 issue of Circulation
discusses “a better way” to evaluate “drug effects in the
post-Vioxx world”. It recommends that safety evaluation
should be enhanced by improved post-approval drug testing.
In addition, better pre-approval testing should include a)
progressive recruitment of patients more similar in
age, disease severity and safety risk factors to the
expected users of the drug, b) larger numbers of
short-duration patients, c) “avoiding blatant
risk-obscuring aspects of trial design”, d) “better
use of pharmacogenetics, biomarkers, and other basic science
approaches to provide earlier warnings about drug toxicities”,
and e) clinical trial designs specifically targeted to
evaluate potential emerging hazards (e.g., prothrombotic
effects of COX-2 inhibitors). It recommends avoiding blanket
“black box warnings” for whole classes of drugs when only
some such drugs have shown clear evidence of a safety
problem [TMT has concern about this recommendation, since
drug companies should not be penalized for good clinical
designs if their competitors are able to use bad designs to
avoid demonstrating a similar problem]. The Editorial
concludes “Fortunately, other solutions are possible that
are more scientifically rigorous, clinically appropriate,
and feasible. All that is lacking is the political will to
implement them.” An article in the same issue of
Circulation (Clinical
Trials in the Wake of Vioxx) rebuts recent suggestions
to “require statistically extreme (e.g., p<0.0001) evidence
of benefit” for early termination of pre-approval trials so as to increase the
number of patients available for safety testing. TMT has
previously suggested ways of improving pre-approval and
post-approval drug testing (Recommendations).
Clinical trials should improve the identification of
emerging safety hazards by measuring the appropriate safety
parameters at appropriate times, by safety-sensitive
statistical analysis (with appropriate p value adjustment
for testing of multiple parameters and for interim analyses), and by
progressive increase in clinical trial sample sizes and
progressive recruitment of more at-risk patients from the
expected user population as the drug proceeds through the
pre-approval/post-approval process.
JAMA article examines industry financial ties and voting
patterns at FDA Advisory Committee meetings
April
26, 2006: An article in JAMA examines the impact of
disclosed financial conflicts of interest on voting patterns
at FDA drug Advisory Committee meetings. It concludes that
conflicts of interest are common, that there is a “weak
relationship between certain types of conflicts and voting
behaviors” but that “excluding advisory committee
members and voting consultants with conflicts would not have
altered the overall vote outcome at any meeting studied”.
Despite these conclusions (which were based on an analysis
of data from 2001-2004), the article also states that at a “2005
advisory committee meeting to evaluate the risks of 3
cyclooxygenase 2 (COX-2) inhibitor drugs, 93% of votes cast
by individuals who had received consulting fees from 1 or
more of the drugs' makers favored the drugs, compared with
56% of votes by individuals without conflicts. Exclusion of
the members with conflicts would have resulted in
recommendations to remove 2 of the 3 drugs from the market”.
On March 2, 2005, TMT posted an analysis of COX-2 voting
patterns on its website (http://masterdocs.com/voting.htm)
and concluded 1) Both financial ties to industry and the
specialty of rheumatology were associated with more
favorable voting for marketing of COX-2 drugs. 2) An
analysis confined to non-rheumatologists still showed a
statistically significant relationship between financial
ties and more favorable voting. 3) The widely disseminated
figure (e.g., in the New York Times and a subsequent New
England Journal of Medicine article) of ten voting members
with industry ties is inaccurate. The correct figure is
eight. This corrected figure was provided to the New York
Times which declined to print a correction. 4)
Rheumatologists (many of whom might be COX-2 investigators
with appropriate financial links to Sponsors) were more in
favor of keeping COX-2 drugs available for treating their
patients with chronic pain. 5) In the first Bextra vote, the
Committee did not support Bextra marketing. For reasons that
are unclear, this vote was retaken and resulted in support
for marketing. 6) “It should be noted that these findings
do not imply any improprieties on the part of the industry
sponsors, the Committee members or the FDA. However, the
findings do show that different groupings of Committee
members show differences in voting responses:
Rheumatologists who have the daily task of managing patients
with chronic pain tended to feel that all the drugs should
remain available with appropriate restrictions on their use
and with emphasis on selection of the best drug for an
individual patient. Epidemiologists and statisticians tended
to focus more on identifying differences in population risks
between individual drugs. Members reported as having ties to
industry tended to be more in favor of allowing marketing of
the COX-2 drugs -- although unconscious bias cannot be
excluded as a reason for this finding, the finding could
also be based on sound analysis and detailed knowledge of
individual drugs.” The JAMA article conclusions on this
observational study are based on a univariate analysis
(analysis using a single random variable and ignoring
possible confounding factors) of the
financial-conflict/voting relationship (whereas multivariate
analysis is the standard approach for observational
studies). The authors justify their univariate analysis by
saying “We were unable to control for the many other
potential confounding factors that could have an impact on
an advisory committee's vote (secular trends in drug
approval rates, forcefulness of the advisory committee
chair, press coverage, and the like)”. However, TMT’s
analysis of the impact of medical specialty on voting
patterns was posted in March 2005 using publicly available
information that could have been incorporated in the JAMA
authors’ analysis.
Only 55% of Americans receive quality health care. Use
of electronic medical records could improve population-wide
quality of care
March 16, 2006: In a survey of almost
7,000 patients in 12 US communities, only 55% received
recommended care (based on 439 indicators of quality of care
for 30 medical conditions and for disease prevention).
Quality of care was fairly similar across sociodemographic
groups, being slightly better in women (57% with quality
care vs. 52%; P<0.001), in those 30 years or younger versus
those 65 or older ( 58% vs. 52%, P<0.001), in Blacks and
Hispanics (58% each) versus Whites (54%, P<0.001 for both
comparisons), and with annual household income over $50,000
versus less than $15,000 (57% vs. 53%, P<0.001). Some more
detailed subgroup comparisons showed greater inequality -
e.g., insured white women (57%) versus uninsured black men
(51%). The authors comment that “Quality-improvement
programs that focus solely on reducing disparities among
sociodemographic subgroups may miss larger opportunities to
improve care.” Minorities fared worse in some areas of
expensive care and suffer more from some conditions than
whites, but once in treatment, their overall care was
similar to that of Whites. However, since minorities go
without treatment more often than whites, such people were
not included in the survey, so that identifying and treating
disease in minorities might reduce racial inequality in
health care more than just focusing on inequality after
treatment is begun. The authors comment that "To make
substantial improvements in the quality of health care
available to all patients, we must focus on large-scale,
system-wide changes. Our previous study of the quality of
care delivered in the Veterans Affairs health system
illustrates some of the potential for improvement. In that
system, with one of the country's most mature electronic
medical-record systems, decision-support tools at the point
of care, automated order entry, routine measurement of and
reporting on quality, and financial incentives for
performance, we found that participants received 67 percent
of recommended care, a considerably better rate than the 55
percent observed in the current study."
AMA & Congress agree on performance standards for healthcare
February 21, 2006: The American Medical
Association has agreed with Congress to develop more than
100 standard measures of healthcare performance, which
doctors will report to the federal government in an effort
to improve the quality of care. The performance
measures will focus on diagnostic tests and treatments that
are known to produce better outcomes for patients — longer
lives, improved quality of life and fewer complications.
Examples include: the proportion of diabetic patients with
blood sugar and cholesterol at the recommended levels; the
percentage of surgical patients who receive medications to
prevent blood clots; the proportion of patients with
pneumonia who receive antibiotics within a few hours of
diagnosis; and the percentage of heart attack patients who
receive beta-blockers when they arrive at a hospital.
9. MISCELLANEOUS
Nasal spray better than flu shots for small children
February
15, 2007: Small children (6-59 months old) given live
attenuated flu vaccine by nasal spray had 55% fewer cases of
culture-confirmed influenza than those given a flu shot with
inactivated vaccine given by intramuscular injection.
In preliminary study, Down's Syndrome was identified by
fetal DNA test on maternal blood
February
5, 2007: The chromosomal abnormality trisomy 21, the cause
of Down's syndrome, can be identified from free fetal DNA in
maternal blood, according to a preliminary study in The
Lancet. Maternal and fetal DNA were distinguished by
measuring the ratio of alleles at the site of single
nucleotide polymorphisms on different chromosomes. In 60
samples, two of three Down's fetuses were correctly
identified by the test; in the 57 fetuses without Down's
syndrome the test correctly gave a negative result in 56 of
57 cases. This gave the test a sensitivity of 66.7% and a
specificity of 98·2%.
Evidence-based procedures reduce catheter-related blood
stream infections in ICUs
December
28, 2006: In a study in over 100 Michigan ICUs, bloodstream
infections were reduced by two-thirds by implementing
evidence-based procedures (hand washing, using full-barrier
precautions during the insertion of central venous
catheters, cleaning the skin with chlorhexidine, avoiding
the femoral site if possible, and removing unnecessary
catheters). An accompanying NEJM
Editorial comments “There is much to criticize about
U.S. health care, including its fragmentation, high costs,
impersonal delivery, and adverse events. In contrast, a
focus on quality could be a unifying concept, part of a new,
team-based professionalism using evidence-based systems and
caring behavior that consistently lead to safety and comfort
for patients.” TMT Comment: There is overwhelming
evidence that evidence-based medicine improves healthcare
and saves lives. Patients and doctors should realize that
evidence-based medicine does not eliminate personalized care
-- it just means that evidence-based standards should be
used unless there is a convincing reason not to do so in an
individual patient.
Medication blister packs and education
improve medication compliance in the elderly by 36%, with
lower BP and cholesterol
November
15, 2006: Adherence to medication in elderly on multiple
medications is increased by dispensing medication in blister
packs stating when to take each dose, medication education
and follow-up by a pharmacist. Inn 200 patients 65 years or
older taking at least four chronic medications, medication
adherence increased from 61% to 97% (p<.001), blood pressure
fell 3.3 mmHg (p=.02) and “bad” LDL cholesterol fell 4.9
mg/dL (p=.001).
Warts and all – trial of the tape
November
7, 2006: A 6-week clinical trial in the treatment of warts
in 103 primary school children compared duct tape (reported
to be effective in a previous controlled trial) to a control
treatment (a corn pad protective ring). The primary outcome
measure was disappearance of the wart after 6 weeks and this
was achieved in 16% of the duct tape children and 6% of the
control children, a non-significant difference (p=.12).
Effect on a secondary measure, diameter reduction of the
treated wart, was significantly greater in the duct tape
group (mean 1.0 mm; P = .02). Based on the overall response
rates in this and prior studies, the subjects in this study
might have had more resistant warts and the study may have
been underpowered.
Pneumococcal vaccine appears effective with each of various
vaccination schedules
October
30, 2006: The effectiveness of seven-valent pneumococcal
conjugate vaccine was evaluated in an observational study
comparing 782 cases of invasive pneumococcal infection to
2512 matched controls. The authors concluded “The
seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine prevents
invasive disease in both healthy and chronically ill
children. The vaccine is effective when used with various
non-standard schedules.” Although these findings are
encouraging, the observational nature of this study raises
the possibility that the cases and controls may not have
been at comparable risk (see review immediately below).
Observational studies cannot establish causality but can
suggest the need for further study.
Are flu shots as effective as claimed?
October
27, 2006: A thoughtful review article considers the evidence
for vaccination against seasonal influenza (flu). Only a
small number of randomized, placebo-controlled trials have
tested the value of an annual flu shot, only some showed
efficacy against confirmed flu, and only in some groups of
patients. There is little evidence of efficacy from
randomized studies using other endpoints such as
hospitalization or mortality. Observational (non-randomized)
study reports claim much stronger evidence of the value of
flu shots. However, apparent effects in observational
studies may just represent differences in underlying risk
between the treatment groups, and such differences may not
be adequately accounted for by statistical adjustment for
baseline factors. The author comments that “policy makers
favour intervention with what is available” because "we have
to make decisions and cannot wait to have perfect data".
However, he believes that “placebo controlled randomised
trials …. are desperately needed and we should invest in
them without delay”. These trials would seem particularly
appropriate for patient populations in which little evidence
of efficacy has been shown.
CDC recommends routine Zostavax shingles vaccine for those
60 and over
October
19, 2006: An expert CDC committee has recommended that a
recently approved vaccine against shingles (Zostavax) should
be routinely given to almost all people 60 years or above.
In a controlled trial in almost 40,000 subjects followed up
for a median of 3 years, 642 of 19,247 placebo subjects
(3.3%) developed shingles compared with only 315 of 19,254
vaccinated subjects (1.6%). Subjects who were immune
compromised, on steroid therapy, or had previous shingles
were excluded from the study.
Noise-cancelling headphones might prevent hearing loss in
noisy subway
October
19, 2006: In a survey of noise levels in New York City,
average noise levels were measured on subway platforms
(average 86, maximum 106 dBA - decibel-A weighting), inside
subway cars (maximum 112 dBA) and at bus stops (maximum 89
dBA) in New York City. The maximum levels exceed recommended
WHO and EPA guidelines. Listening to a portable music player
can increase the noise level because the volume level has to
be increased over the background noise - but use of
noise-cancelling microphones could cancel out the external
sound and protect against hearing loss.
Industry-sponsored meta-analyses are of poorer quality and
conclusions are more favorable to the experimental drug
October
9, 2006: Meta-analysis is the statistical process of
combining results from previous separate but related
clinical studies. In a report from the University of
Copenhagen, the quality and conclusions of meta-analyses
comparing two drugs were evaluated for 8 industry-supported
meta-analyses and 191 meta-analyses without known industry
support (175 Cochrane reviews, 9 with undeclared support,
and 7 with no support or non-industry support). Quality
assessment was based on such factors as control for bias
(e.g., by describing excluded patients or studies, or by
concealing allocation to treatment). The median quality
score was 7 for the Cochrane reviews and 3 for non-Cochrane
reviews. The seven industry-supported reviews with
conclusions recommended the experimental drug without
reservations, compared with none of the Cochrane reviews
(P=0.02), although the estimated treatment effect was
similar on average (z=0.46, P=0.64). Reviews with undeclared
support and reviews with not-for-profit support or no
support had conclusions that were similar in cautiousness to
the Cochrane reviews. The authors conclude: "Industry
supported reviews of drugs should be read with caution as
they were less transparent, had few reservations about
methodological limitations of the included trials, and had
more favourable conclusions than the corresponding Cochrane
reviews."
Get your 'flu shot - it could save your life
October 6, 2006: Many
high risk people don't get an annual 'flu shot. About
one-third of elderly people don’t get a flu shot. A 'flu
shot in high risk people (e.g., those with heart disease)
can save lives. To see if you are in a high risk group,
answer the TMT
'flu questionnaire.
Could stem cells be harvested from embryos without damaging
the developing embryo?
August 23, 2006: A
fertilized egg divides into a group of cells called the
blastomere. A paper in Nature describes the removal of a
single cell from the blastomere and used to create a stem
cell line, while the rest of the blastomere continues to
develop, apparently without harm. The method is based on
pre-implantation genetic diagnosis (PGD), which uses single
cells taken from an 8- to 10-cell embryo to check for
diseases. Minus the single cell, the embryos continue
dividing normally and can be implanted into a mother's womb.
About 1,500 babies have been born this way nationwide. The authors from Advanced
Cell Technology conclude "The ability to create new stem
cell lines and therapies without destroying embryos would
address the ethical concerns of many, and allow the
generation of matched tissue for children and siblings born
from transferred PGD embryos." The ethical implications of
this research were quickly questioned by the United States
Conference of Catholic Bishops, and a spokesman said that
the study "raises more ethical questions than it answers,"
citing concern about the long-term health of children born
through fertility treatments.
ReNu with MoistureLoc 13x as likely to cause fungus
infection in contact eye wearers
August 23, 2006: A
report in JAMA indicates that in the recent outbreak of
fungal eye infections in contact lens wearers, infection was
over 13 times as likely in users of “ReNu with MoistureLoc”
contact lens solution. “Topping off” lens care solutions
instead of replacing them somewhat raised the risk of fungal
infection, but in other respects, there was no difference
between the practices of contact lens wearers who were
infected and those who remained healthy.
Faster aging in poor people may be related to shortened
telomeres
July 21, 2006:
Telomeres lie at the end of chromosomes and progressively
become shorter every time a cell such as a white blood cell
(WBC) divides. Many aging-related diseases are linked to
shortened telomeres and telomere attrition can be used as a
biological indicator of human aging. In this study of WBC
telomere length in 1552 female twins, a multivariate
analysis showed that telomere length was significantly
shorter in women of low socio-economic status, a group known
to have shortened life expectancy compared with women of
higher socio-economic status.
Medication errors injure 1.5 million in US/year. Patients
can protect themselves. Electronic prescribing can help.
July 21, 2006:
Medication errors are common, harm at least 1.5 million
people in the US every year, and cost at least $3.5 billion
a year (not taking into account lost wages and
productivity or additional health care costs). Medication
mistakes happen, on average, once a day to every hospital
patient. An IOM report suggests: 1) steps to increase
between health care professionals and patients, 2) steps
patients should take to protect themselves, 3) creation of
new, consumer-friendly information resources through which
patients can obtain objective, easy-to-understand drug
information, 4) write all prescriptions electronically by
2010, 5) improve the naming, labeling, and packaging of
drugs.
FDA approves once-a-day 3-drug combination tablet for HIV
treatment
July 14, 2006: FDA has announced a "landmark achievement of
three cooperating companies" - the approval of Atripla
Tablets, a fixed-dose combination of three widely-used
antiretroviral drugs, in a single tablet taken once a day,
alone or in combination with other antiretroviral products
for the treatment of HIV-1 infection in adults. Atripla
combines the active ingredients of Sustiva (efavirenz),
Emtriva (emtricitabine) and Viread (tenofovir disoproxil
fumarate). Atripla was approved in under three months under
FDA's fast track program and the drug should be available
for purchase by July 15. There are more than a million
people living with HIV (the virus that causes AIDS) in the
United States, and 40,000 new cases are reported each year.
Gene effects markedly different between males and females
July 8, 2006: Although the "genome" (the hereditary
information in DNA) is very similar between males and
females of mammalian species, a new study in mice shows that
"gene expression" (the way the genome is converted into the
structures and functions of the body) is very different
between males and females. It appears probable that similar
gender differences occur in humans. Note that one of the
components of TMT's 10,000-subject
chronic pain study in people is evaluating gender
differences in the physical locations of pain and associated
symptoms. This study is currently
recruiting
subjects.
Review - Can Clinical Trial Endpoints be Changed after a
study is begun?
May
27, 2006: Dr. Scott Evans of the Harvard School of Public
Health, has provided us with a
Review of the issue of changing clinical trial endpoints
after a trial has begun, an issue posted for discussion in
our Miscellaneous section on March 26, 2006. Please send any
comments to
info@masterdocs.com and we will forward them to Dr.
Evans.
Cardiovascular clinical trials report more positive results
if they are industry-funded
May 17, 2006:
A JAMA observational study has concluded that "Recent
cardiovascular trials funded by for-profit organizations are
more likely to report positive findings than trials funded
by not-for-profit organizations, as are trials using
surrogate rather than clinical end points. Trials jointly
funded by not-for-profit and for-profit organizations appear
to report positive findings at a rate approximately midway
between rates observed in trials supported solely by one or
the other of these entities." The authors also conclude
"..our observations of differential rates of positive trial
reporting on the basis of end-point selection strongly
reinforces the need for physician decision-making and Food
and Drug Administration approval to remain on the basis of
clinical rather than surrogate end points." However, no
multivariate analysis was performed to adjust for
confounding variables, and trials funded by device or drug
manufacturers had larger sample sizes, were more likely to
use clinical events rather than surrogate endpoints, and
were more likely to be multicenter studies. The fact that
results were more positive if the trial was funded by the
drug/device manufacturer could represent what the authors
describe as "author interpretation bias", "limits on
publication" or "suspicion of adverse cardiovascular event
suppression". However, other interpretations such as more
adequate sample size estimation by the commercial sponsors,
more adequate funding, or better trial design by those most
knowledgeable about the effects of a drug or device are
other possible explanations. Device trials were more likely
to show positive results than drug trials, possibly because
blinding is more difficult for device trials. The fact that
surrogate endpoints were more likely to show positive
results could merely reflect the fact that sample size
calculations are simpler and enrollment of the required
numbers of patients is easier with surrogate endpoints; for
example, it is much easier to show a difference in lipid
lowering than in the risk of cardiovascular clinical events.
In view of the work of
Chan et al it would be helpful to examine whether
ambiguous protocol definitions of primary and secondary
endpoints, or changes in endpoints after the study had
begun, were more likely in trials that reported more
positive results. Observational studies cannot establish
causal relationships, but can suggest the need for further
evaluation.
21% of office-based prescriptions are off-label, usually
without scientific support. Could compromise patient safety
and waste medications.
May 16, 2006:
Office-based prescribing patterns by diagnosis were examined
for 160 commonly prescribed drugs. Off-label prescriptions
accounted for 21% of overall use. There was little or no
scientific support for the off-label use in 73% of cases.
Off-label use was commonest with cardiac medications and
anticonvulsants, with gabapentin (83%) and amitriptyline
(81%) having the greatest proportion of off-label use among
specific medications. The authors conclude "Efforts should
be made to scrutinize underevaluated off-label prescribing
that compromises patient safety or represents wasteful
medication use".
Fusarium eye infections cause worldwide withdrawal of
MoistureLoc. Topping up storage case or leaving bottle cap
open could increase risk.
May 16, 2006:
Bausch & Lomb has recalled its ReNu with MoistureLoc contact
lens cleaner worldwide. According to the FDA website,
“Bausch & Lomb has proposed that unique characteristics of
the formulation of the ReNu with MoistureLoc product in
certain unusual circumstances can increase the risk of
Fusarium infection…. data available do not indicate a
problem with ReNu MultiPlus or ReNu Multi-Purpose or generic
brands of this contact lens cleaning solution. According to
the
New York Times, “Bausch & Lomb said it now appeared that
common, if frowned-upon, lens care practices — like topping
off solution in the storage case instead of replacing it —
could leave a film on lenses that shielded Fusarium from the
sterilizing agent in MoistureLoc… Bausch concluded that
MoistureLoc's formulation probably raised the risks of eye
infections from the Fusarium fungus, if users do not
carefully follow the label's directions for replacing or
refilling the solution. Some MoistureLoc bottle tips can
also harbor Fusarium if the caps are not regularly
closed...”.
FDA approves varenicline (Chantix) for smoking cessation
May 11, 2006: In a
May 12 News Release, the FDA has announced that it has
approved varenicline tartrate (Chantix) tablets to help
cigarette smokers stop smoking. The active ingredient in
Chantix, varenicline tartrate, is a new molecular entity
that acts at sites in the brain affected by nicotine and may
help those who wish to give up smoking in two ways: by
providing some nicotine effects to ease the withdrawal
symptoms and by blocking the effects of nicotine from
cigarettes if they resume smoking. "Tobacco use,
particularly cigarette smoking, is the single most
preventable cause of death in the United States and is
responsible for a growing list of cancers as well as chronic
diseases including those of the lung and heart," said an FDA
spokesman. According to the Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention (CDC), an estimated 44.5 million adults in the
United States smoke cigarettes and more than 8.6 million of
them have at least one serious illness caused by smoking.
The approved course of Chantix treatment is 12 weeks.
Patients who successfully quit smoking during Chantix
treatment may continue with an additional 12 weeks of
Chantix treatment to further increase the likelihood of
long-term smoking cessation. In clinical trials, the most
common adverse effects of Chantix were nausea, headache,
vomiting, flatulence (gas), insomnia, abnormal dreams, and
dysgeusia (change in taste perception). Chantix is
manufactured and distributed by Pfizer, Inc., New York, NY.
Update on fungus infections of eye in soft contact lens
wearers
May 5, 2006:
Both the FDA and CDC have issued a May 5 update on cases of
Fusarium keratitis occurring in soft contact lens wearers.
Bausch & Lomb’s ReNu with MoistureLoc has been associated
with an increased incidence of the disease but it is too
early to say that it is a causal factor in these cases. The
FDA release says “We continue to confirm reported cases
associated with products other than ReNu with MoistureLoc.
Our interest in the MoistureLoc product is based on the
disproportionate number of case of Fusarium keratitis
associated with ReNu with Moisture Loc compared to the
overall product market share. The trends of reported cases
involving various contact lens solutions other than
MoistureLoc have remained consistent throughout our
investigation.” FDA also says: “…consult your doctor
immediately if you experience symptoms such as redness,
pain, tearing, increased light sensitivity, blurry vision,
discharge or swelling.” The
CDC press release says 1) “As of May 5, 2006, CDC has
received reports of 102 confirmed cases, 12 possible cases
and 81 cases still under investigation from 31 U.S. states
and territories”, 2) of the 58 cases for which CDC has
complete data “56 wear contact lenses, 32 reported using any
B&L ReNu with MoistureLoc, 15 reported using any B&L ReNu
MultiPlus, 7 reported using any unspecified B&L ReNu, 3
reported using any AMO product, 3 reported using any Alcon
product.”, 3) “At this point, it is too early in the
investigation to say whether a particular product or
solution may be responsible for the outbreak. Throughout the
investigation, the proportion of patients who reported using
Bausch & Lomb’s ReNu with MoistureLoc has remained
relatively consistent, at around 50-60 percent of confirmed
cases. ReNu with MoistureLoc was used by approximately 2.3
million contact lens wearers in the United States, while
MultiPlus was used by nearly 11 million contact lens wearers
(branded or private label).”, 4) “The risk of getting fungal
keratitis from contact lenses remains extremely low.” David
M. Geiser, director of the Fusarium Research Center at
Pennsylvania State University, has said that two of the
Fusarium strains involved are commonly found in sinks and
drains.
Despite less healthcare expenditure, the English are
healthier than Americans
May 3, 2006:
Evaluation of biological disease markers and self-reported
disease prevalence rates for non-Hispanic whites aged 55 to
64 years in the US and England showed that, despite higher
expenditures on health, persons in the United States
reported more disease and had more adverse biological
disease markers than persons in England at all levels of
education and income.
Planning for pregnancy - CDC recommendations
April 24, 2006: The CDC (the US
Government's Centers for Disease Control) has issued 10
recommendations to improve the health of women of
reproductive age before they become pregnant. Goals include
educating the public in optimum reproductive behavior,
providing preconception care services, active intervention
if there was a previous adverse pregnancy outcome, and
reducing disparities in pregnancy outcomes. The 10
recommendations are: 1) Encourage men and women to have a
reproductive life plan. 2) Increase public awareness about
preconception health. 3) Provide risk assessment and
counseling during primary-care visits. 4) Increase the
number of women who receive interventions after risk
screening. 5) Use the time between pregnancies to provide
intensive interventions to women who have had a pregnancy
that resulted in infant death, low birth weight, or
premature birth. 6) Offer one pre-pregnancy visit. 7)
Increase health insurance coverage among low-income women.
8) Integrate preconception health objectives into public
health programs. 9) Augment research. 10) Maximize public
health surveillance. Preconception/Pregnancy risks include
use of isotretinoins (e.g., Accutane), alcohol misuse,
anti-epileptic drugs, diabetes, folic acid deficiency,
hepatitis B, HIV/AIDS, hypothyroidism, maternal
phenylketonuria (PKU), rubella seronegativity (indicating
need for rubella vaccination), obesity, the oral
anticoagulant Coumadin (warfarin), STD (e.g., chlamydia and
gonorrhea), smoking, oral health.
The Challenge of Subgroup Analyses - Reporting without
Distorting
April 20, 2006: Three of the commonest
errors in clinical studies
are: 1) not prespecifying the primary endpoint, 2) assignment of causal relationships from
observational studies, and 3) inappropriate analyses of
subgroups from clinical trials. The latter problem is
elegantly discussed in this week's New England Journal of
Medicine by Stephen Lagakos who explains that subgroup
analyses are commonly overinterpreted and that this may lead
to further research that is misguided, and to
suboptimal patient care. Appropriate subgroup analysis
methodology has been available for many years, but is
frequently ignored in publications even in the top medical
journals. "Authors and medical journals have a
responsibility to ensure that the reporting of subgroup
analyses is transparent. Ignorance of the total number of
subgroup analyses, which ones were prespecified and which
were post hoc, and whether any were suggested by the data
makes it very difficult to interpret the reported results.
When an interaction test for a baseline variable fails to
reach the appropriate threshold for significance,
conclusions about a differential treatment benefit related
to this variable should be avoided or presented with
caution.... Overstating the results of subgroup analyses can
misinform future research and lead to suboptimal clinical
practice. Yet avoiding any presentation of subgroup analyses
because of their history of being overinterpreted is a steep
price to pay for a problem that can be remedied by more
responsible analysis and reporting."
Compression stockings during air travel reduce leg
thrombosis, leg discomfort and swelling
April 20, 2006: Those who wear
compression stockings (sometimes called 'flight socks')
during air travel reduce by 90% the risk of DVT (blood clots
in the legs). The stockings are worn throughout the flight
and are similar to those known to be effective in patients
lying in bed after an operation. People who wore stockings
also had much less discomfort and swelling in their legs
(edema) than those who did not wear them. These conclusions
were based on a meta-analysis of nine trials, which studied
over 2800 people about half of whom were randomly assigned
to wearing stockings for a flight lasting at least seven
hours while the other half did not.
Prevent Jet Lag using British Airways Jet Lag Advisor
April 11, 2006: A 1,000 air
passenger study by the Edinburgh Sleep Center in Scotland
found that for every hour difference when you travel
westwards it takes a day to recover from the effects of
jet-lag (if you don't take steps to prevent jet lag). Flying
eastwards results in much less jet lag. If you alter your
light patterns, you can tweak your body-clock to adjust to
new time zones more easily. One of the simplest methods is
just to wear sunglasses at certain times, usually in the
aircraft and for the first 2 hours after landing. The
Jet Lag Advisor tells
you when to wear them and when to be exposed to light.
Eating and sleeping at the times appropriate to your new
destination can also help. People flying a long distance for
a business meeting should make sure it does not take place
when they are at their lowest ebb - normally three hours
before their normal waking up time.
Bird flu vaccine may protect 55-60% of those people
vaccinated
March 30, 2006: A study of a bird
flu (H5N1 virus) in 451 healthy adults showed that about
55-60% people would be protected, as assessed by
measurements of immune response (neutralization antibody
titers & hemagglutination-inhibition titers). The vaccine
appeared safe and fairly well tolerated. The authors of the
paper suggested that H5N1 "prepriming", perhaps by including
an H5 component in the annual vaccine, could increase
the degree of protection from later doses of the vaccine.
FDA approves flu drug that protects against seasonal flu and
bird flu
March 30, 2006: FDA has approved
zanamivir (Relenza) for the treatment and prevention of
influenza (flu) in adults and children aged 5 and older.
Administration is by inhaler, and it is not recommended for
patients with lung disorders such as asthma or chronic
obstructive pulmonary disease. It appears active against the
normal seasonal influenza viruses as well as against the
current strain of H5N1 bird flu virus.
Can clinical trial endpoints be added after the clinical
trial begins?
March 24, 2006: The PROactive
Study Executive and Data & Safety Monitoring Committees have
published a letter (to appear in the March 25, 2006 issue of
The Lancet) that takes the position that “Although
relatively uncommon, it is legitimate for the endpoints of a
study to be amended as the study progresses, providing it is
agreed and documented before any knowledge of unblinded data
by the trialists. This situation is more likely when the
study is of long duration and results of contemporary
studies become available.” TMT's initial thinking is to
disagree with the views of these distinguished Committees
and Committee members. However, the arguments are fairly
subtle and the views of our readers would be welcome (email
comments to
info@masterdocs.com).
There are two main questions:
Question 1: Can examination of
blinded data before endpoint selection cause bias?
- Let’s assume that the Data Safety
Monitoring Board (DSMB) is keeping track of a large
number of safety parameters for an ongoing study of a
drug versus placebo.
- Assume that patients enter the
study with normal liver function tests and that 20 of
these parameters define various measures of liver
function that are considered to represent possible liver
toxicity – say: elevation of SGOT above 100; doubling of
SGOT; some specified change in SGPT, alkaline
phosphatase or bilirubin; elevation of both SGOT and
SGPT; elevation of SGOT, SGPT and alkaline phosphatase;
etc..
- Assume that the DSMB analyses the
blinded data and selects from the 20 liver parameters, a
single parameter on the basis that it shows an
unexpectedly large number of events in the blinded data
(and thus the event rate is likely to show a significant
difference between groups if a true difference exists).
- Assume that the DSMB now includes
that liver parameter as a “prespecified” endpoint of
liver toxicity for the ongoing study.
- The DSMB has now selected the
single parameter that is most likely to show a
difference between the drug and placebo treatment groups
from the 20 available parameters. However, the
requirements for rejecting the null hypothesis for a
single parameter are much less demanding than for
rejecting the null hypothesis for one of 20 parameters.
Traditionally, this problem of multiple testing is
handled statistically using techniques such as
Bonferroni bounds that scale the smallest p-value
(representing the strongest evidence against the null
hypothesis) by the number of tests under consideration
(which in this case should be 20) so as to obtain an
upper bound on the probability that the most extreme
result does not reject the null.
- When the study is published, a
significantly lower adverse liver event rate with the
drug versus placebo is likely to be discarded as a
statistical fluke, whereas a finding of a “significant”
p value (without Bonferroni’s correction) is likely to
be accepted by readers who will view the apparent
increased adverse liver event rate with concern,
particularly if it is reported as being a prespecified
endpoint rather than the result of an exploratory
post-hoc analysis.
Question 2: Can examination of data
from other studies before endpoint selection cause
bias?
- This is a slightly more subtle
situation but, in TMT’s view, similar considerations
apply.
- One can imagine a situation in
which, following the report of a new finding in some
outside publication, the DSMB examines the blinded
database to evaluate whether enough events are occurring
to provide a reasonable chance of the ongoing trial
duplicating the outside finding. If so, they insert a
test of this finding as a “prespecified” endpoint. If
not, they don’t.
This situation is one of “cherry
picking” the parameters to be statistically tested after
data giving information about the probability of a
significant finding have been examined. You can’t have your
cake and eat it too – there is a statistical price to pay
for examining a large number of parameters, and you can’t
try to avoid paying that price by just ignoring the ones
that don’t look significant. It is TMT’s view that
prespecified endpoints should be specified (and specified
unambiguously) before any data (blinded or unblinded) are
examined, and ideally before data collection begins. The views of our readers would be
welcome (send email comments to
info@masterdocs.com).
Bird flu virus stays deep in the lungs, preventing human
transmission by coughing or sneezing
March 23, 2006: The current bird
flu H5N1 virus affects cells deep in the lungs and this
makes human-to-human transmission difficult. In contrast,
the normal seasonal human flu virus affects cells in the
upper respiratory tract making it easy to transmit the virus
by coughing and sneezing. Experts differ as to the
likelihood of the bird flu mutating sufficiently to cause a
human pandemic.
Two separate H5N1 bird flu strains have evolved, but not yet
a strain allowing human-to-human transmission
March 20, 2006: Two genetically
distinct strains of the H5N1 bird flu virus have emerged and
this could complicate the development of a vaccine to
prevent a human flu pandemic. However, the bird flu virus
has not yet mutated to a form that facilitates
human-to-human transmission (which would be required before
a human flu pandemic could occur). U.S. Interior Secretary
Gale Norton said that it was “increasingly likely” that bird
flu would be detected in the U.S. as early as this year, but
that this would not signal the start of a human pandemic.
Misdiagnosis occurs in 20% of fatal illnesses
February 23, 2006: Autopsy studies
have shown that 20% of patients with fatal illnesses are
misdiagnosed. An article in the Journal of the American
Medical Association suggests that this may be partly because
doctors are paid according to the tests and treatment they
give, rather than according to the accuracy of the
diagnosis. Two approaches have been suggested to improve the
situation. In one approach Medicare and some insurance
companies are experimenting with pay-for-performance
programs. A second approach harnesses the power of computers
to increase diagnostic accuracy.
Isabel Healthcare
provides an award-winning diagnostic program but is
expensive ($80,000 a year for a typical hospital and $750
for an individual doctor). Free questionnaires are also
available on the Internet (Masterdocs.com)
and generate a detailed report for review by the doctor.
Lack of flu shots in healthcare workers increases patient
risk
February 21, 2006: Although
workers involved in healthcare are advised to get a flu shot
each year, less than 40% do so. In a Scottish nursing home
study, raising the immunization rate among health care
workers to about 50 percent from 5 percent was associated
with a drop of about 40 percent in deaths among patients.
Poverty associated with poor health and increased death
rates
February 21, 2006: A new 30,000
patient study reported in JAMA adds to evidence from
previous studies that poverty is associated with poor health
and increased mortality. Each patient had a treadmill
exercise test and was allocated to a socioeconomic group
based on home address. Patients in lower socioeconomic
groups had poorer treadmill performance even after
controlling for age, race, smoking and weight. During an
average follow-up of 6 1/2 years, patients in the lowest
quarter of socioeconomic status score had twice the death
rate of those in the highest quarter, even though the two
groups did not differ in age, sex, race or current smoking
habits.
Partners of Hospitalized Spouses at Greater Risk for Early
Death
February 16, 2006: A study
in the New England Journal of Medicine reported that, for
older couples, if one of the partners is hospitalized
for a debilitating illness, the non-hospitalized partner is
at increased risk for death. The risk in the first 30
days was almost as much as is associated with the death of a
spouse, although for the 9 years follow-up in this study the
risk increase was smaller (22% for men and 16% for women
compared with those whose spouse died) . In both cases,
family support and social support services are advisable.
Age averaged 75 for men and 73 for women. Risk appeared
greatest when hospitalization was because of a debilitating
illness such as dementia, a psychiatric disease, or hip
fracture.
Development and Validation of a Prognostic Index for 4-Year
Mortality in Older Adults
February 15, 2006: JAMA.
2006;295:801-808. Using the 1998 wave of the Health and
Retirement Study (HRS), a population-based study of
community-dwelling US adults older than 50 years, a
prognostic index was developed from 11 ,701 individuals and
validated with 8,009. Individuals were asked about their
demographic characteristics, whether they had specific
diseases, and whether they had difficulty with a series of
functional measures. The overall response rate was 81%.
During the 4-year follow-up, there were 1361 deaths (12%) in
the development cohort and 1072 deaths (13%) in the
validation cohort. Twelve independent predictors of
mortality were identified: 2 demographic variables (age:
60-64 years, 1 point; 65-69 years, 2 points; 70-74 years, 3
points; 75-79 years, 4 points; 80-84 years, 5 points, >85
years, 7 points and male sex, 2 points), 6 comorbid
conditions (diabetes, 1 point; cancer, 2 points; lung
disease, 2 points; heart failure, 2 points; current tobacco
use, 2 points; and body mass index less than 25, 1 point),
and difficulty with 4 functional variables (bathing, 2
points; walking several blocks, 2 points; managing money, 2
points, and pushing large objects, 1 point. Scores on the
risk index were strongly associated with 4-year mortality in
the validation cohort, with 0 to 5 points predicting a less
than 4% risk, 6 to 9 points predicting a 15% risk, 10 to 13
points predicting a 42% risk, and 14 or more points
predicting a 64% risk. The risk index showed excellent
discrimination with a c-statistic of 0.84 in the development
cohort and 0.82 in the validation cohort. The authors
conclude: "This prognostic index, incorporating age, sex,
self-reported comorbid conditions, and functional measures,
accurately stratifies community-dwelling older adults into
groups at varying risk of mortality".
6-Months Breast Feeding may Reduce Respiratory Infections
February 8, 2006: Breastfeeding
for a full six months (the American Academy of Pediatrics'
current recommendation) may protect infants from
respiratory illness during the first two years of life.
Babies breastfed for only four to less than six months were
more than four times as likely to develop pneumonia and
during their first two years and nearly twice as likely to
have otitis media (middle ear infection). Although the
analysis adjusted for known risk factors such as age and
exposure to cigarette smoke, it should be noted that such
observational studies do not allow definitive conclusions
about group differences.
Oral Vaccine for Diarrhea in Infants approved by FDA
February 7, 2006: The FDA today
approved an oral liquid vaccine aimed at preventing
rotavirus, which causes severe diarrhea, and fever and
dehydration in infants and results in an estimated 55,000
hospitalizations in the U.S. each year. Three doses are
given between 6 and 32 weeks of age.
Travelers to exotic locations face health risks
Jan. 17, 2006: Foreign travel is on the
rise (760 million people in 2004). Each year, about 8
percent of the more than 50 million travelers to developing
countries become sick enough to seek health care during
their trip or when they return home. Depending on the
destination, up to two-thirds become sick, most with
short-lived diarrhea, skin problems and respiratory
infections. Malaria and dengue fever in Africa or Southeast
Asia. Infections from worms and other parasites in the
Caribbean and South America. In south-central Asia,
respiratory illness. More than one-third of the patients
became sick over a month after they got back, and one in 10
fell ill more than six months later. Many had lingering
diarrhea from infections by parasites, now more common than
bacterial diarrhea; dengue fever has become more prevalent
than malaria in most regions; and infections from tick bites
are now a big problem in sub-Saharan Africa.
This Season's Flu Virus Resistant to Two Standard Anti-Viral
Drugs
January 15, 2006: This season's
flu virus is resistant to two older drugs (amantadine and
rimantidine) and these should not be used for prevention or
treatment of this season's flu. The newer drugs oseltamivar
(Tamiflu) and zanamivir (Relenza) should be used when
anti-viral drugs are required for prevention or treatment.
For most people, the best way to prevent the flu is to get
an annual flu shot.
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